Misty-Octagon — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

89.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$189

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-04

last 05-26 10:10

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 67% +$6

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1771724100	2	$43	38	38	+0	open	—	02-22 01:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	3	$32	21	21	+0	Down	+$10	05-06 12:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	3	$21	11	11	+0	open	—	05-26 10:09
btc updown 5m 1771721700	2	$15	10	10	+0	open	—	02-22 01:01
btc updown 5m 1772017800	1	$13	20	0	+20	open	—	02-25 11:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	open	—	05-03 08:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	05-03 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	2	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$2	05-05 00:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	04-25 15:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$5	23	0	+23	open	—	05-26 10:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Down	$-5	05-05 08:52
btc updown 5m 1771773600	1	$5	12	0	+12	open	—	02-22 15:20
btc updown 5m 1771757700	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	02-22 10:55
btc updown 5m 1771727700	1	$1	13	0	+13	open	—	02-22 02:36
spx up or down on february 4 2026	1	$1	2	0	+2	open	—	02-04 15:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-26 10:10:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	23	24¢	$5	0xd3e83c…
05-26 10:09:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	11	95¢	$11	0xfd7b0e…
05-26 10:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0xedef09…
05-26 10:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	6	88¢	$5	0x81811b…
05-06 12:30:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	21	99¢	$21	0xd9822d…
05-06 12:27:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	53¢	$2	0xd6a9c2…
05-06 12:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	53¢	$9	0xe4b7cf…
05-05 08:52:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x0d29f2…
05-05 00:26:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	SELL	10	68¢	$7	0xe70116…
05-05 00:24:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25PM-8:30PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xef612d…
05-03 08:23:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	10	73¢	$7	0x06ea96…
05-03 08:22:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x0933f2…
05-03 02:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	SELL	12	56¢	$7	0x74245d…
05-03 02:21:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x56e629…
04-25 15:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0x066904…
02-25 11:12:32	btc updown 5m 1772017800	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x891f53…
02-22 15:20:38	btc updown 5m 1771773600	Down	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x882bdd…
02-22 10:55:28	btc updown 5m 1771757700	Up	BUY	10	33¢	$3	0xc45474…
02-22 02:36:46	btc updown 5m 1771727700	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0x53e324…
02-22 01:41:08	btc updown 5m 1771724100	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0x2eb6ee…
02-22 01:39:58	btc updown 5m 1771724100	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x0aec75…
02-22 01:01:42	btc updown 5m 1771721700	Up	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x945113…
02-22 00:55:30	btc updown 5m 1771721700	Up	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0xaa8227…
02-04 15:29:40	spx up or down on february 4 2026	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x8c975a…