Trusting-Newsletter — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$32

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

29.2%

Resolved

Trades

491

lifetime

Volume

$2.44K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-09

last 06-12 12:01

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 29% $-32

Sports

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

29 active days in 12wk • peak 180 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	2	$121	161	0	+161	open	—	05-31 22:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	17	$52	66	63	+3	open	—	04-24 22:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$48	259	0	+259	open	—	06-02 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	14	$43	44	43	+2	open	—	04-24 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	14	$43	52	43	+8	open	—	04-24 22:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	8	$40	33	26	+7	open	—	04-24 22:48
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	2	$34	60	0	+60	open	—	06-02 18:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	5	$31	19	19	+0	open	—	04-24 22:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	10	$31	31	29	+1	open	—	04-24 23:02
Ethereum Up or Down - April 24, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	7	$30	32	18	+13	open	—	04-24 22:35
Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$30	64	0	+64	open	—	06-02 18:32
eth updown 15m 1776430800	4	$27	25	24	+1	open	—	04-17 13:16
eth updown 15m 1776292200	4	$25	30	0	+30	open	—	04-15 22:42
XRP Up or Down - April 24, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	7	$22	26	25	+1	open	—	04-24 22:58
Solana Up or Down - April 24, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	8	$22	44	20	+23	open	—	04-24 22:39
nfl sea ne 2026 02 08	1	$21	63	0	+63	open	—	02-09 00:08
Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	2	$20	96	0	+96	open	—	06-01 00:06
Solana Up or Down - May 4, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	3	$17	118	10	+108	open	—	05-04 16:55
eth updown 5m 1776429000	2	$17	17	16	+1	open	—	04-17 12:27
sol updown 15m 1776428100	2	$16	27	26	+1	open	—	04-17 12:27
btc updown 5m 1776429300	2	$16	16	16	+1	open	—	04-17 12:27
eth updown 15m 1776302100	3	$16	20	0	+20	open	—	04-16 01:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	3	$16	41	0	+41	open	—	05-19 19:16
eth updown 5m 1776429300	2	$15	15	15	+1	open	—	04-17 12:27
sol updown 5m 1776426900	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 11:56
sol updown 5m 1776427500	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 11:56
sol updown 5m 1776428400	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 11:56
sol updown 5m 1776428100	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 11:56
sol updown 5m 1776427800	1	$15	29	0	+29	open	—	04-17 11:56
btc updown 5m 1776429900	2	$15	15	14	+1	open	—	04-17 12:26

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-12 19:23:48	sol updown 5m 1781292000	Up	BUY	315	3¢	$11	0x79c56d…
06-12 19:02:46	sol updown 5m 1781290800	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x9e1b9c…
06-12 19:02:40	sol updown 5m 1781290800	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x7d65da…
06-12 18:58:46	sol updown 15m 1781289900	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x55ab6a…
06-12 18:54:42	sol updown 5m 1781290200	Up	BUY	24	42¢	$10	0xff0042…
06-12 12:01:51	sol updown 15m 1781265600	Up	BUY	22	43¢	$10	0x1c1c1d…
06-12 02:10:04	btc updown 5m 1781230200	Up	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x50283b…
06-12 02:10:03	eth updown 5m 1781230200	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0xb02e82…
06-12 02:10:03	sol updown 5m 1781230200	Up	BUY	10	47¢	$5	0x5559e6…
06-02 19:03:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	259	19¢	$48	0x690b1c…
06-02 18:51:36	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xca611c…
06-02 18:43:53	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xf901f3…
06-02 18:38:08	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	36	68¢	$24	0x7fbad6…
06-02 18:37:29	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xeaffdd…
06-02 18:32:23	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	43¢	$10	0xa050ae…
06-02 18:31:34	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	16	61¢	$10	0xe352d5…
06-02 18:30:22	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xedf677…
06-02 18:27:20	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	14	70¢	$10	0x6481de…
06-02 18:20:43	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x9210c7…
06-02 16:10:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0xc259d1…
06-02 16:10:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	70¢	$1	0x0e67fc…
06-02 16:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0xa1b0f0…
06-02 15:30:06	Ethereum Up or Down - June 2, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x663862…
06-02 15:21:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	38	34¢	$13	0x6ba8e0…
06-02 15:17:52	XRP Up or Down - June 2, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	24	52¢	$12	0x97803a…
06-02 03:00:04	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x5c58ba…
06-02 01:17:23	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	57	18¢	$10	0xb6139a…
06-02 01:16:18	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x73f2e1…
06-02 01:14:12	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x46cc8a…
06-02 01:13:32	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x741898…
06-02 01:13:00	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	96	10¢	$10	0xebea01…
06-02 01:02:55	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x93f4ba…
06-01 19:40:04	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	19	50¢	$10	0x990595…
06-01 13:42:03	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	26	40¢	$10	0x83df50…
06-01 13:36:48	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	39¢	$10	0x73f6a5…
06-01 13:12:47	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x45a61c…
06-01 12:18:31	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:15AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x26975e…
06-01 12:00:59	Solana Up or Down - June 1, 8:00AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x110ca0…
06-01 07:19:31	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 3:15AM-3:30AM ET	Up	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0x05dc41…
06-01 06:47:18	XRP Up or Down - June 1, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	32	32¢	$10	0x3150af…
06-01 03:19:15	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	22	46¢	$10	0xe33167…
06-01 00:34:08	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0xefc211…
06-01 00:06:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0xd4825f…
06-01 00:05:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 31, 8:00PM-8:15PM ET	Down	BUY	29	36¢	$10	0xd20dae…
05-31 23:17:12	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Down	BUY	43	20¢	$9	0x58b198…
05-31 23:09:52	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	426	2¢	$10	0x18ae1e…
05-31 22:59:47	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	137	81¢	$110	0x6ae1cf…
05-31 22:53:01	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:45PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0xc8d48d…
05-31 22:42:27	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	80	13¢	$10	0x9e9b36…
05-31 22:34:52	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xd5472d…
05-31 22:15:09	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0xf8aa80…
05-31 17:18:06	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	147	7¢	$11	0x3349e2…
05-31 16:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	12	49¢	$6	0xcaa515…
05-31 16:51:07	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	34¢	$6	0xd4ec91…
05-31 16:44:42	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	44	11¢	$5	0xf87280…
05-31 15:26:49	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 11:15AM-11:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x60741f…
05-31 14:15:04	Solana Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x673426…
05-31 14:15:03	XRP Up or Down - May 31, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0x6341ce…
05-31 05:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 1:45AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	11	50¢	$6	0x13373c…
05-30 22:35:56	Solana Up or Down - May 30, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$6	0xbc2320…
05-30 21:09:36	XRP Up or Down - May 30, 5:00PM-5:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	45¢	$6	0xdda335…
05-29 15:35:03	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	21	45¢	$9	0xb16995…
05-29 15:30:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 29, 11:30AM-11:45AM ET	Up	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x81f6e3…
05-29 15:27:00	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	26	36¢	$9	0x84111e…
05-29 15:01:48	Solana Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$8	0x1440b4…
05-29 15:00:04	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 11:00AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	51¢	$7	0x686541…
05-29 14:07:12	XRP Up or Down - May 29, 10:00AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x8eed4b…
05-28 14:42:00	Solana Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	14	41¢	$6	0x48d4ee…
05-28 14:41:51	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Down	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0x9c0a9e…
05-28 14:15:05	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x0b51a2…
05-28 14:15:03	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Up	BUY	18	48¢	$8	0x0e71aa…
05-28 14:10:02	eth updown 5m 1779977400	Up	BUY	12	52¢	$6	0x50e687…
05-28 04:47:32	XRP Up or Down - May 28, 12:45AM-12:50AM ET	Up	BUY	14	43¢	$6	0x57be6d…
05-28 04:06:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 28, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	13	49¢	$6	0x3f08ba…
05-28 03:47:49	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0x2f62a3…
05-28 03:30:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	11	48¢	$5	0xd5a6da…
05-28 03:30:09	XRP Up or Down - May 27, 11:30PM-11:45PM ET	Down	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xa15791…
05-24 13:55:03	Ethereum Up or Down - May 24, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	9	41¢	$4	0x321079…
05-24 09:25:03	Solana Up or Down - May 24, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x025a55…
05-24 08:54:49	XRP Up or Down - May 24, 4:45AM-5:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	46¢	$5	0xa8d4f7…
05-24 00:23:56	Canadiens vs. Hurricanes	Canadiens	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0xefcd32…
05-23 21:51:18	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	9	38¢	$3	0xfd36d9…
05-23 21:41:04	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	58	17¢	$10	0x12f265…
05-23 20:47:43	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:45PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	25	38¢	$9	0x2d6af7…
05-23 20:22:47	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	17	41¢	$7	0x56208d…
05-23 18:34:53	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 2:30PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	15	43¢	$6	0x8e8d31…
05-23 14:55:05	XRP Up or Down - May 23, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Up	BUY	17	45¢	$8	0xea5662…
05-23 08:25:03	Solana Up or Down - May 23, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	50¢	$6	0xb55b5c…
05-23 08:08:08	Ethereum Up or Down - May 23, 4:00AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	35¢	$6	0xc2a11a…
05-23 03:06:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 11:00PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	11	46¢	$5	0xe3ce40…
05-22 19:33:04	XRP Up or Down - May 22, 3:30PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	15	42¢	$6	0xcd8cac…
05-22 01:03:53	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 9:00PM-9:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x61826a…
05-21 18:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	14	48¢	$7	0x25bf9b…
05-21 18:55:02	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0xff27a5…
05-21 18:01:56	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 2:00PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	11	51¢	$5	0xf03de9…
05-21 17:25:05	Solana Up or Down - May 21, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0x71237a…
05-20 05:10:03	Solana Up or Down - May 20, 1:10AM-1:15AM ET	Up	BUY	16	45¢	$7	0xe35868…
05-19 19:16:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x8cfd39…
05-19 19:15:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xfa5f89…
05-19 19:15:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	11	45¢	$5	0x52595a…