Upbeat-Fat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$6

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

37.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$56

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-12 19:50

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

77% 38% $-3

Politics

14% 0% $-1

Other

9% 0% $-2

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 41 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-09 20:56
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	6	$5	19	19	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 17:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	5	$5	106	6	+100	Down	$-1	05-09 17:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$4	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	4	$4	4	4	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$3	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	4	$3	9	9	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 20:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	3	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 20:37
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 20:42
Will Trump visit China by May 31?	2	$2	22	22	+0	open	—	05-10 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 17:56
Will Trump visit China by June 30?	2	$2	29	29	+0	open	—	05-10 06:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$2	1	1	+0	Up	$-0	05-10 05:58
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	2	$2	8	8	+0	open	—	05-10 05:58
Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	2	$2	2	2	+0	HOTU	$-0	05-12 19:43
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	2	$1	71	71	+0	open	—	05-12 19:17
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	2	$1	7	7	+0	open	—	05-12 19:17
Games Total: O/U 2.5	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Over	$-1	05-12 19:50
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	1	$1	1,000	0	+1,000	Yes	$-1	05-09 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-09 17:44
Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B	1	$1	8	0	+8	MASONIC	$-1	05-12 19:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 19:50:34	Games Total: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x1c1254…
05-12 19:48:53	Counter-Strike: Rune Eaters vs MASONIC (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 2 Play-In Group B	Rune Eaters	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0xb6da7e…
05-12 19:43:59	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	SELL	2	27¢	$1	0xfb6b31…
05-12 19:24:49	Counter-Strike: HOTU vs INOX Division (BO3) - CCT Europe Series 1 Playoffs	HOTU	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x0bc09a…
05-12 19:17:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	SELL	71	0¢	$0	0x67dde3…
05-12 19:17:54	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	7	2¢	$0	0x7a10ce…
05-10 12:59:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	63¢	$1	0x98fadb…
05-10 12:58:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xeebe36…
05-10 12:55:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	3	42¢	$1	0x863ca6…
05-10 12:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xc1676d…
05-10 06:09:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by May 15?	Yes	BUY	71	1¢	$1	0xde264b…
05-10 06:08:25	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xa9f923…
05-10 06:06:42	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	SELL	29	3¢	$1	0x6fe8b7…
05-10 06:06:38	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	SELL	22	5¢	$1	0xd0150b…
05-10 05:58:51	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	SELL	8	9¢	$1	0x70bbf7…
05-10 05:58:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	0	91¢	$0	0x0aaa56…
05-10 05:57:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	70¢	$1	0xd92e64…
05-10 05:57:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x40778f…
05-09 21:33:30	Will Trump visit China by May 31?	No	BUY	22	5¢	$1	0x203371…
05-09 21:33:25	Will Trump visit China by June 30?	No	BUY	29	3¢	$1	0x855d46…
05-09 21:32:03	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0xa5c1b0…
05-09 20:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	SELL	6	71¢	$4	0xcb6aa7…
05-09 20:43:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	6	51¢	$3	0x2e1953…
05-09 20:42:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	56¢	$1	0xc560af…
05-09 20:37:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xe266de…
05-09 20:37:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	0	80¢	$0	0x00fb36…
05-09 20:36:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x780e91…
05-09 20:35:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x7705da…
05-09 20:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	7	1¢	$0	0xbcae28…
05-09 20:33:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xc2ab97…
05-09 20:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	SELL	2	48¢	$1	0xe6d8e8…
05-09 20:32:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x1c3bfa…
05-09 18:01:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$0	0x1d0bb1…
05-09 18:01:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	58¢	$0	0x545bc5…
05-09 18:00:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	0	66¢	$0	0x92903d…
05-09 18:00:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	67¢	$1	0x9946ac…
05-09 17:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	SELL	2	42¢	$1	0x76eadd…
05-09 17:56:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x7cde7b…
05-09 17:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x7ad184…
05-09 17:54:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	4	29¢	$1	0x27ec31…
05-09 17:54:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	27¢	$1	0x508a4b…
05-09 17:50:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	SELL	3	39¢	$1	0x9d826d…
05-09 17:50:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x597b3c…
05-09 17:49:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xa0bb9f…
05-09 17:49:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	49¢	$1	0x3cad31…
05-09 17:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x93e608…
05-09 17:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0x80619b…
05-09 17:44:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x16a804…
05-09 17:36:16	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	1,000	0¢	$1	0x6849d4…
05-09 17:33:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0x3c1ccf…
05-09 17:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0xe083c5…
05-09 17:31:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	15¢	$1	0x48c8ec…
05-09 17:30:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x3f7199…
05-09 17:29:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x23b914…
05-09 17:28:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x5c0d19…
05-09 17:28:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	10	1¢	$0	0x4bcc05…
05-09 17:27:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xaac30f…
05-09 17:26:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	SELL	8	16¢	$1	0x562aae…
05-09 17:26:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x225942…