Likely-Brain — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

123

lifetime

Volume

$10.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$87

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-02

last 06-30 06:52

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

54% 100% +$0

Politics

24% — —

Other

22% — —

Tech

0% — —

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

47 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 60 79	2	$337	172	172	+0	open	—	02-27 01:15
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	2	$281	141	141	+0	open	—	05-24 10:31
us x iran ceasefire by april 7	2	$273	140	140	+0	open	—	04-06 11:55
will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	3	$210	209	18	+192	open	—	03-09 01:45
bitcoin above 64k on march 11	1	$192	193	0	+193	open	—	03-11 09:28
donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	1	$192	192	0	+192	open	—	03-10 14:15
bitcoin above 72k on march 3	1	$183	184	0	+184	open	—	03-03 09:39
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	1	$181	183	0	+183	open	—	02-28 05:44
elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	1	$170	171	0	+171	open	—	02-24 15:21
us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	1	$168	170	0	+170	open	—	02-23 14:47
donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 100 119	1	$166	181	0	+181	open	—	02-27 01:15
us strikes iran by february 21 2026	1	$164	0	165	-165	open	—	02-22 01:51
us strikes iran by february 22 2026	1	$164	168	0	+168	open	—	02-22 01:51
us strikes iran by february 20 2026 151 468 624 297 614 778 872 127 349 448 499 337 826 553	1	$160	163	0	+163	open	—	02-20 10:07
us strikes iran by february 19 2026 992	1	$157	160	0	+160	open	—	02-19 09:06
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$154	157	0	+157	open	—	02-16 12:36
will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by february 15	2	$148	154	0	+154	open	—	02-12 11:32
us strikes iran by february 10 2026	2	$146	148	0	+148	open	—	02-10 08:30
bitcoin above 66k on march 19	1	$145	145	0	+145	open	—	03-18 05:53
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	05-16 09:06
solana above 70 on june 7 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	06-07 14:20
bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	06-08 01:19
bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	06-06 04:46
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	05-24 10:31
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	05-28 02:11
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	05-19 06:35
will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 4	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	06-05 01:44
bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	06-09 01:26
solana above 80 on june 10 2026	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	06-10 07:40
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 27?	1	$140	140	0	+140	open	—	05-26 01:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-30 06:52:08	bitcoin above 54k on july 1 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x72b93a…
06-29 11:40:10	bitcoin above 54k on june 29 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x3ab87c…
06-28 04:35:53	bitcoin above 56k on june 28 2026	Yes	BUY	80	100¢	$80	0x7892af…
06-27 07:09:02	bitcoin above 56k on june 27 2026	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x0fd090…
06-26 14:25:25	bitcoin above 54k on june 26 2026	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x24ea1a…
06-26 03:31:44	fifwc tur usa 2026 06 25 spread home 2pt5	United States	BUY	78	100¢	$78	0x0a1269…
06-25 11:44:37	bitcoin above 54k on june 25 2026	Yes	BUY	79	100¢	$79	0x6e9a90…
06-23 09:46:43	bitcoin above 66k on june 23 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x697d62…
06-22 01:16:34	will solana dip to 65 on june 21	No	BUY	15	100¢	$15	0x70d680…
06-22 01:16:19	will solana dip to 60 on june 21	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x6d4af8…
06-21 01:44:17	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0xb1b806…
06-21 01:44:07	fifwc ecu kor 2026 06 20 total 1pt5	Under	BUY	11	90¢	$10	0xa07fca…
06-20 01:29:46	ethereum above 1900 on june 20 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x5bc550…
06-13 08:15:25	lol gen kt 2026 06 13	Gen.G	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0x06c937…
06-12 07:29:13	bitcoin above 58k on june 12 2026	Yes	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x693f78…
06-12 03:04:48	fifwc kr cze 2026 06 11 spread away 1pt5	Korea Republic	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0xd11e1e…
06-11 01:45:25	bitcoin above 68k on june 11 2026	No	BUY	130	100¢	$130	0x63fd74…
06-11 01:40:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 10	Spurs	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0x24571a…
06-10 07:40:19	solana above 80 on june 10 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x83bf8b…
06-09 01:26:34	bitcoin above 68k on june 9 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x4d9610…
06-08 01:19:28	bitcoin above 70k on june 8 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x1228a5…
06-07 14:20:54	solana above 70 on june 7 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x07eb78…
06-06 04:46:27	bitcoin above 66k on june 6 2026	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xbd4fb2…
06-05 01:44:42	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 4	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x081ad5…
06-04 01:15:30	will bitcoin dip to 58k on june 3	No	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0xcfb221…
06-03 01:22:28	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on June 4?	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x975834…
05-30 15:21:16	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on June 1?	Yes	BUY	101	99¢	$100	0xc62789…
05-28 02:11:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on May 29?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xc0d1f9…
05-26 01:30:03	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $86,000 on May 27?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xb160ed…
05-24 10:31:44	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 25?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0x467cd6…
05-24 10:31:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	SELL	141	100¢	$141	0xbb686b…
05-21 14:45:26	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 24?	Yes	BUY	141	99¢	$140	0xf67e2b…
05-20 07:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xf54766…
05-19 06:35:20	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on May 20?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xd70731…
05-17 06:32:50	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	40	100¢	$40	0x5443ae…
05-17 06:32:41	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 18?	Yes	BUY	102	98¢	$100	0x7a59b4…
05-16 09:06:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 16?	Yes	BUY	140	100¢	$140	0xe7a541…
05-10 13:58:54	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on May 14?	Yes	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x4d4ae7…
05-07 01:55:27	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $76,000 on May 7?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x9f22f9…
05-05 03:59:10	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0xc06e29…
05-03 03:47:08	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	121	99¢	$120	0x610f6e…
04-29 01:52:04	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	140	100¢	$139	0x0a8f4b…
04-27 02:54:58	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on April 27?	Yes	BUY	139	100¢	$139	0xc25f70…
04-24 01:18:30	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on April 26?	Yes	BUY	139	99¢	$138	0x392ff9…
04-22 02:38:00	bitcoin above 70k on april 23	Yes	BUY	138	99¢	$137	0x4e105f…
04-21 01:12:32	bitcoin above 70k on april 21	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x90b61e…
04-18 03:05:40	bitcoin above 66k on april 20	Yes	BUY	137	100¢	$137	0x24a999…
04-16 06:55:52	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 380 399	No	BUY	137	99¢	$136	0x72bb6e…
04-15 02:02:56	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 200 219	No	BUY	136	100¢	$135	0x8b22d5…
04-13 06:08:53	elon musk of tweets april 11 april 13 240plus	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x19823f…
04-12 02:56:49	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide from april 6 12	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x48071d…
04-11 06:12:21	bitcoin above 60k on april 12	Yes	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x99fadc…
04-10 15:40:19	bitcoin above 62k on april 11	Yes	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x57ec2e…
04-09 01:56:59	bitcoin above 76k on april 9	No	BUY	75	100¢	$75	0x9490d6…
04-09 01:25:01	donald trump of truth social posts april 3 april 10 200plus	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x7d5c02…
04-06 11:58:55	donald trump of truth social posts march 31 april 7 140 159	No	BUY	135	100¢	$134	0xe6fec4…
04-06 11:55:13	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	SELL	140	96¢	$134	0x0762f4…
04-05 04:27:39	us x iran ceasefire by april 7	No	BUY	140	99¢	$138	0x5d5675…
04-04 02:56:21	elon musk of tweets april 2 april 4 190 214	No	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x1f0718…
04-01 01:31:59	bitcoin above 62k on april 1	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x1dadf5…
03-31 01:24:59	bitcoin above 60k on march 31	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$138	0x6e1d0f…
03-29 03:53:40	bitcoin above 60k on march 30	Yes	BUY	138	100¢	$137	0xa1e0b6…
03-23 06:56:43	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 29	Yes	BUY	19	51¢	$10	0x69bfd5…
03-23 06:55:57	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	SELL	33	0¢	$0	0xaab53f…
03-20 02:41:01	will there be exactly 3 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	52	96¢	$50	0xa6e71f…
03-20 02:40:33	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	SELL	9	0¢	$0	0x580c46…
03-18 05:53:53	bitcoin above 66k on march 19	Yes	BUY	145	100¢	$145	0x19c30c…
03-17 01:29:03	will hotschedules be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	32	96¢	$31	0x3473f5…
03-17 01:28:21	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	SELL	51	60¢	$31	0xb55d7f…
03-16 12:15:55	bitcoin above 62k on march 17	Yes	BUY	71	100¢	$71	0x54b8cd…
03-16 12:14:53	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	Yes	BUY	9	58¢	$5	0x174c97…
03-16 12:14:41	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 22	No	BUY	33	91¢	$30	0x0eb38e…
03-16 12:13:47	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x2db3b1…
03-15 12:47:23	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	Yes	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0x8144c7…
03-15 02:24:41	elon musk of tweets march 14 march 16 40 64	Yes	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xb90e1f…
03-15 02:21:05	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x6ed1ea…
03-15 02:20:47	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 15	No	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x311b4b…
03-14 03:00:05	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 165 189	No	BUY	52	100¢	$51	0x8f41db…
03-14 02:58:23	elon musk of tweets march 12 march 14 90 114	Yes	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0xa41a93…
03-14 02:57:23	will radaromega doppler radar app be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	21	95¢	$20	0xa4d995…
03-14 02:56:49	will skyview be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 17	No	BUY	21	96¢	$20	0x7e8f65…
03-13 03:22:17	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 440 459	No	BUY	72	100¢	$72	0xa47af3…
03-13 03:19:53	elon musk of tweets march 6 march 13 320 339	Yes	BUY	67	1¢	$1	0x1d3cab…
03-12 15:18:37	bitcoin above 58k on march 14	Yes	BUY	100	100¢	$100	0x171e6d…
03-12 01:25:43	will radarscope be 1 paid app in the us apple app store on march 13	No	BUY	21	97¢	$20	0xa925b9…
03-11 09:28:41	bitcoin above 64k on march 11	Yes	BUY	193	100¢	$192	0xda162e…
03-10 14:15:05	donald trump of truth social posts march 3 march 10 200plus	No	BUY	192	100¢	$192	0x2d0aa3…
03-09 01:45:11	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	BUY	192	98¢	$188	0xa7d042…
03-05 16:45:53	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	SELL	18	70¢	$12	0x5f9baf…
03-05 00:15:21	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	No	SELL	12	90¢	$11	0x9a3a1a…
03-04 06:01:51	will there be exactly 0 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 8	Yes	BUY	18	56¢	$10	0x0da7f1…
03-04 05:59:49	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by march 5	No	BUY	12	80¢	$10	0xfaacd0…
03-03 09:39:45	bitcoin above 72k on march 3	No	BUY	184	100¢	$183	0xa96a2f…
02-28 05:44:37	will there be exactly 2 earthquakes of magnitude 6pt5 or higher worldwide by march 1	No	BUY	183	99¢	$181	0x5d7975…
02-27 01:15:38	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 100 119	No	BUY	181	92¢	$166	0x4292a5…
02-27 01:15:20	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 60 79	No	SELL	172	97¢	$166	0x824e54…
02-26 14:03:28	donald trump of truth social posts february 20 february 27 60 79	No	BUY	172	99¢	$171	0xbce168…
02-24 15:21:02	elon musk of tweets february 17 february 24 380 399	No	BUY	171	99¢	$170	0x9fe493…
02-23 14:47:36	us strikes iran by february 23 2026 678 563	No	BUY	170	99¢	$168	0x048f61…
02-22 01:51:14	us strikes iran by february 22 2026	No	BUY	168	98¢	$164	0x515c7e…