Negligible-Tog — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

67.6%

Resolved

Trades

323

lifetime

Volume

$642

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-16 18:14

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 59% $-13

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 63 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 1PM ET	9	$19	0	42	-42	open	—	04-27 17:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	4	$15	11	11	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 18:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	2	$12	15	0	+15	Down	$-2	05-09 12:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	4	$10	0	21	-21	open	—	05-01 08:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-12 16:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-10 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	3	$10	10	5	+5	Up	+$0	05-10 15:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	04-25 19:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	2	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	04-25 19:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	3	$8	18	0	+18	open	—	04-25 19:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	2	$7	13	13	+0	open	—	05-16 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	05-16 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 18:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 18:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$7	7	0	+7	open	—	04-26 18:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 18:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	3	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 19:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 25, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	3	$7	14	0	+14	open	—	04-25 19:10
Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	5	$6	5	5	+0	Up	+$1	05-10 16:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	04-26 07:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	3	$6	0	11	-11	open	—	05-01 08:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	2	$6	0	11	-11	open	—	05-01 08:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	2	$6	0	11	-11	open	—	05-01 08:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$6	0	10	-10	Up	+$0	05-09 08:12
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	2	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	05-01 07:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	3	$5	5	5	+0	open	—	05-01 05:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$5	0	10	-10	open	—	04-28 02:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	3	$5	0	7	-7	open	—	05-01 08:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 18:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	SELL	13	1¢	$0	0x40b70e…
05-16 18:14:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Down	BUY	13	54¢	$7	0x60364c…
05-16 18:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x28479d…
05-16 17:59:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	7	97¢	$7	0x076865…
05-16 17:34:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x481217…
05-12 17:39:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	4¢	$0	0xad42aa…
05-12 17:34:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	52¢	$2	0x985739…
05-12 17:34:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Down	SELL	0	52¢	$0	0xa1ce6e…
05-12 17:30:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8f6302…
05-12 17:27:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x94653d…
05-12 17:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	4	30¢	$1	0x92b673…
05-12 17:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	SELL	1	30¢	$0	0x47cbff…
05-12 17:20:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:20PM-1:25PM ET	Down	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x52f6e2…
05-12 16:45:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	35¢	$2	0x9cd755…
05-12 16:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	35¢	$1	0x48794c…
05-12 16:45:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0x08dc9b…
05-12 16:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	0	40¢	$0	0xda300b…
05-12 16:41:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x7cc01b…
05-12 16:40:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	40¢	$2	0x6bd912…
05-12 16:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1671a7…
05-12 16:03:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0xfabe03…
05-10 19:18:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x633b50…
05-10 17:09:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x82bc3d…
05-10 16:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x11a55f…
05-10 16:44:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x3485d4…
05-10 16:15:14	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x9aad16…
05-10 16:15:08	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x33d8ee…
05-10 16:11:12	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0x4b15d6…
05-10 16:10:13	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0xd59c9e…
05-10 16:10:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x93cd4d…
05-10 16:10:07	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x49a1e7…
05-10 16:10:07	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x2e3d51…
05-10 16:06:11	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	48¢	$0	0x06744d…
05-10 16:05:17	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc09b32…
05-10 16:05:06	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x67424b…
05-10 16:04:05	Solana Up or Down - May 10, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xa711c8…
05-10 15:59:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xbc13de…
05-10 15:55:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0x5b360c…
05-10 15:53:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x823e8e…
05-10 15:44:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x1c346f…
05-09 18:21:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x2b7967…
05-09 18:15:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x913a0f…
05-09 18:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xeddeb7…
05-09 18:15:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x322cb1…
05-09 18:13:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0x945af9…
05-09 18:10:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	46¢	$2	0x37a999…
05-09 18:05:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xe1924a…
05-09 18:04:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0x629f10…
05-09 18:02:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x8525d2…
05-09 17:59:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x30b7d3…
05-09 17:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xc3d345…
05-09 17:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xb25f43…
05-09 17:01:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd12bc7…
05-09 17:00:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xbad7fe…
05-09 16:55:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x8ebda9…
05-09 16:54:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xb80deb…
05-09 13:49:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	81¢	$1	0x0c76c0…
05-09 13:33:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	35¢	$1	0xa05103…
05-09 12:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	2	10¢	$0	0x344397…
05-09 12:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xd2fc27…
05-09 12:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x3e5c00…
05-09 12:25:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x6cc86b…
05-09 12:24:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	49¢	$1	0x80beec…
05-09 12:24:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	4	49¢	$2	0xe577e3…
05-09 10:48:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	SELL	5	24¢	$1	0x0fb501…
05-09 10:44:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:45AM-6:50AM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x8708bc…
05-09 10:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	3	54¢	$1	0xdefdb1…
05-09 10:40:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Up	SELL	2	54¢	$1	0x33e9ee…
05-09 10:39:42	Ethereum Up or Down - May 9, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	Down	SELL	5	47¢	$2	0x4e20d1…
05-09 09:30:03	Solana Up or Down - May 9, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xea5b51…
05-09 09:04:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:00AM-5:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x4af181…
05-09 08:58:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Up	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0xb922f4…
05-09 08:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xc12383…
05-09 08:57:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:55AM-5:00AM ET	Down	SELL	0	85¢	$0	0x12fa6d…
05-09 08:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	65¢	$1	0x7cd056…
05-09 08:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	SELL	3	65¢	$2	0x089321…
05-09 08:19:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	SELL	5	1¢	$0	0x411bb0…
05-09 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0xdc3e7d…
05-09 08:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	3	55¢	$1	0xa79feb…
05-09 08:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	55¢	$0	0xbe7b32…
05-09 08:12:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	4	55¢	$2	0x39eae3…
05-09 08:10:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Down	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0xb5ba68…
05-09 05:35:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x2ca1a3…
05-09 05:34:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Up	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0x496a84…
05-09 05:30:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd9e503…
05-09 05:29:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$2	0x762d9c…
05-09 05:29:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x250a6d…
05-09 05:24:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xd8dd9a…
05-09 05:24:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$1	0x0fda6c…
05-09 05:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0xcc0ff3…
05-09 05:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Down	SELL	5	51¢	$3	0xc4de79…
05-09 05:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0x7fd503…
05-09 05:17:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0x372390…
05-09 05:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	3	51¢	$1	0xc93e2f…
05-09 05:15:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Down	SELL	2	51¢	$1	0xbe276c…
05-09 05:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	51¢	$0	0xc46ad0…
05-09 05:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	0	51¢	$0	0x98f042…
05-09 05:15:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15AM-1:20AM ET	Up	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x54222d…
05-09 05:10:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:05AM-1:10AM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x1a4c49…
05-09 05:04:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0xd56b5f…