Closed-Signal — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$207

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.2%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$5.85K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$99

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-05

last 05-06 19:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Sports

39% 75% +$113

Other

32% 100% +$93

Politics

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 12 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (5) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	4	$600	344	344	+0	open	—	04-07 08:09
Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	3	$597	347	347	+0	Yes	+$93	05-05 11:26
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$578	369	369	+0	Yes	+$19	04-06 06:35
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	5	$564	341	341	+0	open	—	04-17 17:42
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	6	$475	504	504	+0	open	—	05-04 08:05
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$389	525	0	+525	No	+$137	05-06 19:24
US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	2	$268	169	169	+0	open	—	04-29 03:10
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	2	$246	174	174	+0	open	—	03-13 11:24
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	3	$235	124	124	+0	open	—	04-14 21:11
Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	4	$225	322	125	+197	open	—	04-15 20:08
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$216	118	118	+0	open	—	03-07 12:46
will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	3	$214	174	129	+45	open	—	04-02 10:01
us forces enter iran by march 14 337	1	$200	256	0	+256	open	—	03-05 11:58
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	2	$175	151	151	+0	open	—	04-07 08:57
us x iran ceasefire by april 30	2	$171	246	0	+246	open	—	04-07 16:53
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	2	$169	156	156	+0	open	—	04-08 08:38
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	2	$151	159	159	+0	Yes	+$8	04-29 03:11
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$133	118	118	+0	open	—	03-08 13:07
Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	2	$57	81	81	+0	open	—	04-14 19:36
will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	2	$51	83	83	+0	open	—	04-07 16:53
Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$50	135	0	+135	No	$-50	04-17 17:43
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	1	$40	160	0	+160	open	—	04-21 20:17
lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	1	$21	23	0	+23	open	—	04-21 20:18
Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	1	$20	510	0	+510	open	—	04-07 09:48
Netanyahu out by April 30?	1	$10	791	0	+791	open	—	04-07 09:48

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 19:24:14	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	525	74¢	$389	0xbf47cb…
05-05 11:26:08	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	SELL	347	100¢	$345	0x0861c6…
05-05 03:43:16	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	161	78¢	$126	0x320942…
05-05 03:10:14	Romania No-Confidence vote passes?	Yes	BUY	185	68¢	$126	0x40c94e…
05-04 08:05:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	SELL	217	0¢	$0	0x85e0ad…
04-29 03:11:40	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	SELL	159	50¢	$80	0x8374fd…
04-29 03:10:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$168	0x19a1b7…
04-21 20:18:14	lal rea ala 2026 04 21 rea	Yes	BUY	23	90¢	$21	0x2cc705…
04-21 20:17:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	Yes	BUY	160	25¢	$40	0xd91a84…
04-17 17:43:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	159	45¢	$72	0x0f34d1…
04-17 17:43:24	Will Atlético Madrid reach the UEFA Champions League final?	Yes	BUY	135	37¢	$50	0x558b70…
04-17 17:43:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	217	46¢	$100	0x5fdb48…
04-17 17:42:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	131	97¢	$127	0x367efe…
04-17 17:41:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	180	53¢	$95	0xd20b7d…
04-17 04:33:54	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	180	74¢	$133	0x908735…
04-17 04:33:12	US x Iran permanent peace deal by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0x4145aa…
04-15 20:08:22	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	SELL	125	29¢	$36	0x48a764…
04-14 21:12:14	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	144	86¢	$124	0x9e5ce2…
04-14 21:11:44	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	124	100¢	$124	0x145c68…
04-14 19:42:24	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	53	86¢	$45	0x3e95b7…
04-14 19:37:22	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	34	94¢	$32	0xf004a0…
04-14 19:36:48	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	SELL	81	39¢	$32	0xb2e6b7…
04-14 17:31:30	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	90	88¢	$79	0x0beb65…
04-14 17:31:20	Will Barcelona reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	Yes	BUY	81	31¢	$25	0xdb6bfe…
04-14 17:30:56	Will Bayern München reach the UEFA Champions League semifinal?	No	BUY	125	16¢	$20	0x549f85…
04-08 08:38:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	156	44¢	$69	0xf6b9e7…
04-08 08:37:47	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	107	52¢	$56	0x3d1430…
04-07 16:53:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	46	67¢	$31	0x350876…
04-07 16:53:27	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	SELL	83	37¢	$31	0x16d026…
04-07 16:44:31	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	131	71¢	$93	0x5fd3bf…
04-07 16:43:25	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	156	64¢	$100	0x8a470d…
04-07 09:48:41	Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?	Yes	BUY	510	4¢	$20	0x7466b1…
04-07 09:48:33	Netanyahu out by April 30?	Yes	BUY	791	1¢	$10	0x90f716…
04-07 09:48:21	will the kharg island oil terminal be hit by april 15	Yes	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0x4f98c8…
04-07 09:12:33	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	200	70¢	$140	0xce859d…
04-07 08:58:45	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	210	84¢	$177	0x630ea7…
04-07 08:57:59	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	SELL	151	57¢	$86	0x1dd641…
04-07 08:10:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	107	85¢	$91	0x583dca…
04-07 08:09:37	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	222	86¢	$191	0x905174…
04-06 06:44:39	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	83	83¢	$69	0x0173a8…
04-06 06:35:33	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	74	93¢	$69	0xfdec70…
04-02 10:08:49	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	127	78¢	$99	0x1fcf07…
04-02 10:02:31	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	Yes	BUY	151	59¢	$89	0xe21fa5…
04-02 10:01:23	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	SELL	129	69¢	$89	0x1c8efa…
04-01 13:21:57	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	101	76¢	$77	0xcde0a0…
03-25 08:48:57	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	SELL	295	78¢	$230	0x40bb04…
03-20 05:41:55	will tisza respect and freedom party tisza win the most seats in the next hungarian parliamentary election	Yes	BUY	74	66¢	$49	0x092f91…
03-16 10:54:19	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	222	90¢	$200	0x8f5791…
03-16 10:53:57	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	122	89¢	$109	0x442c32…
03-13 11:24:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	174	75¢	$131	0xdb726a…
03-08 13:08:15	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	40	83¢	$33	0xd7e179…
03-08 13:07:57	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	118	28¢	$33	0x96cbe9…
03-07 12:46:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	BUY	174	66¢	$115	0x89abeb…
03-07 12:46:33	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	SELL	118	98¢	$116	0xc8387d…
03-05 12:32:33	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	Yes	BUY	329	75¢	$247	0xf95909…
03-05 11:58:45	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0xad1928…
03-05 11:58:13	us forces enter iran by march 14 337	No	BUY	256	78¢	$200	0xed81ae…
03-05 11:45:59	Will Arsenal win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	122	82¢	$100	0xf1b3cf…
03-05 11:43:09	us forces enter iran by march 7	No	BUY	118	85¢	$100	0x45b716…