Haunting-Swan — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$4

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.9%

Resolved

Trades

130

lifetime

Volume

$260

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-13

last 05-15 10:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 62% +$4

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 49 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (18) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	10	$33	38	0	+38	open	—	05-15 10:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$26	26	0	+26	Down	+$0	05-14 03:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	16	$26	28	0	+28	open	—	05-15 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	8	$19	26	0	+26	open	—	05-14 13:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	5	$19	20	0	+20	open	—	05-15 10:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	8	$15	18	0	+18	open	—	05-14 11:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	5	$13	17	0	+17	Up	+$3	05-14 03:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	8	$13	18	0	+18	open	—	05-15 09:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	4	$11	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 09:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	4	$9	11	0	+11	open	—	05-14 11:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	2	$9	15	0	+15	open	—	05-14 13:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	3	$8	12	0	+12	Down	+$4	05-13 15:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	6	$6	11	0	+11	open	—	05-15 09:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	5	$6	6	4	+1	Up	$-0	05-13 14:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	4	$4	5	0	+5	Up	+$1	05-14 03:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:10AM-8:15AM ET	2	$4	4	0	+4	Up	+$0	05-13 12:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	3	$3	6	0	+6	Up	$-1	05-13 15:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	Down	+$0	05-13 15:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	05-13 18:30
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	3	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	05-13 18:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	3	$3	4	0	+4	Up	$-0	05-13 18:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	3	$3	3	0	+3	Down	+$0	05-13 18:32
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	3	$2	2	1	+1	Up	$-1	05-13 11:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	1	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-2	05-13 14:36
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Down	+$0	05-13 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	Down	$-2	05-13 12:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 10:50AM-10:55AM ET	2	$2	4	0	+4	Up	$-0	05-13 14:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	3	0	+3	Down	+$1	05-13 15:11
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	Up	$-0	05-13 12:18
Ethereum Up or Down - May 13, 7:10AM-7:15AM ET	1	$1	100	0	+100	Down	$-1	05-13 11:14

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-15 10:08:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	98¢	$3	0x00497a…
05-15 10:08:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	97¢	$3	0xf3eb04…
05-15 10:08:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x9c4640…
05-15 10:08:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x53ee21…
05-15 10:08:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	7	95¢	$7	0xa4104f…
05-15 10:05:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x32193b…
05-15 10:04:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	11	97¢	$11	0x1712de…
05-15 10:04:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6fbf1b…
05-15 10:04:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x13bd98…
05-15 10:04:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	90¢	$2	0x94f4d8…
05-15 10:03:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	86¢	$2	0xa351af…
05-15 10:03:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	3	79¢	$2	0x9d4207…
05-15 10:02:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0xc0de18…
05-15 10:02:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Down	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x46d56a…
05-15 10:02:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x1f6482…
05-15 09:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xa5e814…
05-15 09:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x56855a…
05-15 09:58:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb9a681…
05-15 09:58:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x8c88a2…
05-15 09:58:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0xb12765…
05-15 09:58:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x474248…
05-15 09:58:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x09d4de…
05-15 09:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x473a5f…
05-15 09:58:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	97¢	$1	0x4e8c7d…
05-15 09:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xb2bd51…
05-15 09:57:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x61d1b7…
05-15 09:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0x3ee9d5…
05-15 09:57:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	91¢	$3	0xd59f5e…
05-15 09:56:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	4	83¢	$3	0x56c6ac…
05-15 09:56:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xe4c1a5…
05-15 09:56:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x17e48b…
05-15 09:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x357099…
05-15 09:54:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x9f9f60…
05-15 09:53:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0x81c723…
05-15 09:52:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:50AM-5:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	94¢	$5	0x8bbe31…
05-15 09:49:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xe5356a…
05-15 09:49:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	73¢	$2	0x7d184a…
05-15 09:49:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	83¢	$2	0x5d62f3…
05-15 09:49:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x141dec…
05-15 09:49:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	2	59¢	$1	0x1d08f5…
05-15 09:48:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x7ab04c…
05-15 09:48:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	67¢	$2	0x8b971a…
05-15 09:46:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:45AM-5:50AM ET	Up	BUY	3	71¢	$2	0x9d172c…
05-15 09:43:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x69729b…
05-15 09:43:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x1814c9…
05-15 09:43:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x815baa…
05-15 09:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xe76a00…
05-15 09:42:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x8e95d1…
05-15 09:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xafc40d…
05-14 13:38:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Up	BUY	8	36¢	$3	0x516cbc…
05-14 13:37:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:35AM-9:40AM ET	Down	BUY	6	94¢	$6	0x7d6343…
05-14 13:34:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	6	81¢	$5	0xe61c3c…
05-14 13:34:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	7	75¢	$5	0x74c7ec…
05-14 13:33:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	96¢	$4	0x6649b8…
05-14 13:33:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0xf1432a…
05-14 13:32:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	53¢	$1	0x9e4cbb…
05-14 13:31:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x8b4513…
05-14 13:30:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8cdd55…
05-14 13:30:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x13c45c…
05-14 11:45:28	Will Trump say "Confucius" or "Confucian" during Chinese State Banquet?	No	BUY	122	1¢	$1	0x98ffc3…
05-14 11:33:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	3	89¢	$3	0x5baf6a…
05-14 11:32:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	93¢	$4	0xd1fb78…
05-14 11:32:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x12c7b0…
05-14 11:31:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xebda69…
05-14 11:28:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x63016c…
05-14 11:28:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0xb74856…
05-14 11:28:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x51b4f4…
05-14 11:27:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x6b6d52…
05-14 11:27:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb3846a…
05-14 11:26:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xfda55d…
05-14 11:25:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x0a9fdb…
05-14 11:25:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 14, 7:25AM-7:30AM ET	Down	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0x7a10fe…
05-14 03:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	5	98¢	$5	0x72c251…
05-14 03:59:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Down	BUY	21	99¢	$21	0xf1f669…
05-14 03:54:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	6	92¢	$6	0xd524d6…
05-14 03:53:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	5	84¢	$4	0xa9d8e1…
05-14 03:51:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0xfb54af…
05-14 03:51:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x7fac70…
05-14 03:51:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0xb0dd18…
05-14 03:44:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0xc143b8…
05-14 03:44:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	91¢	$1	0x777a4c…
05-14 03:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0xa30f63…
05-14 03:43:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xe241b7…
05-14 03:31:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:30PM-11:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0x16e186…
05-14 03:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0xa87d7c…
05-13 18:32:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0x6d1f48…
05-13 18:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x3d8c9d…
05-13 18:31:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0xa7e2fc…
05-13 18:30:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x64cf54…
05-13 18:29:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	2	82¢	$2	0x3c83b1…
05-13 18:19:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0xac3e84…
05-13 18:17:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x2ecbf7…
05-13 18:16:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	58¢	$1	0x25f005…
05-13 18:14:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xb8c596…
05-13 18:14:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x6cd842…
05-13 18:13:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x38c433…
05-13 16:04:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	54¢	$1	0xc109d2…
05-13 16:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xd23cb0…
05-13 15:24:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	2	49¢	$1	0x2d5b1d…
05-13 15:24:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 13, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x405c44…