Knotty-Head — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$6.02K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$167

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-13

last 05-21 16:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

72% 100% +$1

Other

28% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 17 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	17	$669	740	720	+21	open	—	04-26 06:54
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	2	$583	313	312	+0	open	—	04-25 12:40
bitcoin above 84k on april 24	1	$309	309	0	+309	open	—	04-23 20:59
bitcoin above 70k on april 23	1	$309	309	0	+309	open	—	04-22 19:19
bitcoin above 68k on april 22	1	$309	309	0	+309	open	—	04-21 20:41
bitcoin above 68k on april 20	1	$308	309	0	+309	open	—	04-19 16:42
elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	1	$307	308	0	+308	open	—	04-18 15:18
bitcoin above 70k on april 16	1	$306	307	0	+307	open	—	04-16 12:13
bitcoin above 70k on april 15	1	$306	306	0	+306	open	—	04-15 13:46
Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 21?	1	$304	304	0	+304	open	—	05-21 16:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	1	$302	303	0	+303	open	—	05-19 21:39
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	1	$289	290	0	+290	open	—	05-13 20:04
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	1	$286	286	0	+286	No	+$0	05-09 20:10
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	1	$285	285	0	+285	Yes	+$0	05-06 22:08
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	1	$285	285	0	+285	Yes	+$0	05-04 18:02
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	1	$284	284	0	+284	open	—	04-30 05:36
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	1	$284	284	0	+284	open	—	05-01 19:20
ethereum above 2100 on april 13	1	$149	153	0	+153	open	—	04-13 10:33
wti up or down on april 13 2026	1	$147	152	0	+152	open	—	04-13 10:43

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-21 16:53:11	Will Bitcoin reach $81,000 on May 21?	No	BUY	304	100¢	$304	0xc9bfc3…
05-19 21:39:43	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	303	100¢	$302	0xa6e7f5…
05-13 20:04:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	290	100¢	$289	0xd8f5de…
05-09 20:10:47	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 10?	No	BUY	286	100¢	$286	0x123c07…
05-06 22:08:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x37fb3a…
05-04 18:02:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	285	100¢	$285	0x38b501…
05-01 19:20:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 2?	Yes	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0xec4c00…
04-30 05:36:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	284	100¢	$284	0x523197…
04-26 06:54:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	245	47¢	$115	0xedb66a…
04-26 06:52:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	89	47¢	$42	0x88fc5e…
04-26 06:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x7fda36…
04-26 06:38:56	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x32a9bd…
04-26 06:38:54	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	37	47¢	$17	0x4c26f2…
04-26 06:32:08	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	47¢	$39	0x1deed3…
04-26 06:23:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	40	47¢	$19	0x78ceda…
04-26 06:20:06	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	11	47¢	$5	0x00dbdc…
04-26 06:12:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	8	47¢	$4	0xa3452f…
04-26 06:12:10	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	23	47¢	$11	0x0c2c05…
04-26 06:11:16	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	32	47¢	$15	0x26a310…
04-26 05:36:26	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	300	45¢	$135	0xb32090…
04-26 05:35:40	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	290	44¢	$128	0xcf74c0…
04-26 04:23:32	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	47¢	$10	0xe2be0f…
04-26 04:22:20	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x6faf0c…
04-26 04:19:18	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	SELL	122	47¢	$57	0xe4be5c…
04-26 02:19:28	Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	Yes	BUY	150	45¢	$68	0x7d2c20…
04-25 12:40:36	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	SELL	312	88¢	$274	0x9f7a89…
04-24 20:27:40	Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from April 23 to April 25, 2026?	No	BUY	313	99¢	$309	0xe8c712…
04-23 20:59:06	bitcoin above 84k on april 24	No	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0xe9b1c7…
04-22 19:19:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0x2bfe94…
04-21 20:41:52	bitcoin above 68k on april 22	Yes	BUY	309	100¢	$309	0x495482…
04-19 16:42:22	bitcoin above 68k on april 20	Yes	BUY	309	100¢	$308	0xce74c1…
04-18 15:18:20	elon musk of tweets april 16 april 18 90 114	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0xcee4a7…
04-16 12:13:22	bitcoin above 70k on april 16	Yes	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x89465d…
04-15 13:46:06	bitcoin above 70k on april 15	Yes	BUY	306	100¢	$306	0x68d141…
04-13 10:43:01	wti up or down on april 13 2026	Up	BUY	152	97¢	$147	0x4dd492…
04-13 10:33:01	ethereum above 2100 on april 13	Yes	BUY	153	98¢	$149	0x902935…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Silver-Wren 0x92ab…bef6	18	$5.26K	19	05-21 16:53
Rundown-Advent 0x3a8d…b1d3	18	$5.25K	19	05-21 16:53
Profuse-Notion 0xfe64…02cb	17	$5.09K	18	05-21 16:53
(anonymous) 0x171a…8ff7	16	$4.76K	17	05-19 21:39
Indolent-Puma 0xb5c9…7244	16	$4.76K	17	05-19 21:39
(anonymous) 0x0b9f…acd0	16	$4.76K	17	05-19 21:39
Waterlogged-Spill 0xa807…931c	16	$4.71K	17	05-19 21:39
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	15	$20.6K	536	05-19 23:30