Windy-Jacket — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$128

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

10,665

lifetime

Volume

$2.56M

lifetime

Avg / trade

$240

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-23

last 07-30 15:39

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 10 days

Categories

Politics

72% 70% +$1,227

Other

23% 61% $-1,635

Tech

5% — —

Crypto

1% 75% +$280

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 539 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	114	$66.3K	68,269	51,559	+16,711	open	—	03-11 20:57
israel closes its airspace by june 15 687	342	$63.5K	56,142	56,077	+65	open	—	06-14 21:47
us announces new iran agreementceasefire extension by june 12 2482	138	$52.6K	31,468	31,468	+0	open	—	06-12 02:30
will iran close its airspace by june 30 20260609184136054	56	$49.1K	40,054	31,227	+8,827	open	—	06-17 22:28
iran closes its airspace by june 8	116	$40.8K	29,290	29,290	+0	open	—	06-07 22:53
will iran strike israel on march 6	167	$40.7K	27,017	28,160	-1,143	open	—	03-10 15:43
will the us next strike iran on february 28 2026 et	67	$39.6K	22,370	19,815	+2,555	open	—	02-28 07:40
will trump restart project freedom by june 30	75	$34.7K	19,839	19,839	+0	open	—	06-11 01:11
israel closes its airspace by june 8	154	$34.1K	22,153	22,153	+0	open	—	06-08 16:29
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	81	$32.6K	31,886	31,873	+13	open	—	05-30 11:35
us x iran permanent peace deal by june 15 2026 734 856 129	70	$30.8K	23,823	20,813	+3,010	open	—	06-15 20:34
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	30	$30.8K	16,306	24,469	-8,163	open	—	07-05 14:52
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2T?	77	$29.4K	26,727	7,942	+18,785	open	—	06-12 19:54
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by June 30?	33	$27.0K	16,619	11,564	+5,054	open	—	06-24 08:19
Will Trump restart Project Freedom by May 31?	72	$26.2K	18,697	11,547	+7,150	open	—	06-01 01:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 15 2026 671	57	$25.7K	15,077	15,077	+0	open	—	06-16 08:45
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 17 2026 20260612163100185 516 841	24	$25.1K	15,490	14,911	+580	open	—	06-18 00:13
Will a U.S. anti-cartel operation outside of the United States occur by April 30, 2026?	15	$24.3K	14,052	14,052	-0	Yes	+$3,745	05-03 12:44
Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	56	$23.7K	16,542	10,784	+5,758	open	—	05-31 19:30
US x Iran ceasefire by December 31?	10	$23.6K	14,031	14,031	+0	open	—	04-07 23:29
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	43	$21.3K	14,462	13,407	+1,055	open	—	06-20 20:29
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $2.2T?	131	$20.2K	26,555	25,588	+967	open	—	06-12 20:07
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	46	$20.0K	23,477	20,994	+2,483	open	—	05-30 22:37
will iran strike israel on march 10	161	$20.0K	29,676	13,828	+15,848	open	—	03-15 07:15
SpaceX IPO closing market cap above $3T	31	$19.3K	10,633	9,451	+1,182	open	—	06-12 18:29
iran strike on israel by february 28	32	$18.6K	9,685	9,885	-200	open	—	02-28 20:59
us x iran diplomatic meeting by june 18 2026 585	34	$18.5K	14,051	8,782	+5,269	open	—	06-18 08:39
us strikes iraq by february 28	200	$18.1K	36,543	32,063	+4,480	open	—	03-05 17:34
trump announces us x iran ceasefire over by june 15 20260607232556275 193	27	$18.0K	8,002	11,067	-3,064	open	—	06-16 10:47
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	34	$17.8K	10,593	10,585	+9	open	—	05-13 22:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-30 15:39:24	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	SELL	1,799	98¢	$1,763	0x033a17…
07-13 10:57:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	177	61¢	$108	0x18f2d0…
07-13 10:57:56	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	31	61¢	$19	0x7d70c7…
07-13 10:57:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	10	61¢	$6	0x936fff…
07-13 10:57:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$2	0xd7e898…
07-13 10:57:32	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	61¢	$3	0xc4e88b…
07-13 10:57:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	61¢	$2	0xc97ab1…
07-13 10:57:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	57	61¢	$35	0xa64efd…
07-12 17:17:13	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xc88a10…
07-12 17:17:08	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0x4d8d4b…
07-12 17:17:05	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0x8744f6…
07-12 01:59:49	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	674	35¢	$236	0x434408…
07-12 01:58:17	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	674	30¢	$202	0x25f9c3…
07-11 23:58:22	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	661	61¢	$403	0x12e4d2…
07-11 23:52:01	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x07c5b7…
07-11 23:10:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	61¢	$122	0x164442…
07-11 23:10:40	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	78	61¢	$48	0x0da174…
07-11 23:10:35	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3,723	61¢	$2,271	0xe68c5e…
07-11 22:30:13	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	53	38¢	$20	0x2b57b4…
07-11 22:30:10	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	39	38¢	$15	0x7d7ffe…
07-11 22:26:22	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	SELL	122	38¢	$46	0x39233a…
07-10 14:36:13	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	580	16¢	$92	0x9a781a…
07-10 14:26:04	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	SELL	500	25¢	$125	0x9bdd1c…
07-10 14:23:10	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	SELL	20	16¢	$3	0x46df16…
07-10 02:52:23	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	757	97¢	$737	0x38f17a…
07-10 01:39:43	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	97	99¢	$95	0x6ac31a…
07-10 01:38:10	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	38	99¢	$37	0xc1f527…
07-09 23:20:55	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0x5a6209…
07-09 22:36:05	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xbe2bff…
07-09 22:06:59	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	227	97¢	$221	0x7ab4e6…
07-09 21:14:40	us iran final nuclear deal by july 31 2026 20260621201255151	No	BUY	37	99¢	$37	0x900262…
07-09 20:52:35	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 10 2026 20260622191708360	Yes	SELL	505	0¢	$2	0xce2be3…
07-09 20:51:58	us iran final nuclear deal by august 13 2026 20260621201255152	No	BUY	16	97¢	$15	0xf10255…
07-08 13:57:49	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	No	BUY	4,000	96¢	$3,840	0x1e7080…
07-08 13:56:08	strait of hormuz traffic returns to normal by july 15	No	SELL	2,109	99¢	$2,088	0x850ec9…
07-07 18:53:19	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 31 20260622191733846 586	No	BUY	200	89¢	$178	0xff04ad…
07-07 01:56:34	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	64	97¢	$62	0xe6a2dc…
07-06 10:51:32	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	36	97¢	$35	0xa75aae…
07-05 20:35:35	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	134	21¢	$28	0x8df180…
07-05 19:28:50	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	2	21¢	$0	0x8a6dcb…
07-05 18:03:55	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	No	BUY	1,000	90¢	$900	0x45ab34…
07-05 18:03:29	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	SELL	7	21¢	$1	0xd26034…
07-05 18:03:11	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by july 15 155	Yes	SELL	100	10¢	$10	0x4cb83d…
07-05 15:07:29	israel x iran permanent peace deal by july 31 2026	No	BUY	213	97¢	$207	0xde6f71…
07-05 14:52:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of June?	No	SELL	5,070	100¢	$5,060	0x04357b…
07-05 02:56:43	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by June 30?	No	SELL	2,959	100¢	$2,956	0xf6c23d…
07-04 22:54:47	iran charges hormuz fees by october 31	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xfc9be2…
07-04 05:18:22	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	196	87¢	$171	0x65d0ed…
07-03 07:12:10	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	No	SELL	70	100¢	$70	0x6790cf…
07-02 22:45:25	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	479	94¢	$450	0x42f19c…
07-02 19:09:41	iaea visits isfahan fordow or natanz nuclear site by july 31 20260624040209014	No	SELL	632	94¢	$594	0x8acae6…
07-02 16:47:43	israel closes its airspace by july 7	No	BUY	200	99¢	$197	0x28e043…
07-02 16:23:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	600	93¢	$558	0xa57d04…
07-02 16:05:08	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	93	2¢	$2	0xad2c92…
07-02 16:04:44	us iran 60 day negotiation period extended 20260624044855448	Yes	BUY	400	61¢	$244	0xe6f221…
07-02 10:12:26	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by august 31 223	Yes	BUY	142	33¢	$47	0x0506ac…
07-02 05:20:01	sinaloa govpt ruben rocha extradited to us by july 31 20260626164958846	No	BUY	4	87¢	$3	0x77a09c…
07-02 05:04:47	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	328	14¢	$46	0x6732cd…
07-02 04:30:19	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	909	25¢	$227	0x935065…
07-02 04:12:26	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xc669de…
07-02 03:54:44	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x2eed95…
07-02 03:46:56	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x3494ee…
07-02 03:46:25	iran full airspace closure by july 31 20260625195254150	Yes	BUY	91	25¢	$23	0xd1d99a…
07-02 03:46:13	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	22	99¢	$22	0x557a0f…
07-02 03:46:11	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	67	99¢	$66	0xc59f40…
07-02 02:35:52	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	20	15¢	$3	0x73dbd7…
07-02 02:08:04	will iran announce withdrawal from mou negotiations by july 7 20260630014219997	No	BUY	200	98¢	$197	0x7af8b0…
07-02 02:06:11	iran charges hormuz fees by july 15 20260625175039061	No	BUY	1,021	96¢	$980	0xcf349c…
07-02 02:03:07	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	74	2¢	$2	0x7b5c0f…
07-02 01:44:52	Kim Kardashian and Lewis Hamilton confirmed relationship by June 30?	No	BUY	70	95¢	$66	0x9eba69…
07-02 01:42:49	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	25	2¢	$1	0x5022df…
07-02 01:30:55	Will Lebanon recognize Israel by June 30?	Yes	BUY	8	2¢	$0	0x03b3da…
07-02 01:29:02	Israel and Lebanon normalize relations before 2027?	Yes	BUY	100	18¢	$18	0x5210d6…
07-02 00:01:37	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	180	15¢	$27	0x9b9cba…
07-01 23:30:13	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	1,415	92¢	$1,301	0x2fe50e…
07-01 23:27:49	israel closes its airspace by july 31 287	No	BUY	85	92¢	$79	0x5885f9…
07-01 23:14:43	will trump agree to iranian transit fees in the strait of hormuz by june 30	Yes	BUY	4,922	1¢	$48	0x900414…
07-01 23:05:35	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	8	14¢	$1	0xe580ef…
07-01 22:55:29	iran full airspace closure by july 15 20260625195254149	Yes	BUY	64	14¢	$9	0x9da81a…
07-01 22:47:53	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	100	99¢	$99	0xc60139…
07-01 22:35:40	iran full airspace closure by august 31 20260625195254151	Yes	BUY	1,562	39¢	$607	0xe052c5…
07-01 19:46:44	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	SELL	2,282	100¢	$2,279	0x85536d…
07-01 19:36:56	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xcaa9e5…
07-01 19:20:14	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x9b276b…
07-01 18:25:13	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	SELL	100	100¢	$100	0x0f0b51…
07-01 18:20:10	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	SELL	971	100¢	$970	0x0bdec8…
07-01 18:02:08	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	138	95¢	$131	0x460c83…
07-01 17:03:02	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	100	96¢	$96	0x3b1841…
07-01 15:55:14	iran full airspace closure by june 30 20260625195254148	No	SELL	1,687	100¢	$1,685	0x46f7c6…
07-01 15:46:55	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0x03bcf5…
07-01 15:29:37	will the us government rescind its ban on all foreign use of claude fable 5 by july 1 20260613202440143	Yes	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xa05cde…
07-01 15:05:04	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x1911ef…
07-01 15:04:13	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x0cb408…
07-01 15:03:02	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf3d97b…
07-01 15:02:20	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xe1e73e…
07-01 15:01:25	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x7d8d8f…
07-01 15:00:32	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xf604fe…
07-01 14:59:41	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x5a3102…
07-01 14:58:56	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x21a3ac…
07-01 14:58:19	israel x hezbollah diplomatic meeting by june 30 2026	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xefa3a2…