Pastel-Lobby — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$107

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

95.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$2.93K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$67

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 08-17 20:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 6 days

Categories

Politics

52% 100% +$153

Other

38% 50% $-98

Crypto

10% 100% +$52

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (8) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	2	$629	370	370	+0	No	+$7	05-18 07:40
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	3	$509	311	311	+0	No	+$2	05-12 04:37
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	2	$420	223	223	+0	No	+$0	05-15 15:54
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	11	$330	700	0	+700	open	—	08-17 20:06
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	2	$302	260	260	+0	Yes	+$52	05-07 16:55
us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	3	$164	100	100	+0	No	+$10	06-29 12:27
Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	2	$130	100	100	+0	open	—	06-16 11:04
trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	4	$117	150	0	+150	Yes	+$33	07-30 08:44
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	3	$100	200	200	+0	No	$-98	07-27 02:47
trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	4	$100	200	0	+200	Yes	+$100	07-09 11:48
will base launch a token by december 31 2027	2	$76	50	50	+0	open	—	06-26 15:12
will base launch a token by june 30 2027	6	$51	50	50	+0	open	—	06-27 06:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-17 20:06:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	200	36¢	$72	0xe7d865…
08-17 07:17:21	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	4	42¢	$2	0xf99615…
08-17 07:03:52	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xc78f18…
08-17 06:09:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xbe2bdd…
08-17 06:04:42	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0x40ad1b…
08-17 03:27:58	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0xf5d016…
08-17 03:08:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	14	42¢	$6	0x1187d8…
08-17 03:08:00	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	155	42¢	$65	0xfea648…
07-30 08:44:45	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	Yes	BUY	10	78¢	$8	0x451544…
07-27 02:47:07	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	SELL	200	0¢	$1	0x1df3c1…
07-25 13:30:12	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	Yes	BUY	40	78¢	$31	0x143706…
07-25 13:20:10	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x27fee4…
07-25 13:20:06	trump declassifies new ufo files by august 31 20260710184334567	Yes	BUY	50	78¢	$39	0x6f778d…
07-23 05:28:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	51	50¢	$26	0x33595d…
07-23 05:18:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	149	50¢	$74	0xe684f2…
07-09 11:48:22	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	100	37¢	$37	0xeccd97…
07-05 03:48:41	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?	Yes	BUY	100	74¢	$74	0x5707e7…
07-03 15:59:53	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x0fd914…
07-03 15:18:38	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	14	63¢	$9	0x8fed15…
07-03 14:00:14	trump declassifies new ufo files by july 31 961	Yes	BUY	66	63¢	$42	0x53d813…
06-29 12:27:19	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	SELL	100	87¢	$87	0x001283…
06-27 06:08:55	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	14	50¢	$7	0x68d842…
06-27 03:44:32	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	16	50¢	$8	0x7b2f86…
06-26 15:12:55	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	SELL	50	76¢	$38	0x1709f6…
06-26 13:13:01	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	9	50¢	$4	0x01db20…
06-26 01:23:47	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0xf47b71…
06-25 22:41:44	us x iran diplomatic meeting by july 31 2026 20260622191708361	Yes	BUY	50	77¢	$38	0xf9f13a…
06-25 22:01:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	46¢	$46	0x901e8b…
06-25 18:10:25	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?	Yes	BUY	100	53¢	$53	0xcb035e…
06-23 17:00:22	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	8	50¢	$4	0x94cf72…
06-20 14:45:14	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	SELL	3	52¢	$1	0xd9ad8d…
06-16 19:57:16	will base launch a token by december 31 2027	Yes	BUY	50	76¢	$38	0x26699f…
06-16 19:56:58	will base launch a token by june 30 2027	Yes	BUY	50	51¢	$26	0x685625…
06-16 11:04:04	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	SELL	100	60¢	$60	0xeadb46…
06-09 20:34:22	Will Base launch a token by December 31, 2026?	No	BUY	100	70¢	$70	0x149162…
05-18 07:40:36	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	SELL	370	86¢	$318	0x3506d5…
05-17 19:48:37	Iran closes its airspace by May 21?	No	BUY	370	84¢	$311	0x4e628b…
05-15 15:54:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	223	94¢	$210	0x84c589…
05-15 08:39:33	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	223	94¢	$210	0x91ca30…
05-12 04:37:58	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	311	82¢	$255	0x3a9dd9…
05-11 15:45:00	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	120	82¢	$98	0xe360ee…
05-11 02:28:45	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	191	81¢	$155	0x51023c…
05-07 16:55:51	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	260	68¢	$177	0x876cd0…
05-07 08:07:24	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by December 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	260	48¢	$125	0x30ed46…