Critical-Retrospect — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$4.83K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$95

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-09

last 08-05 06:12

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

50% — —

Other

48% 0% $-0

Politics

2% — —

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 18	2	$1.2K	600	600	+0	open	—	02-18 14:47
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$836	421	421	+0	No	$-0	03-02 05:50
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	2	$770	386	386	+0	open	—	02-18 14:37
will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	2	$467	234	234	+0	open	—	07-03 03:35
bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	2	$437	221	221	+0	open	—	02-18 14:37
will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$350	176	176	+0	open	—	03-02 05:51
USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$177	89	89	+0	open	—	03-02 06:01
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 660 679	4	$95	48	48	+0	open	—	01-16 13:24
fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$68	34	34	+0	open	—	01-09 10:55
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	2	$55	28	28	+0	open	—	01-16 13:06
will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	2	$51	27	27	+0	open	—	01-16 13:06
will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	2	$50	25	25	+0	open	—	08-02 14:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	2	$44	22	22	+0	open	—	01-16 13:25
will polymarket mindshare hit 90	2	$37	20	20	+0	open	—	01-09 11:23
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	05-28 11:08
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$32	16	16	+0	open	—	01-16 13:06
Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	2	$29	15	15	+0	open	—	08-02 14:33
megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	04-02 09:04
putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	2	$15	8	8	+0	open	—	08-05 06:12
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$15	7	7	+0	No	$-0	03-26 07:06
will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	2	$12	6	6	+0	open	—	06-24 17:33
will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-09 11:23
elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	1	$8	8	0	+8	open	—	03-24 15:21
Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	03-06 02:36
elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	1	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	03-02 06:09
will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	1	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	06-24 17:33
elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	02-18 14:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-05 06:12:27	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	SELL	8	97¢	$7	0x7fefc2…
08-05 06:03:02	putin out as president of russia by september 30 2026	No	BUY	8	98¢	$7	0x84337c…
08-02 14:52:30	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0xb8e8f4…
08-02 14:37:33	will bitcoin dip to 40k in august 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xf984f5…
08-02 14:33:12	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	SELL	15	96¢	$14	0xdd1fde…
08-02 14:13:47	Will OpenAI be acquired before 2027?	No	BUY	15	96¢	$14	0x37c796…
07-03 03:35:07	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	SELL	234	100¢	$233	0x1de2b1…
07-03 03:16:58	will bitcoin reach 100k in july 2026	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xcdda4c…
06-24 17:33:35	will ethereum dip to 1500 in june 2026	Yes	BUY	10	59¢	$6	0xde4664…
06-24 17:33:05	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	SELL	6	100¢	$6	0xed97e8…
06-13 12:44:30	will ethereum reach 2700 in june 2026	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x65ed39…
05-28 11:08:00	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	SELL	16	99¢	$16	0xa3cdb7…
05-28 09:38:10	US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	No	BUY	16	99¢	$16	0x20909b…
04-02 09:04:31	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	SELL	8	97¢	$8	0x0d8729…
04-02 07:53:03	megaeth market cap fdv 4b one day after launch 484 688 448 486 873 133 182	No	BUY	8	97¢	$8	0xe12b20…
03-26 07:06:49	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	7	98¢	$7	0x4194e9…
03-26 06:47:33	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	7	98¢	$7	0x830914…
03-24 15:21:09	elon musk of tweets march 17 march 24 380 399	No	BUY	8	100¢	$8	0x86c28d…
03-06 02:36:55	Will Mohsen Qomi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	No	BUY	7	100¢	$7	0xda005e…
03-02 06:09:57	elon musk of tweets february 24 march 3 240 259	No	BUY	8	85¢	$7	0x15a98b…
03-02 06:01:13	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	89	100¢	$89	0x0524a3…
03-02 05:51:47	USD.AI FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	89	100¢	$89	0x9c05e7…
03-02 05:51:05	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	SELL	176	100¢	$175	0x52ffc5…
03-02 05:50:53	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	421	99¢	$418	0x735f80…
03-02 05:34:41	will sentimental value win best picture at the 98th academy awards	No	BUY	176	100¢	$175	0xe2cd3b…
03-02 05:34:27	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	421	99¢	$418	0xc6db9a…
02-18 14:48:42	elon musk of tweets february 16 february 18 90 114	Yes	BUY	5	87¢	$5	0xc4e289…
02-18 14:47:18	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 18	No	SELL	600	100¢	$598	0xd5170e…
02-18 14:37:40	will the price of bitcoin be between 60000 62000 on february 18	No	BUY	600	100¢	$599	0x836384…
02-18 14:37:22	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	SELL	386	100¢	$385	0x4f7759…
02-18 14:37:06	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	SELL	221	99¢	$219	0x4b551a…
02-18 14:27:52	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of february 271 168 354 381 713	No	BUY	386	100¢	$385	0xe91b8e…
02-18 14:27:16	bitcoin all time high by march 31 2026	No	BUY	221	99¢	$219	0xecf2c9…
01-16 13:25:10	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	SELL	22	100¢	$22	0x1f0bc5…
01-16 13:24:58	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 660 679	No	SELL	8	98¢	$8	0x5283b3…
01-16 13:24:48	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 660 679	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0x612bed…
01-16 13:24:42	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 660 679	No	SELL	20	98¢	$20	0xcc1b30…
01-16 13:08:28	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be László Toroczkai?	No	BUY	22	100¢	$22	0x48f186…
01-16 13:07:46	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 660 679	No	BUY	48	99¢	$47	0x5b0719…
01-16 13:06:48	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0x3c11e4…
01-16 13:06:38	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	SELL	27	95¢	$26	0xb5550b…
01-16 13:06:30	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	SELL	28	99¢	$28	0x418913…
01-16 13:00:04	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	16	98¢	$16	0xef3ef0…
01-16 12:59:40	will khamenei leave iran by jan 31 322	No	BUY	27	95¢	$26	0x7b766c…
01-16 12:59:28	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xa52b28…
01-09 11:23:50	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	No	SELL	5	96¢	$5	0x3adfcb…
01-09 11:23:38	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	SELL	20	92¢	$18	0xb54830…
01-09 10:55:20	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	34	100¢	$34	0x098418…
01-09 10:54:58	will the us invade venezuela by january 31 2026	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xddcc9f…
01-09 10:05:00	will polymarket mindshare hit 90	No	BUY	20	93¢	$19	0x478d51…
01-09 10:02:44	fed increases interest rates by 25 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	34	100¢	$34	0xb0cbbe…