Realized P&L
-$128
Unrealized P&L
-$19
Hit rate
89.6%
Resolved
32
Trades
10,591
lifetime
Volume
$2.53M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$239
Open exposure
$18.7K
15 positions
First seen
2026-02-23
last 07-02 00:01
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 10 days
Categories
Politics
72% 70% +$1,227
Other
22% 61% $-1,635
Tech
5%
Crypto
1% 75% +$280
Sports
0%
Pop-Culture
0%
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
76 active days in 12wk • peak 539 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? Yes +8,990 $8,001 82¢ $7.4K $-584 06-16 03:10
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? No +5,070 $4,129 100¢ $5.1K +$929 06-22 21:43
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30? No +2,497 $1,987 100¢ $2.5K +$503 06-18 03:07
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by December 31? Yes +7,417 $4,876 30¢ $2.2K $-2,688 06-19 19:57
Will GameStop acquire eBay? No +600 $510 86¢ $519 +$9 05-27 22:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? Yes -1,170 $-246 29¢ $-333 $-87 06-26 10:04
US recognizes Reza Pahlavi as leader of Iran in 2026? No -200 $-184 96¢ $-192 $-8 06-02 09:00
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? Yes -1,099 $85 14¢ $-148 $-233 06-12 14:50
Will Kash Patel leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +199 $78 58¢ $116 +$38 05-29 11:31
Will Howard Lutnick leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +100 $54 70¢ $70 +$16 05-28 09:23
Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30? No +70 $66 97¢ $68 +$1 07-02 01:44
Will Pete Hegseth leave the Trump administration before 2027? No +83 $53 74¢ $61 +$8 05-28 00:02
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June? Yes -8,163 $-2,096 $-20 +$2,076 06-15 13:47
Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027? Yes +100 $18 17¢ $17 $-1 07-02 01:29
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30? Yes +107 $2 $3 +$1 07-02 02:03