Nippy-Evolution — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$194

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

49.4%

Resolved

Trades

1,384

lifetime

Volume

$10.8K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-30

last 05-17 10:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 43% $-194

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

41 active days in 12wk • peak 83 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (12) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776283500	2	$377	294	280	+14	open	—	04-15 20:09
btc updown 5m 1776282600	2	$362	278	265	+13	open	—	04-15 19:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	4	$128	90	90	+0	Down	+$35	05-05 23:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	3	$70	90	0	+90	Down	+$20	05-06 04:55
eth updown 15m 1775508300	3	$67	90	0	+90	open	—	04-06 20:55
Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$65	186	0	+186	open	—	05-13 20:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	3	$63	90	0	+90	Up	$-63	05-05 23:40
eth updown 15m 1775510100	6	$60	90	0	+90	open	—	04-06 21:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	3	$58	90	0	+90	Down	+$32	05-06 13:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	3	$55	90	0	+90	Up	$-55	05-06 08:27
btc updown 5m 1776282900	1	$50	125	0	+125	open	—	04-15 19:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	3	$50	84	0	+84	Up	+$35	05-06 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	2	$48	38	38	+0	open	—	05-17 10:04
eth updown 15m 1775555100	2	$47	60	0	+60	open	—	04-07 09:59
btc updown 15m 1775268000	3	$45	60	0	+60	open	—	04-04 02:12
eth updown 15m 1775561400	2	$45	60	0	+60	open	—	04-07 11:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	2	$43	60	0	+60	Up	+$17	05-06 15:46
eth updown 15m 1775562300	2	$41	60	0	+60	open	—	04-07 11:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	2	$41	120	120	+0	Down	$-38	05-07 05:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	9	$40	60	4	+56	Down	$-35	05-06 20:28
eth updown 15m 1775553300	2	$40	60	0	+60	open	—	04-07 09:27
Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	1	$39	41	0	+41	open	—	05-17 10:14
eth updown 15m 1775511900	3	$39	90	0	+90	open	—	04-06 21:45
eth updown 15m 1776857400	4	$39	30	29	+1	open	—	04-22 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	1	$38	221	0	+221	open	—	05-17 10:16
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	1	$38	42	0	+42	Up	+$4	05-07 04:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	3	$38	60	60	+0	Down	$-32	05-06 18:30
eth updown 15m 1777057200	2	$38	60	0	+60	open	—	04-24 19:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	2	$37	30	30	+0	Down	$-7	05-05 12:59
eth updown 15m 1775998800	6	$36	60	0	+60	open	—	04-12 13:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 10:16:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Up	BUY	221	17¢	$38	0xf3cb8a…
05-17 10:14:44	Ethereum Up or Down - May 17, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	41	96¢	$39	0x214b9f…
05-17 10:04:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	SELL	38	99¢	$38	0xf55bfa…
05-17 10:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 17, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0xa2f15c…
05-15 12:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	16	31¢	$5	0x408edd…
05-13 20:21:49	Will Trump say "Soybean" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	186	35¢	$65	0x242218…
05-07 05:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	SELL	120	1¢	$1	0x054d4b…
05-07 04:55:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:55AM-1:00AM ET	Up	BUY	120	33¢	$40	0xf947da…
05-07 04:53:53	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	42	92¢	$38	0x4d1108…
05-06 21:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	62¢	$19	0x30dbea…
05-06 21:02:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x807cf5…
05-06 20:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x61afb1…
05-06 20:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	54¢	$8	0xee1e17…
05-06 20:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	54¢	$3	0xe0ba7f…
05-06 20:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0xa84db1…
05-06 20:48:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x1bd069…
05-06 20:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	0	60¢	$0	0xe6c5e1…
05-06 20:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xb112a3…
05-06 20:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x628448…
05-06 20:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	13	60¢	$8	0x54bb70…
05-06 20:28:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	60¢	$2	0x28c730…
05-06 20:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	SELL	4	72¢	$3	0x733465…
05-06 20:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	58¢	$2	0x808990…
05-06 20:25:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x2df44e…
05-06 20:20:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$19	0xfeee65…
05-06 19:49:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	61¢	$18	0xb81b60…
05-06 19:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x594025…
05-06 19:38:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0xb926c7…
05-06 19:08:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:00PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	30	54¢	$16	0x33cb93…
05-06 18:55:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	35¢	$11	0xc4c611…
05-06 18:55:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	34¢	$10	0x32b7fe…
05-06 18:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	32¢	$5	0xb8a0e4…
05-06 18:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xb913f0…
05-06 18:31:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0x21f894…
05-06 18:30:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	60	4¢	$3	0x0cbe6e…
05-06 18:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x55680b…
05-06 18:16:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x5791ed…
05-06 17:32:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	41¢	$12	0x0c07c0…
05-06 17:03:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	48¢	$14	0x42b98b…
05-06 16:32:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x5338db…
05-06 16:31:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	53¢	$16	0x9d5026…
05-06 16:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x955a9d…
05-06 15:46:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0x07be52…
05-06 15:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	30	71¢	$21	0xef4457…
05-06 14:03:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0x595f25…
05-06 13:41:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0x38c738…
05-06 13:40:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	70¢	$21	0x7cb153…
05-06 13:40:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0xaeb32e…
05-06 12:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0x615435…
05-06 12:16:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	34¢	$2	0x2ebd16…
05-06 12:16:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	31¢	$9	0x0f8b09…
05-06 11:56:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	40¢	$12	0x60e760…
05-06 10:16:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	60¢	$18	0x55b451…
05-06 10:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15AM-6:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	58¢	$17	0x472890…
05-06 10:04:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x7cffc6…
05-06 10:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	55¢	$17	0xdea5ee…
05-06 10:01:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	24	53¢	$13	0xc7374a…
05-06 09:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	25¢	$4	0xe00cfa…
05-06 09:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	25¢	$0	0x9a60cf…
05-06 09:56:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x627e03…
05-06 09:56:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	25¢	$2	0x3d963e…
05-06 09:56:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	6	25¢	$2	0x1d1669…
05-06 09:32:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	30	82¢	$25	0x351ec3…
05-06 08:27:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	59¢	$18	0x841bd6…
05-06 08:25:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	57¢	$17	0x8e858d…
05-06 08:20:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:15AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	30	67¢	$20	0x639de2…
05-06 07:50:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	39¢	$12	0x93086a…
05-06 07:50:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	37¢	$11	0x4a682c…
05-06 07:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:45AM-4:00AM ET	Up	BUY	30	36¢	$11	0x56d16c…
05-06 06:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0x35dff0…
05-06 04:55:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0xda55b7…
05-06 04:55:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	77¢	$23	0x1c1720…
05-06 04:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45AM-1:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	79¢	$24	0x6f0ee0…
05-05 23:59:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	SELL	90	90¢	$81	0x497226…
05-05 23:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	55¢	$16	0x0a5465…
05-05 23:56:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	46¢	$14	0xeebdc4…
05-05 23:55:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45PM-8:00PM ET	Down	BUY	30	52¢	$16	0xf30c0c…
05-05 23:40:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	74¢	$22	0xe18cde…
05-05 23:39:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	69¢	$21	0xa9cf01…
05-05 23:39:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30PM-7:45PM ET	Down	BUY	30	68¢	$20	0x2bebbd…
05-05 17:06:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0xc39610…
05-05 17:06:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x0cb298…
05-05 17:06:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x981973…
05-05 12:59:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	SELL	30	49¢	$15	0xb3f7f5…
05-05 12:57:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:45AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xa071a5…
05-05 12:05:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x4dc530…
05-05 11:52:36	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	18	3¢	$1	0x5a40d6…
05-05 11:52:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	18	4¢	$1	0x56a53b…
05-05 11:50:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	21¢	$1	0x3ce0ab…
05-05 11:50:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	22¢	$1	0x09e82a…
05-05 11:49:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	3	27¢	$1	0x896569…
05-05 11:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0x819f2a…
05-05 11:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	44¢	$1	0x93bf6d…
05-05 11:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	45¢	$1	0x739a27…
05-05 11:42:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x52eee0…
05-05 11:42:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:45AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x4e4b4f…
05-05 11:28:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	SELL	30	52¢	$16	0xa37c1c…
05-05 11:27:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:15AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	30	20¢	$6	0x4d301d…
05-05 11:05:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 7:00AM-7:15AM ET	Up	BUY	30	29¢	$9	0x2a7c63…
05-05 10:49:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 6:45AM-7:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	72¢	$1	0xdf4468…