Robust-Fortune — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.2%

Resolved

Trades

118

lifetime

Volume

$586

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-07 13:54

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

56% 20% $-2

Politics

15% — —

Other

13% — —

Sports

11% 100% +$6

Tech

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	2	$40	23	23	+0	open	—	03-29 09:52
will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	2	$32	21	21	+0	open	—	02-27 21:18
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	4	$30	17	17	+0	open	—	02-09 14:37
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$28	22	22	+0	Yes	+$0	01-08 16:55
Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	2	$26	21	21	+0	open	—	03-11 07:31
eth updown 5m 1773732000	1	$25	39	0	+39	open	—	03-17 07:25
Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$25	26	0	+26	open	—	05-20 08:34
eth updown 5m 1776146700	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-14 06:09
xrp updown 5m 1773215100	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	03-11 07:49
sol updown 15m 1771397100	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	02-18 06:59
eth updown 5m 1775615700	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-08 02:39
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$20	0	29	-29	open	—	01-31 15:27
will pheu thai party pt finish in third place by number of seats in the 2026 thai legislative election	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-08 12:24
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	2	$20	11	11	+0	open	—	02-18 10:06
sol updown 5m 1774514700	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-26 08:49
eth updown 5m 1774513500	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	03-26 08:29
eth updown 15m 1772000100	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	02-25 06:29
eth updown 5m 1775285100	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	04-04 06:49
xrp updown 15m 1772541900	1	$20	20	0	+20	open	—	03-03 12:59
eth updown 5m 1776850500	1	$20	21	0	+21	open	—	04-22 09:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$8	25	25	+0	open	—	05-29 15:24
Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	4	$6	16	16	+0	open	—	05-04 13:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	4	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-20 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	3	$4	7	3	+4	open	—	04-27 06:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$4	106	6	+100	Down	$-0	05-12 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	2	$3	7	7	+0	open	—	05-04 13:06
btc updown 5m 1780839900	3	$3	6	2	+3	open	—	06-07 13:48
btc updown 5m 1780839300	3	$3	8	3	+5	open	—	06-07 13:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	2	$2	4	3	+0	open	—	04-27 06:44
btc updown 5m 1780839000	2	$2	4	4	+0	open	—	06-07 13:31

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-07 13:54:49	btc updown 5m 1780840200	Down	SELL	6	9¢	$1	0x25e0bd…
06-07 13:51:13	btc updown 5m 1780840200	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xd73c26…
06-07 13:48:46	btc updown 5m 1780839900	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x7165ec…
06-07 13:47:31	btc updown 5m 1780839900	Down	SELL	2	43¢	$1	0xa3c7f3…
06-07 13:47:09	btc updown 5m 1780839900	Down	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x57aa95…
06-07 13:41:49	btc updown 5m 1780839600	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x0be928…
06-07 13:36:31	btc updown 5m 1780839300	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x768870…
06-07 13:36:18	btc updown 5m 1780839300	Up	SELL	3	31¢	$1	0x333665…
06-07 13:35:52	btc updown 5m 1780839300	Up	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xcf6f4e…
06-07 13:31:12	btc updown 5m 1780839000	Up	SELL	4	37¢	$1	0x142177…
06-07 13:30:58	btc updown 5m 1780839000	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0xcf5678…
06-07 13:27:22	btc updown 5m 1780838700	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x3f27d3…
05-29 15:24:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	12	14¢	$2	0xea57ac…
05-29 15:23:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x170186…
05-29 15:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	8	22¢	$2	0xa79147…
05-29 15:22:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xf5d60e…
05-29 15:21:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	SELL	4	28¢	$1	0x80c947…
05-29 15:20:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x038f09…
05-29 15:16:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x658444…
05-29 15:12:07	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0xb44566…
05-20 08:34:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	26	98¢	$25	0xc4a097…
05-20 08:30:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x97b84f…
05-20 08:28:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xd87bfb…
05-20 08:27:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	3	39¢	$1	0xa29010…
05-20 08:27:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	2	53¢	$1	0xf89dd4…
05-20 08:27:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x3d93f3…
05-20 08:24:53	XRP Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0xd10b86…
05-20 08:19:45	Spurs vs. Thunder	Thunder	BUY	2	68¢	$1	0x6d8a83…
05-12 08:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x3bea1c…
05-12 08:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0xad1434…
05-12 08:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4fbef6…
05-12 08:18:20	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x8ee139…
05-12 08:18:00	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x6002bf…
05-12 08:16:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xd49975…
05-12 08:15:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x9861c1…
05-12 08:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x081219…
05-12 08:12:52	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	5	16¢	$1	0x9ba11d…
05-12 08:12:05	Solana Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x00c422…
05-04 13:08:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	6	28¢	$2	0x193499…
05-04 13:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	6	18¢	$1	0x4287ca…
05-04 13:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	7	32¢	$2	0x1bddb2…
05-04 13:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	7	15¢	$1	0xe4b560…
05-04 13:04:56	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	SELL	10	22¢	$2	0xa7de7b…
05-04 13:03:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xae08a3…
05-04 13:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa1a83b…
05-04 12:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	4	31¢	$1	0xeef08e…
05-04 12:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x576a6a…
05-04 12:57:46	Timberwolves vs. Spurs	Timberwolves	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xf72559…
05-04 12:57:10	76ers vs. Knicks	Knicks	BUY	2	71¢	$1	0x6a4aa7…
04-27 06:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	3	40¢	$1	0x12a651…
04-27 06:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	4	31¢	$1	0xe4f41f…
04-27 06:39:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xa50083…
04-27 06:39:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	SELL	3	52¢	$2	0xa66751…
04-27 06:39:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Down	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x0669fc…
04-27 06:34:16	Timberwolves vs. Nuggets	Timberwolves	BUY	6	20¢	$1	0xf62ddb…
04-27 06:34:00	Pistons vs. Magic	Pistons	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x84065c…
04-27 06:33:42	Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0xc5cd20…
04-27 06:33:34	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 24 to May 1, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	26¢	$1	0x690937…
04-22 09:39:58	eth updown 5m 1776850500	Up	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xe7de43…
04-22 09:39:04	xrp updown 5m 1776850500	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xd58fb3…
04-22 09:35:26	Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	11¢	$1	0x4e4150…
04-22 09:35:16	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xc6b3dc…
04-22 09:34:34	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$1	0x0a75a9…
04-22 09:34:18	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 200 219	Yes	BUY	5	28¢	$1	0x8fe18d…
04-19 07:56:12	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 220 239	Yes	BUY	6	21¢	$1	0x6bbe58…
04-14 06:11:23	highest temperature in shenzhen on april 15 2026 31c	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xfe47d3…
04-14 06:09:15	eth updown 5m 1776146700	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x2cf012…
04-14 06:07:31	nba orl phi 2026 04 15	Magic	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xe2daf4…
04-14 06:06:51	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	7	18¢	$1	0xf37c2b…
04-14 06:06:39	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	12	9¢	$1	0xb6a125…
04-14 06:06:05	elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 300 319	Yes	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xf6239f…
04-08 02:41:23	highest temperature in taipei on april 8 2026 26c	Yes	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x815fa5…
04-08 02:39:47	eth updown 5m 1775615700	Down	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xfb9dc6…
04-08 02:36:55	nba hou phx 2026 04 07	Rockets	BUY	2	52¢	$1	0x172dbe…
04-08 02:34:55	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 240 259	Yes	BUY	4	30¢	$1	0x8a221c…
04-08 02:34:43	elon musk of tweets april 3 april 10 220 239	Yes	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xfaac9d…
04-04 06:54:17	cs2 b8 wc1 2026 04 04	B8	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0xc8ef96…
04-04 06:51:33	highest temperature in london on april 4 2026 16c	Yes	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x4aacc1…
04-04 06:49:57	eth updown 5m 1775285100	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x158f95…
04-04 06:49:05	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Spurs	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x44f6c4…
04-04 06:48:43	elon musk of tweets march 31 april 7 280 299	Yes	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x584bec…
04-04 06:48:13	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 115 139	Yes	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xdf44c2…
03-29 09:52:46	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	SELL	23	88¢	$20	0xfa2ed8…
03-26 08:49:53	sol updown 5m 1774514700	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x7c424d…
03-26 08:32:19	highest temperature in paris on march 27 2026 10c	Yes	BUY	4	29¢	$1	0x4ee292…
03-26 08:30:31	nba nyk cha 2026 03 26	Knicks	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc9adbc…
03-26 08:29:57	eth updown 5m 1774513500	Down	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0xd28e01…
03-17 07:29:59	will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	Yes	BUY	23	87¢	$20	0x5c6418…
03-17 07:25:01	eth updown 5m 1773732000	Up	BUY	39	64¢	$25	0xe64cf7…
03-17 07:16:29	nba mia cha 2026 03 17	Hornets	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x1b2e58…
03-11 07:49:51	xrp updown 5m 1773215100	Up	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0xa93fe0…
03-11 07:33:45	elon musk of tweets march 9 march 11 115 139	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xbd6a17…
03-11 07:33:05	nba hou den 2026 03 11	Rockets	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x4a2021…
03-11 07:31:19	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	SELL	21	37¢	$8	0x2b13d9…
03-03 13:01:03	Will Ken Paxton win the 2026 Texas Republican Primary?	Yes	BUY	21	84¢	$18	0x873ef3…
03-03 13:00:35	nba nyk tor 2026 03 03	Raptors	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xdaf483…
03-03 12:59:25	xrp updown 15m 1772541900	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0x319dc5…
02-27 21:18:21	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	SELL	21	77¢	$16	0xc40728…
02-25 06:34:24	will one battle after another win best picture at the 98th academy awards	Yes	BUY	21	76¢	$16	0x1cdb34…
02-25 06:31:16	nba bos den 2026 02 25	Nuggets	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x7941b7…