Fond-Turnip — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

35.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$10.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$294

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 06-04 05:22

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

34% 50% +$3

Sports

31% — —

Crypto

31% 0% $-1

Politics

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$3.0K	1,532	1,532	+0	open	—	03-02 10:15
Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$3.0K	1,516	1,516	+0	open	—	02-24 09:24
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$3.0K	1,520	1,520	+0	open	—	03-05 03:26
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	1	$120	138	0	+138	open	—	06-04 05:20
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1	$110	125	0	+125	open	—	05-28 02:32
elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	1	$60	60	0	+60	open	—	01-05 01:29
Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	1	$60	67	0	+67	open	—	05-11 01:11
elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 140 159	1	$49	49	0	+49	open	—	01-30 06:59
elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 120 139	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	01-10 06:10
Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	2	$43	22	22	+0	open	—	03-09 03:13
elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 220 239	1	$39	40	0	+40	open	—	01-17 02:34
israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	1	$39	43	0	+43	open	—	06-04 05:22
Will Prawit Wongsuwan be the next prime minister of Thailand?	2	$39	19	19	+0	open	—	03-20 02:59
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$39	19	19	+0	No	$-0	04-08 08:10
will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	2	$37	19	19	+0	open	—	03-09 03:12
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	1	$32	32	0	+32	open	—	04-13 13:01
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	1	$29	34	0	+34	open	—	05-28 02:32
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	2	$28	14	14	+0	open	—	03-07 02:11
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	1	$26	29	0	+29	Yes	+$3	05-11 01:10
will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	1	$26	26	0	+26	open	—	02-25 07:47
Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	05-23 06:18
Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	1	$17	21	0	+21	open	—	05-23 06:19
will austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	1	$16	16	0	+16	open	—	02-11 08:14
will aj barner win the super bowl lx mvp	1	$15	15	0	+15	open	—	02-07 01:51
Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	1	$9	0	10	-10	No	$-1	04-02 07:25
no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	1	$6	6	0	+6	open	—	01-20 07:10

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-04 05:22:10	israel x hezbollah permanent peace deal by june 15 2026	No	BUY	43	91¢	$39	0xce1a9a…
06-04 05:20:27	us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	No	BUY	138	87¢	$120	0x9cd3fb…
05-28 02:32:41	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	No	BUY	34	85¢	$29	0x0a9e44…
05-28 02:32:05	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	125	88¢	$110	0x95823b…
05-23 06:19:04	Israel closes its airspace by May 24?	No	BUY	21	81¢	$17	0xbe3d08…
05-23 06:18:52	Will the Iran ceasefire continue through May 23?	Yes	BUY	23	91¢	$21	0x5c07cb…
05-11 01:11:24	Iran closes its airspace by May 15?	No	BUY	67	89¢	$60	0x0f5d85…
05-11 01:10:47	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in May?	Yes	BUY	29	91¢	$26	0xf6a3e9…
04-13 13:01:23	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	32	100¢	$32	0xcda60a…
04-08 08:10:19	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3dcb3e…
04-02 07:25:53	Sentio FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	10	92¢	$9	0x0bc8f4…
03-20 02:59:29	Will Prawit Wongsuwan be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0x3515c6…
03-16 02:03:01	Will Prawit Wongsuwan be the next prime minister of Thailand?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x26a53e…
03-09 03:13:07	Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	SELL	22	99¢	$21	0xa29b53…
03-09 03:12:59	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	19	100¢	$19	0xfe8143…
03-07 02:12:25	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	19	100¢	$19	0x6fbca2…
03-07 02:11:07	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x79cef4…
03-05 03:26:07	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,520	100¢	$1,512	0x5a70ae…
03-02 10:16:11	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,520	100¢	$1,514	0x9bcabd…
03-02 10:15:39	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	SELL	1,532	99¢	$1,523	0xd6ea5c…
02-28 13:39:03	Will the Golden State Warriors win the NBA Western Conference Finals?	No	BUY	22	99¢	$21	0xbf7b8a…
02-28 13:38:27	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	1,532	100¢	$1,524	0xcc98e3…
02-26 07:35:58	will the fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	19	99¢	$19	0x41e9b3…
02-25 07:47:12	will bitcoin reach 125k in february 2026	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x1f508b…
02-24 09:27:20	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be János Lázár?	No	BUY	14	100¢	$14	0x83f1c2…
02-24 09:24:50	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	1,516	100¢	$1,515	0x9f24a7…
02-22 07:01:04	Will Leeds win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	1,516	100¢	$1,515	0x87dadf…
02-11 08:14:03	will austria win the most gold medals in the 2026 winter olympics	No	BUY	16	100¢	$16	0x8ce877…
02-07 01:51:57	will aj barner win the super bowl lx mvp	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0xb42503…
01-30 06:59:22	elon musk of tweets january 30 february 6 140 159	No	BUY	49	100¢	$49	0x1a8856…
01-20 07:10:24	no change in bank of japans interest rates after january 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	6	99¢	$6	0xa9bf61…
01-17 02:34:24	elon musk of tweets january 16 january 23 220 239	No	BUY	40	100¢	$39	0x64d87b…
01-10 06:10:36	elon musk of tweets january 13 january 20 120 139	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0xa39954…
01-05 01:29:13	elon musk of tweets january 6 january 13 140 159	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0xf7fa63…