Misguided-Sphynx — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$19

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

65.0%

Resolved

Trades

330

lifetime

Volume

$1.64K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-15

last 06-09 12:30

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

47% 55% $-19

Other

38% — —

Politics

15% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 52 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (7) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	8	$244	159	130	+29	open	—	05-25 10:48
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	11	$166	167	84	+83	open	—	05-20 08:20
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	2	$65	74	0	+74	open	—	05-25 10:49
Will Trump say "Rare earth" during events with Xi Jinping?	3	$52	45	12	+33	open	—	05-15 08:33
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $90 in April?	3	$46	24	24	+0	open	—	04-29 08:34
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	1	$40	43	0	+43	open	—	05-25 11:34
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $95 in April?	3	$35	41	0	+41	open	—	04-29 13:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	4	$31	16	16	+0	open	—	05-21 13:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	6	$30	34	0	+34	Down	+$4	05-06 13:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	3	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	05-22 10:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	3	$29	19	19	+0	open	—	06-01 12:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $105 in April?	2	$28	21	20	+1	open	—	04-29 13:47
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	5	$26	35	0	+35	open	—	05-15 13:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	5	$25	49	0	+49	open	—	06-01 12:42
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	3	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	04-29 00:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	5	$22	26	0	+26	Down	+$4	05-06 07:44
atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	2	$21	53	28	+25	open	—	06-07 17:05
Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	05-30 18:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	1	$20	39	0	+39	open	—	06-01 12:38
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$20	27	0	+27	open	—	05-15 13:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	4	$19	61	55	+5	Down	+$2	05-06 07:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	4	$17	16	5	+11	open	—	05-14 13:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	6	$17	20	7	+12	Up	+$3	05-06 13:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	3	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	06-02 08:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	3	$15	24	0	+24	Down	+$9	05-06 10:57
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	1	$15	16	0	+16	open	—	04-28 10:11
Will Trump say "Fentanyl" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$15	17	0	+17	open	—	05-15 06:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	3	$15	15	0	+15	Up	+$0	05-05 13:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	3	$15	14	14	+0	open	—	04-29 13:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	5	$14	13	6	+6	Up	$-2	05-06 13:53

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-09 12:30:37	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x74ff52…
06-09 12:25:49	btc updown 5m 1781007900	Up	BUY	14	37¢	$5	0xef8833…
06-09 12:25:49	btc updown 5m 1781007900	Up	BUY	13	38¢	$5	0xde5b7d…
06-09 12:25:18	btc updown 5m 1781008200	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x0c1193…
06-07 17:05:09	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	28	39¢	$11	0xd53916…
06-07 12:39:07	atp cobolli zverev 2026 06 07	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xb56446…
06-02 08:26:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8745eb…
06-02 08:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xdc1929…
06-02 08:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xaa609c…
06-02 08:21:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 2, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x02be0e…
06-01 13:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	46	4¢	$2	0xc73de4…
06-01 13:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	29	17¢	$5	0xe2a2fa…
06-01 12:59:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x645e54…
06-01 12:55:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	9	55¢	$5	0x8d82b7…
06-01 12:55:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xf0d667…
06-01 12:42:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x96e3f6…
06-01 12:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xd5c23c…
06-01 12:42:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcc3751…
06-01 12:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xb2ffc9…
06-01 12:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x75ae8d…
06-01 12:38:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Up	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x30190a…
06-01 06:20:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x2bf66f…
05-30 18:16:19	Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xafd320…
05-30 17:20:16	Bradley Barcola: Anytime Goalscorer	No	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xa49860…
05-30 16:52:42	Paris Saint-Germain FC vs. Arsenal FC: O/U 3.5	Over	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x808250…
05-26 06:11:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x55b8ba…
05-26 06:10:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	18	31¢	$6	0x6529e2…
05-26 06:08:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 26, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3559ae…
05-25 13:35:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	200	1¢	$2	0x312187…
05-25 12:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x391518…
05-25 12:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	8	25¢	$2	0xa54468…
05-25 12:11:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	14	36¢	$5	0xe767a0…
05-25 12:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Down	BUY	11	47¢	$5	0x4f6f37…
05-25 12:06:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0x1c2762…
05-25 12:06:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x2e595c…
05-25 11:34:41	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 26, 2026?	No	BUY	43	93¢	$40	0xae6d95…
05-25 10:49:24	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	34	89¢	$30	0xe66606…
05-25 10:48:38	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	86	97¢	$83	0x3c16de…
05-25 10:42:38	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz by May 31?	No	BUY	40	87¢	$35	0x6aa3db…
05-25 10:34:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xb75ff4…
05-25 10:31:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	13	39¢	$5	0x05b276…
05-25 10:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:30AM-6:35AM ET	Up	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x41d746…
05-25 10:28:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xa74c0b…
05-25 08:23:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x55b9ee…
05-25 08:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x80d9ab…
05-25 08:20:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3439c0…
05-25 08:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Down	BUY	11	18¢	$2	0x19a20f…
05-25 08:11:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 25, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	33	6¢	$2	0xc86979…
05-22 12:30:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0x28d885…
05-22 12:26:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x0d4bed…
05-22 10:14:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	SELL	20	99¢	$19	0x25a1d2…
05-22 10:09:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xbccffa…
05-22 10:09:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0x7933f3…
05-22 10:07:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 22, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Down	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x5a5761…
05-21 13:16:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	53¢	$5	0x19d504…
05-21 13:03:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	SELL	16	97¢	$16	0x1317cb…
05-21 13:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0xce6299…
05-21 13:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x922c3f…
05-21 13:02:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	5	93¢	$5	0x0f48a4…
05-21 12:47:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0x167775…
05-21 12:30:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x053080…
05-21 12:30:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6f8e45…
05-21 12:29:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x531ff3…
05-21 12:21:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x90f955…
05-21 12:20:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	Up	BUY	3	29¢	$1	0x54aa0e…
05-21 12:19:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0x86c183…
05-21 12:15:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	56¢	$5	0x84723c…
05-21 12:15:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0x0b1844…
05-21 12:13:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	Up	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xb76d67…
05-21 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xef4591…
05-21 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	5	29¢	$1	0xbfaca4…
05-21 12:01:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	SELL	11	29¢	$3	0xb88b95…
05-21 12:00:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x1de541…
05-21 12:00:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 8:00AM-8:05AM ET	Down	BUY	12	17¢	$2	0x918663…
05-21 11:58:15	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	11	96¢	$11	0x4ede03…
05-21 10:23:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	8	24¢	$2	0x78f54c…
05-21 10:22:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:20AM-6:25AM ET	Up	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x6adefb…
05-21 10:15:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0xc822b7…
05-21 10:15:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 6:15AM-6:20AM ET	Down	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x77dc92…
05-21 09:37:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0x24979c…
05-21 09:37:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 21, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	8	63¢	$5	0xe518ea…
05-20 08:35:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x0af2fe…
05-20 08:35:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:35AM-4:40AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x06e5c2…
05-20 08:22:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x493ab2…
05-20 08:22:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	4	50¢	$2	0x864864…
05-20 08:22:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0xf086df…
05-20 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x8e87e8…
05-20 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	77¢	$2	0x7afc8f…
05-20 08:21:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x3723c0…
05-20 08:20:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	28	56¢	$15	0xb5e594…
05-20 08:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	58¢	$2	0x862cd2…
05-20 06:46:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	65¢	$5	0x37598f…
05-20 06:45:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	8	60¢	$5	0xa4abee…
05-20 06:43:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	SELL	10	25¢	$2	0xe13e9f…
05-20 06:43:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Up	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0x923e47…
05-20 06:42:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	26	96¢	$25	0x0fac65…
05-20 06:25:11	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in May?	Yes	SELL	57	58¢	$33	0x0cdafd…
05-15 13:20:06	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0xe20953…
05-15 13:19:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	72¢	$5	0x36827e…
05-15 13:17:22	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	7	74¢	$5	0x7a2ca9…