Fearless-Ethyl — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$17

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

60.7%

Resolved

Trades

319

lifetime

Volume

$839

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 07-03 21:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 41% +$17

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 70 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	2	$45	27	27	+0	Down	+$5	05-06 22:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$27	22	22	+0	Down	+$17	05-06 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	2	$23	13	13	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 21:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	2	$21	17	17	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 19:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$20	15	15	+0	Down	+$9	05-06 19:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	2	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-27 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	5	$10	11	8	+3	open	—	06-03 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$10	36	0	+36	Up	$-10	05-06 18:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	1	$10	12	0	+12	Up	+$2	05-07 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	1	$10	23	0	+23	Down	$-10	05-06 22:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	5	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	3	$8	4	4	+0	open	—	05-14 11:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	4	$8	7	7	+0	open	—	05-27 16:24
btc updown 5m 1783112400	3	$7	25	4	+21	open	—	07-03 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	Up	+$3	05-07 16:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$7	8	0	+8	open	—	06-02 22:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-03 01:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	2	$7	5	5	+0	open	—	06-02 22:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$7	7	4	+3	open	—	06-03 00:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	2	$6	6	6	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 02:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-27 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-27 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-02 20:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-02 21:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-27 17:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:45PM-4:50PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Up	+$2	05-07 20:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 27, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	05-27 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-02 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Down	$-0	05-07 02:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	open	—	06-03 01:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-03 21:38:22	btc updown 5m 1783114500	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x646fb0…
07-03 21:24:25	btc updown 5m 1783113600	Up	SELL	2	91¢	$2	0x5c0bd5…
07-03 21:16:05	btc updown 5m 1783114200	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xd8ca4a…
07-03 21:15:44	btc updown 5m 1783113900	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6f7357…
07-03 21:15:25	btc updown 5m 1783113600	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x3ac1ad…
07-03 21:14:07	btc updown 5m 1783113300	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x6d3758…
07-03 21:12:05	btc updown 5m 1783113000	Down	SELL	2	30¢	$1	0x0288f0…
07-03 21:10:25	btc updown 5m 1783113000	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0xa5027e…
07-03 21:08:22	btc updown 5m 1783112700	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0x0066cd…
07-03 21:04:56	btc updown 5m 1783112400	Down	BUY	21	5¢	$1	0xf2f755…
07-03 21:04:31	btc updown 5m 1783112400	Up	SELL	4	96¢	$4	0xa8c461…
07-03 21:02:32	btc updown 5m 1783112400	Up	BUY	4	46¢	$2	0x9812e0…
07-03 20:58:58	btc updown 5m 1783112100	Down	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x8d5dea…
07-03 20:58:20	btc updown 5m 1783112100	Down	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x234e69…
07-03 20:54:34	btc updown 5m 1783111800	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xa3141b…
07-03 20:29:44	btc updown 5m 1783110300	Down	SELL	4	35¢	$1	0x714aa4…
07-03 20:26:17	btc updown 5m 1783111500	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x95b751…
07-03 20:26:02	btc updown 5m 1783111200	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x364d1b…
07-03 20:25:38	btc updown 5m 1783110600	Down	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x8c7da2…
07-03 20:25:08	btc updown 5m 1783110300	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0x44350b…
06-03 04:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:20AM-12:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	36¢	$1	0xa9aee9…
06-03 04:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Down	BUY	4	56¢	$2	0xe9dbff…
06-03 04:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	3	97¢	$3	0x05a96c…
06-03 04:10:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 3, 12:10AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x0290ed…
06-03 03:36:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x70097f…
06-03 03:35:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0x713ab1…
06-03 03:34:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x033603…
06-03 03:31:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0xbee46b…
06-03 03:23:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x9a9d5c…
06-03 03:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	3	43¢	$1	0x38e9c5…
06-03 03:21:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x6ac2ff…
06-03 03:18:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	SELL	4	1¢	$0	0x9c13f0…
06-03 03:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x491981…
06-03 03:12:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	32¢	$1	0xe66df6…
06-03 03:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x0a39be…
06-03 03:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xd7197e…
06-03 03:04:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0xf6cbf6…
06-03 03:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	48¢	$2	0xb269b4…
06-03 03:03:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x125030…
06-03 03:02:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	56¢	$2	0x7b2803…
06-03 02:59:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x85be66…
06-03 02:58:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc897d9…
06-03 02:49:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	59¢	$2	0xa5dfe7…
06-03 02:44:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0xc6a51a…
06-03 02:44:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	4¢	$0	0x537538…
06-03 02:38:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xda5e7d…
06-03 02:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x59877c…
06-03 02:35:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe4433d…
06-03 02:28:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x0f346e…
06-03 02:18:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	3¢	$0	0x0d62b4…
06-03 02:14:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xcf0cfc…
06-03 02:13:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	SELL	7	13¢	$1	0xd74ba8…
06-03 02:05:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x414713…
06-03 01:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:55PM-10:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x68a5f0…
06-03 01:50:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:50PM-9:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xeab143…
06-03 01:49:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	24¢	$1	0x3e3bfc…
06-03 01:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:45PM-9:50PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x5aaf64…
06-03 01:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x1ec546…
06-03 01:41:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0xda68ba…
06-03 01:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xf5f552…
06-03 01:35:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x35bbb0…
06-03 01:22:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	16¢	$1	0x64d271…
06-03 01:20:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:20PM-9:25PM ET	Down	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xc5b45e…
06-03 01:13:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x80bfb3…
06-03 01:12:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xe03e2a…
06-03 01:09:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa9f65f…
06-03 01:08:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	SELL	3	83¢	$3	0xcd639d…
06-03 01:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	59¢	$2	0x929bb0…
06-03 01:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x6472f0…
06-03 00:59:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xa31eb0…
06-03 00:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Down	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xb10838…
06-03 00:49:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xc3655c…
06-03 00:49:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:45PM-8:50PM ET	Down	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x93f92b…
06-03 00:40:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0xff63ce…
06-03 00:39:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xddc054…
06-03 00:35:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:35PM-8:40PM ET	Up	BUY	4	55¢	$2	0x1b1004…
06-03 00:24:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x63e446…
06-03 00:13:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x437533…
06-03 00:10:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	SELL	4	64¢	$3	0x9f7766…
06-03 00:09:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xae501a…
06-03 00:07:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	45¢	$2	0x533fb3…
06-03 00:05:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x5ebeca…
06-03 00:03:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x189e5a…
06-03 00:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	50¢	$2	0x8b9a21…
06-02 23:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x45ed17…
06-02 23:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	SELL	4	34¢	$1	0xbbe0e4…
06-02 23:54:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xacd205…
06-02 23:52:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	21¢	$1	0x969207…
06-02 23:50:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x5ed730…
06-02 23:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0xfeb03f…
06-02 23:48:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0x0f5791…
06-02 23:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	98¢	$4	0xc090c6…
06-02 23:40:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0xff3696…
06-02 23:37:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	69¢	$3	0x8a1274…
06-02 23:32:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0xaf0229…
06-02 23:31:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	SELL	4	88¢	$4	0x37aa63…
06-02 23:29:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0x6e0d6f…
06-02 23:28:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	SELL	4	78¢	$3	0x4624a3…
06-02 23:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x4f33be…
06-02 23:23:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Down	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x2eec84…