Downright-Knuckle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

9.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$8.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$153

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-14

last 06-03 04:04

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

47% 33% +$1

Politics

29% 50% +$2

Sports

23% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 1 trade/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	2	$1.8K	945	945	+0	open	—	03-17 04:15
will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	2	$1.8K	931	931	+0	open	—	03-17 08:06
Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$1.8K	909	909	+0	No	+$0	03-17 06:24
will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	6	$1.7K	1,197	1,197	+0	open	—	03-17 07:03
will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	5	$422	227	227	+0	open	—	03-15 15:18
Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	2	$208	113	113	+0	open	—	03-15 12:22
will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	2	$190	97	97	+0	open	—	03-15 22:28
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	5	$168	1,019	1,019	+0	Yes	+$2	03-17 07:40
will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	3	$162	81	81	+0	open	—	03-15 18:40
nhl cal nyi 2026 03 14 total 6pt5	1	$160	372	0	+372	open	—	03-14 06:21
mls vwh min 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	1	$136	325	0	+325	open	—	03-14 03:17
nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 6pt5	1	$84	175	0	+175	open	—	03-14 03:40
elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	3	$21	127	127	+0	open	—	03-16 00:38
chi1 cuc edv 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	1	$20	22	0	+22	open	—	03-14 04:10
SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5	1	$19	21	0	+21	open	—	04-27 15:43
Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5	1	$18	20	0	+20	open	—	06-03 04:04
will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	3	$18	134	134	+0	open	—	03-16 15:23
Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	05-20 11:05
epl sun bri 2026 03 14 spread away 2pt5	1	$17	18	0	+18	open	—	03-14 09:43
spl fat hil 2026 03 14 fat	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	03-14 06:43
RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5	1	$14	15	0	+15	Under	+$1	05-13 06:47
CA Grau vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	05-29 03:36
scop hib liv 2026 03 14 liv	1	$12	13	0	+13	open	—	03-14 09:23
will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	2	$7	111	111	+0	open	—	03-15 12:07
Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$3	83	83	+0	No	$-0	03-15 21:38
will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	2	$2	85	85	+0	open	—	03-15 16:02
Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	2	$1	21	21	+0	No	$-0	03-15 18:13
will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	3	$1	31	11	+20	open	—	03-15 21:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-03 04:04:50	Philippines vs. Guam: O/U 1.5	Over	BUY	20	92¢	$18	0x0733d1…
05-29 03:36:42	CA Grau vs. CD Moquegua: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	13	92¢	$12	0x7ea4d8…
05-20 11:05:14	Santos FC vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x0c5a0e…
05-13 06:47:08	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Athletic Club: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	15	91¢	$14	0xbf92f3…
04-27 15:43:26	SS Lazio vs. Udinese Calcio: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	21	92¢	$19	0xc22d30…
03-17 08:06:11	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	SELL	931	96¢	$896	0xf3215a…
03-17 07:59:07	will ivn arias win the 2026 la paz mayoral election	No	BUY	931	95¢	$886	0x29f115…
03-17 07:40:17	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	930	8¢	$78	0x3d10cf…
03-17 07:33:09	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	930	8¢	$76	0x3ba3aa…
03-17 07:03:39	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	SELL	881	97¢	$854	0x4002af…
03-17 06:54:35	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	475	97¢	$460	0xc41bef…
03-17 06:54:35	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	No	BUY	406	97¢	$393	0x0b8c15…
03-17 06:24:05	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	SELL	909	97¢	$884	0x84367f…
03-17 06:17:03	Will Keir Starmer be the next leader out before 2027?	No	BUY	909	97¢	$884	0x26cbd9…
03-17 04:15:05	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	SELL	945	96¢	$911	0xe27cb9…
03-17 04:05:07	f1 japanese grand prix winner verstappen 2026 03 29	No	BUY	945	97¢	$917	0xfc4bff…
03-16 15:23:17	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	124	6¢	$7	0xd7c8bd…
03-16 00:38:29	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	SELL	33	8¢	$3	0x471b17…
03-16 00:37:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	SELL	94	8¢	$8	0x2d6d00…
03-16 00:28:53	elon musk of tweets march 2026 1320 1359	Yes	BUY	127	9¢	$11	0x4ef4fd…
03-15 22:28:39	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	SELL	97	98¢	$95	0x31729d…
03-15 22:18:55	will google have the best ai model for coding on march 31	No	BUY	97	98¢	$95	0x937377…
03-15 21:56:11	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	SELL	316	6¢	$18	0x4437da…
03-15 21:46:57	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	111	6¢	$7	0x9ad388…
03-15 21:46:57	will trn lu quang be the next prime minister of vietnam	Yes	BUY	205	6¢	$13	0x8fa4a4…
03-15 21:38:55	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	83	2¢	$2	0xe16d43…
03-15 21:30:41	Will Donald Trump be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	83	2¢	$2	0xe4338e…
03-15 21:08:51	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	SELL	11	2¢	$0	0x68cd08…
03-15 21:07:35	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	3	2¢	$0	0x94e5e6…
03-15 21:07:31	will deepseek have the best ai model for coding on march 31	Yes	BUY	28	2¢	$1	0xf27c74…
03-15 20:35:35	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	67	7¢	$5	0xcaefe9…
03-15 20:35:35	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	SELL	22	7¢	$2	0x956e8f…
03-15 20:26:23	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	No	BUY	89	8¢	$7	0xf7d83a…
03-15 18:40:27	will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	No	SELL	63	100¢	$63	0x18e319…
03-15 18:40:25	will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	No	SELL	18	100¢	$18	0x395a5b…
03-15 18:33:57	will blue moon win best original screenplay at the 98th academy awards 476	No	BUY	81	100¢	$81	0xe8a367…
03-15 18:13:49	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	SELL	21	2¢	$0	0xe9ff02…
03-15 18:03:57	Will Sanae Takaichi be the next leader out before 2027?	Yes	BUY	21	2¢	$0	0x1557b0…
03-15 17:08:41	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	10	7¢	$1	0x3d3863…
03-15 17:08:25	will trn thanh mn be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	134	8¢	$10	0x64096f…
03-15 16:02:59	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	No	SELL	85	1¢	$1	0xff174d…
03-15 15:55:59	will reminders of him opening weekend box office be between 16m and 19m	No	BUY	85	1¢	$1	0xe89352…
03-15 15:18:29	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	SELL	115	94¢	$108	0xfd613c…
03-15 15:09:11	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	92	93¢	$86	0x7fad0d…
03-15 15:09:11	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	22	93¢	$20	0x0e732f…
03-15 12:52:47	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	SELL	112	92¢	$103	0xba2957…
03-15 12:46:33	will don tracy be the republican nominee for senate in illinois	Yes	BUY	113	93¢	$105	0x789bf3…
03-15 12:22:55	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	SELL	113	92¢	$104	0xb8ac34…
03-15 12:13:27	Will James Talarico win the Texas Democratic Senate Primary by between 6.00% and 6.50%?	Yes	BUY	113	92¢	$104	0xd03298…
03-15 12:07:31	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	SELL	111	3¢	$4	0xc97fbd…
03-15 11:57:49	will phan vn giang be the next president of vietnam	Yes	BUY	111	3¢	$4	0x615d60…
03-14 09:43:51	epl sun bri 2026 03 14 spread away 2pt5	Sunderland AFC	BUY	18	93¢	$17	0x5d0666…
03-14 09:23:01	scop hib liv 2026 03 14 liv	No	BUY	13	91¢	$12	0x2debed…
03-14 06:43:05	spl fat hil 2026 03 14 fat	No	BUY	15	92¢	$14	0x2ddb7f…
03-14 06:21:53	nhl cal nyi 2026 03 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	372	43¢	$160	0x5280e8…
03-14 04:10:45	chi1 cuc edv 2026 03 14 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	22	90¢	$20	0xdc35ee…
03-14 03:40:17	nhl car tb 2026 03 14 total 6pt5	Over	BUY	175	48¢	$84	0xef36a8…
03-14 03:17:49	mls vwh min 2026 03 14 spread home 1pt5	Vancouver Whitecaps FC	BUY	325	42¢	$136	0x7051b4…