Easy-Ephemeris — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

100

lifetime

Volume

$1.46K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$15

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-08

last 06-02 16:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

43% 100% +$2

Politics

31% — —

Other

25% 100% +$1

Tech

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

35 active days in 12wk • peak 5 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	1	$166	166	+166	open	—	06-02 16:13
Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$139	140	+140	Yes	+$1	05-10 12:31
Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	1	$139	142	+142	open	—	05-14 19:36
Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?	1	$136	136	+136	open	—	05-20 18:50
Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	1	$128	128	+128	open	—	05-27 22:32
Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	1	$128	128	+128	open	—	05-25 21:30
Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	2	$83	84	+84	No	+$2	04-14 13:55
megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	1	$50	56	+56	open	—	04-27 18:13
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	1	$50	51	+51	open	—	04-24 05:21
us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	1	$47	55	+55	open	—	04-21 10:04
Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	1	$47	47	+47	open	—	04-29 05:00
aapl above 210 on january 30 2026	2	$23	23	+23	open	—	01-23 23:52
Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	1	$17	17	+17	open	—	05-30 13:26
Will Solana reach $100 in May?	1	$13	13	+13	open	—	05-28 18:20
meta above 840 on february 27 2026	1	$12	12	+12	open	—	02-20 21:44
meta above 540 on january 30 2026	1	$11	12	+12	open	—	01-08 01:42
will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	1	$9	10	+10	open	—	01-19 10:04
si above 40 jan 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-09 05:16
msft above 510 on february 27 2026	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	02-23 22:39
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	1	$9	9	+9	open	—	01-11 03:01
will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$8	9	+9	open	—	02-24 00:02
will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	01-14 04:24
will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$8	8	+8	open	—	02-21 20:37
will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	1	$7	7	+7	open	—	01-20 19:02
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	05-09 20:42
will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-26 04:43
will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	2	$6	6	+6	open	—	03-22 18:35
nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	01-21 03:17
will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$6	6	+6	open	—	02-23 11:18
will alibaba have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	1	$5	5	+5	open	—	02-23 16:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-02 16:13:28	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 3, 2026?	No	BUY	166	100¢	$166	0x66565d…
05-30 13:26:30	Will Solana dip to $70 in May?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x61cd5b…
05-28 18:20:00	Will Solana reach $100 in May?	No	BUY	13	99¢	$13	0x28fa25…
05-27 22:32:48	Citrea FDV above $150M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x8b4d37…
05-25 21:30:27	Solstice FDV above $50M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	128	100¢	$128	0x5a10f7…
05-20 18:50:42	Nexus FDV above $20M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xfb3d44…
05-14 19:36:03	Will Ukraine advance through the second Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	142	98¢	$139	0xd6ae4e…
05-10 14:49:48	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in May?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x850050…
05-10 12:31:15	Will Greece advance through the first Eurovision Semi-Final?	Yes	BUY	140	99¢	$139	0x8d295c…
05-09 20:42:24	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x46176d…
05-06 06:36:32	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $40 in May?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x70028e…
05-06 04:44:00	Will Ethereum dip to $800 in May?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x3518fb…
04-29 05:00:48	Iran agrees to surrender enriched uranium stockpile by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	47	100¢	$47	0x7a8cd7…
04-27 18:13:54	megaeth market cap fdv 1b one day after launch gj9e 189 291 824 352	Yes	BUY	56	90¢	$50	0x13a287…
04-24 05:21:14	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 24 2026	No	BUY	51	99¢	$50	0x8451ee…
04-23 16:09:52	Will BNB dip to $300 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$1	0x9a3458…
04-23 10:36:42	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xebc544…
04-23 09:26:44	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xf17090…
04-22 18:36:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x10d2f5…
04-21 10:04:20	us x iran permanent peace deal by april 22 2026	No	BUY	55	86¢	$47	0x63cecf…
04-19 16:13:06	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $200 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$2	0x02f61a…
04-18 18:36:48	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x00e6d3…
04-18 13:44:02	Will Bitcoin dip to $30,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xe564b0…
04-18 04:14:58	Will Google (GOOGL) close above $220 end of April?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x6b1dea…
04-17 20:06:48	Will Ethereum reach $3,800 in April?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x3d2a52…
04-17 05:41:42	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $220 end of April?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc885d2…
04-16 13:04:30	Will Google have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x9894df…
04-15 16:53:50	Will NVIDIA be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x21e98f…
04-15 14:39:48	Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xabc386…
04-15 10:58:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $30 in April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc34e2c…
04-15 10:51:06	Will Baidu have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x0eb08a…
04-15 02:08:30	Will Z.ai have the second best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0x6f52a7…
04-14 13:55:39	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	4	98¢	$4	0x8bbfe1…
04-14 04:34:51	Genius FDV above $1B one day after launch?	No	BUY	81	98¢	$79	0x0dee3f…
04-13 06:20:41	Will NVIDIA (NVDA) close above $230 end of April?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xefdba8…
04-12 16:58:29	Will Netflix (NFLX) close above $160 end of April?	Yes	BUY	2	94¢	$2	0xac38f2…
04-12 02:06:49	Will Bitcoin reach $105,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x372ee8…
04-11 14:04:15	Will the Bank of Brazil increase the Selic rate after April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x3c9515…
04-11 06:12:33	Will the Bank of Canada announce an increase at the April meeting?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x89c621…
04-10 16:37:19	Will Dogecoin dip to $0.05 in April?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x830a43…
04-06 19:38:13	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x370a66…
04-06 09:01:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5f49f1…
03-29 17:19:10	will ethena reach 0pt16 in march	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0x85fd33…
03-29 12:41:48	meta above 760 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf05a45…
03-29 00:11:18	will hyperliquid reach 52 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x006ad5…
03-28 08:18:47	will chainlink reach 20 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4e5768…
03-28 03:38:29	meta above 780 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x599353…
03-27 01:45:49	will hyperliquid dip to 12 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x6ab92f…
03-26 04:43:13	will mistral have the third best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x9200e7…
03-24 03:19:35	will bitcoin dip to 40k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x4b57c8…
03-23 22:55:53	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc782bf…
03-23 08:41:51	will hyperliquid dip to 16 in march	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb56cee…
03-22 18:35:39	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x1dc69c…
03-21 17:18:29	will ethena reach 0pt32 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7108eb…
03-12 12:45:53	will bitcoin dip to 20k in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5bd790…
03-12 12:10:59	will solana reach 160 in march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf3bca0…
03-10 10:18:15	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x963fe2…
03-10 08:27:07	nflx above 200 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x5a53fc…
03-09 20:33:13	bank of japan decreases interest rates after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x02aa0b…
03-09 14:12:31	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x4714aa…
03-09 12:59:25	will oracle be the third largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x20981b…
03-09 10:24:27	will baidu have the best ai model at the end of march 2026 986	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd746f7…
03-09 04:09:23	will ethereum reach 3200 in march 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xe6d43b…
03-09 03:05:09	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8b9024…
03-08 14:30:55	will meituan have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x50122c…
03-07 14:46:49	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd714be…
03-07 14:25:35	bank of japan increases interest rates by 50 bps after march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e6a10…
03-07 13:00:19	nflx above 160 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfceb35…
03-06 22:37:27	will solana dip to 30 in march 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x3ecbc1…
03-06 20:08:41	amzn above 260 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x473346…
03-06 14:34:25	will bnb reach 1100 in march	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x44b8f8…
03-06 07:12:53	aapl above 330 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xe6eb2d…
03-06 06:26:13	will alibaba have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	4	100¢	$3	0xf5ec56…
03-05 17:07:43	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x39b7d9…
03-04 21:28:15	nvda above 240 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x5b2d28…
03-04 20:04:43	will mistral have the second best ai model at the end of march 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x3b371e…
03-04 08:03:01	will chainlink dip to 2 in march	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xf43345…
02-24 12:00:42	will solana reach 130 in february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x75df9b…
02-24 04:25:02	will nvidia be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc53e98…
02-24 00:02:52	will openai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	9	99¢	$8	0xd83912…
02-23 22:39:46	msft above 510 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x2adf73…
02-23 16:26:14	will alibaba have the 1 ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1d80e2…
02-23 11:18:58	will microsoft be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xa15c65…
02-21 20:37:18	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xacd337…
02-20 21:44:42	meta above 840 on february 27 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0x71fad4…
02-11 01:35:39	will zai have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xe6a92d…
02-04 21:40:33	will saudi aramco be the third largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x8b6ea0…
02-02 08:07:24	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x8fcf09…
01-23 23:52:28	aapl above 210 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x9ed537…
01-22 21:17:50	amzn above 180 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x18a47d…
01-21 03:17:24	nvda above 250 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0xbce4ac…
01-20 19:02:28	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xed5f24…
01-19 10:04:44	will bitcoin dip to 65k in january 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$9	0x3bdb2c…
01-16 19:10:44	aapl above 310 on january 30 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbed73f…
01-15 08:24:30	will xrp dip to 1pt2 in january 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x462ca1…
01-14 04:24:04	will moonshot have the third best ai model at the end of january 2026	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0xd4f7b5…
01-11 03:01:26	will microsoft be the second largest company in the world by market cap on january 31	No	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0xdec5ef…
01-10 07:55:32	aapl above 210 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	9	100¢	$9	0x4da896…
01-09 05:16:16	si above 40 jan 2026	Yes	BUY	9	99¢	$9	0x910837…
01-08 01:42:57	meta above 540 on january 30 2026	Yes	BUY	12	99¢	$11	0xb9f0a7…