Distorted-Trellis — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$364

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

66.2%

Resolved

Trades

985

lifetime

Volume

$12.0K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-04

last 05-27 17:28

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

53% 55% +$52

Other

41% — —

Sports

3% 100% +$248

Politics

3% 100% +$64

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 612 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (19) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	90	$2.4K	90,292	82,908	+7,384	open	—	05-27 17:28
Aliens.gov confirmed immigration website?	4	$1.1K	2,840	2,840	+0	open	—	05-09 12:29
GTA VI released before June 2026?	25	$572	34,316	34,316	+0	open	—	05-26 19:48
Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	37	$532	717	581	+136	open	—	05-27 17:27
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	3	$368	308	308	+0	Sean Strickland	+$248	05-10 06:26
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	13	$296	933	237	+695	Up	$-14	05-10 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$266	168	168	+0	Up	+$66	05-10 12:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	28	$265	229	182	+47	Down	$-14	05-10 21:39
Confirmed case of Hantavirus in US by May 15?	4	$245	361	361	+0	open	—	05-14 21:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	6	$230	332	314	+19	Down	+$10	05-10 13:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	24	$188	130	130	+0	Up	+$18	05-10 22:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:05AM-9:10AM ET	11	$171	222	222	+0	Up	+$30	05-10 13:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	21	$160	122	112	+10	Up	+$10	05-10 20:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	12	$152	114	63	+51	Up	+$13	05-10 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	15	$131	328	242	+87	Down	$-64	05-10 21:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	8	$129	188	116	+72	Up	$-21	05-10 13:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	4	$128	175	120	+56	Up	$-22	05-10 12:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	13	$120	109	88	+21	Up	+$2	05-10 20:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	13	$111	68	68	+0	Up	+$11	05-10 22:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	16	$111	91	91	+0	Down	+$1	05-10 21:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	21	$110	187	120	+67	Down	+$2	05-10 13:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	19	$109	85	56	+29	open	—	05-16 07:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	15	$106	87	87	+0	Up	+$5	05-10 22:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	10	$104	61	61	+0	open	—	05-14 23:23
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	14	$103	250	84	+165	open	—	05-21 02:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	19	$103	92	45	+47	Down	+$0	05-10 19:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	12	$101	72	72	+0	open	—	05-16 06:54
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	7	$100	360	360	+0	open	—	05-19 05:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	13	$93	81	52	+29	Up	+$13	05-10 21:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	9	$91	51	51	+0	open	—	05-14 22:55

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-27 17:28:19	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	427	0¢	$1	0x96ed24…
05-27 17:27:58	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	30	3¢	$1	0xbdc196…
05-26 19:49:00	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	30	5¢	$2	0x13acc8…
05-26 19:48:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	1,000	0¢	$1	0x7d8e8a…
05-26 19:24:10	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	1,000	0¢	$2	0x2a9492…
05-26 19:23:55	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	59	5¢	$3	0x61644e…
05-26 19:16:04	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	59	5¢	$3	0x4a5025…
05-26 19:15:55	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,863	0¢	$3	0x995e57…
05-26 14:43:13	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	500	0¢	$2	0xe67b27…
05-26 14:24:08	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	2,863	0¢	$3	0xc594af…
05-26 14:23:56	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	3,748	0¢	$15	0x4bda04…
05-26 14:23:03	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	5,726	0¢	$6	0xe1a19c…
05-26 14:20:07	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	11,453	0¢	$11	0x6b91c8…
05-26 14:08:04	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	2,995	0¢	$13	0x76d536…
05-26 14:07:46	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	SELL	7,635	0¢	$15	0xe611b3…
05-26 11:51:41	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	182	1¢	$1	0x7742fb…
05-26 10:37:22	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	394	5¢	$19	0xf9644a…
05-26 10:23:15	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	938	8¢	$73	0xa7bd58…
05-26 09:49:04	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	933	5¢	$43	0xc73943…
05-26 09:40:08	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	627	5¢	$32	0xbfc221…
05-26 09:39:53	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11,482	0¢	$34	0x39a159…
05-26 09:39:32	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0xc2bcf6…
05-26 09:39:26	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	100	3¢	$3	0x8d3597…
05-26 09:37:05	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	205	15¢	$30	0x28d19a…
05-26 09:36:51	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	11,482	0¢	$34	0x398d71…
05-26 09:36:21	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	333	1¢	$4	0x8b2c8d…
05-26 09:36:16	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	149	1¢	$2	0xd682f6…
05-26 09:35:44	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	565	1¢	$8	0x20675a…
05-26 09:35:28	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	58	15¢	$9	0xdd2a2a…
05-26 09:34:59	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	2,346	3¢	$68	0xeb79eb…
05-26 09:34:22	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	14,342	1¢	$182	0x77794c…
05-26 09:33:52	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	0¢	$1	0xa12254…
05-26 09:21:30	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	5,976	0¢	$20	0x005bd0…
05-26 09:20:55	GTA VI released before June 2026?	Yes	BUY	3,101	0¢	$9	0x357e9c…
05-26 09:20:38	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	58	15¢	$9	0xfe8f4b…
05-25 06:46:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	45¢	$24	0x52d23e…
05-25 06:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	54	46¢	$25	0x44e580…
05-25 06:41:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x9e4c7b…
05-25 06:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0xc88363…
05-25 06:40:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	7	73¢	$5	0xc5e2f6…
05-25 06:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xc62963…
05-25 06:40:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x7fae52…
05-25 06:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xf6c458…
05-25 06:40:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0xdd80c9…
05-25 06:35:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x37b86e…
05-25 06:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x3dd9b9…
05-25 06:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x9a198c…
05-25 06:35:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	62¢	$5	0x62437a…
05-25 06:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xefee8e…
05-25 06:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	61¢	$5	0xa8a703…
05-25 06:32:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	SELL	25	88¢	$22	0x4d7a7d…
05-25 06:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb76cd2…
05-25 06:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x60360d…
05-25 06:32:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0x3fa14b…
05-25 06:30:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x6a3822…
05-25 06:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0xde9aaa…
05-25 06:30:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x44573c…
05-25 06:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x9f5e06…
05-25 06:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	9	54¢	$5	0x18a49f…
05-25 06:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xa97675…
05-25 06:24:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x0280c7…
05-23 04:12:24	Will Trump attend his son's wedding?	Yes	BUY	74	3¢	$2	0xb77786…
05-22 21:51:43	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	10,964	0¢	$35	0xeae1ee…
05-21 02:52:17	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0x540917…
05-21 02:38:41	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	38	40¢	$15	0x3d38d2…
05-21 02:18:30	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	18	40¢	$7	0x6683a7…
05-21 01:58:40	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	24	40¢	$9	0xbc4bd1…
05-21 01:23:42	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x65a324…
05-21 01:23:16	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	10	40¢	$4	0x5b9b57…
05-21 01:20:54	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5,976	1¢	$42	0xc0c3bc…
05-21 01:07:50	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	23	38¢	$9	0x6db95e…
05-21 00:58:49	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	45	28¢	$13	0x78b4c7…
05-21 00:48:38	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	245	1¢	$2	0xd0cfd6…
05-21 00:48:37	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	20	1¢	$0	0x75854f…
05-21 00:48:14	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	179	1¢	$1	0x05fff2…
05-21 00:48:12	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	333	1¢	$3	0x11287c…
05-21 00:48:00	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	4,000	1¢	$28	0xf68243…
05-21 00:46:27	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	5,223	1¢	$42	0x7acc26…
05-21 00:45:07	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	SELL	84	8¢	$7	0x33c685…
05-21 00:34:58	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	6	23¢	$1	0x578851…
05-21 00:34:37	Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 22?	Yes	BUY	16	24¢	$4	0x3c36e7…
05-20 20:57:19	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	SELL	77	22¢	$17	0xed44d1…
05-20 03:56:52	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	BUY	190	1¢	$2	0x0439a4…
05-19 16:23:24	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	950	1¢	$11	0xd8fb57…
05-19 13:20:03	Will the US confirm that aliens exist by May 31?	Yes	SELL	350	2¢	$5	0x4c7c9a…
05-19 13:15:22	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	97	31¢	$30	0x804cc3…
05-19 13:14:38	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x6e53b0…
05-19 13:14:36	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x85445d…
05-19 13:14:34	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0xa1f50d…
05-19 13:14:34	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x40d24f…
05-19 13:14:31	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0x65e17c…
05-19 13:14:26	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	29¢	$3	0x1d20f8…
05-19 13:14:24	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xee483a…
05-19 13:14:03	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	250	10¢	$25	0x0a5911…
05-19 13:13:45	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xeebcd8…
05-19 13:13:45	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xa0c87c…
05-19 13:13:10	Another GTA VI trailer released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x197ecf…
05-19 09:11:16	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	250	12¢	$30	0x6f677b…
05-19 05:23:16	Iran closes its airspace by May 31?	Yes	SELL	70	37¢	$26	0x2b4b1c…
05-19 05:22:34	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	Yes	SELL	101	10¢	$10	0xd983cc…