Elegant-Research — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$180

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

22.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$396

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 05-06 18:58

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 38% $-170

Politics

2% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

1 active day in 12wk • peak 18 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$100	1,329	+1,329	Up	$-100	05-06 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$100	1,031	+1,031	Down	$-100	05-06 17:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	1	$25	42	+42	Down	$-25	05-06 17:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$25	34	+34	Down	$-25	05-06 18:01
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	1	$25	42	+42	Up	+$17	05-06 17:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	1	$25	49	+49	Up	+$24	05-06 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	1	$25	83	+83	Up	+$58	05-06 17:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	1	$11	24	+24	Down	$-11	05-06 18:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$10	23	+23	Down	$-10	05-06 18:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$10	71	+71	Down	$-10	05-06 18:58
Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	1	$10	357	+357	Yes	$-10	05-06 18:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	1	$5	62	+62	Up	$-5	05-06 18:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	1	$5	10	+10	Up	+$5	05-06 18:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	1	$5	500	+500	Down	$-5	05-06 18:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	1	$5	12	+12	Up	+$7	05-06 17:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	1	$5	19	+19	Up	+$14	05-06 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$5	5	+5	Down	$-5	05-06 18:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 18:58:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0xecbaef…
05-06 18:48:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd40910…
05-06 18:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	1,078	7¢	$80	0xdb392c…
05-06 18:43:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Down	BUY	251	8¢	$20	0xa10863…
05-06 18:39:33	Will Trump speak to Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in May?	No	BUY	357	3¢	$10	0xc6e3eb…
05-06 18:34:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Up	BUY	500	1¢	$5	0x0b87e7…
05-06 18:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x67cb72…
05-06 18:24:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	24	46¢	$11	0x276657…
05-06 18:18:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x8cc144…
05-06 18:14:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x6713bd…
05-06 18:08:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x4ed5e3…
05-06 18:01:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	34	74¢	$25	0x4b50d5…
05-06 17:59:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xeb8f27…
05-06 17:53:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0xee4078…
05-06 17:47:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1,031	10¢	$100	0x4a83bb…
05-06 17:43:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:40PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	83	30¢	$25	0x10d0b3…
05-06 17:36:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	42	59¢	$25	0xc33b3a…
05-06 17:34:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x212028…