Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

36.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.30K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$22

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-10

last 05-08 18:51

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

41% 100% +$2

Politics

37% 0% $-55

Other

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	4	$284	314	308	+6	open	—	04-13 15:33
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	11	$217	456	456	+0	Yes	$-55	05-08 18:51
us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	4	$188	272	272	+0	open	—	01-14 22:03
will company b be accused of insider trading	1	$127	0	129	-129	open	—	02-26 13:43
Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	2	$126	121	117	+4	No	+$2	04-24 13:15
over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	11	$103	891	891	+0	open	—	01-10 15:38
will the us invade iran by march 31	4	$73	230	230	+0	open	—	03-26 19:17
Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	7	$66	100	65	+35	open	—	03-29 12:36
Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	5	$45	375	0	+375	open	—	02-07 23:34
Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	2	$44	267	267	+0	open	—	01-19 00:10
Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	2	$13	45	45	+0	open	—	03-30 09:53
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	1	$5	200	0	+200	open	—	02-28 19:43
Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	2	$3	40	40	+0	open	—	03-30 09:54
Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	2	$1	144	144	+0	open	—	03-30 09:54

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 18:51:49	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	356	16¢	$58	0x19084e…
05-08 18:48:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0xf32957…
05-08 18:48:07	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	30	32¢	$10	0x327699…
05-08 18:47:46	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	206	32¢	$66	0x95fa80…
05-08 18:47:25	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	26	32¢	$8	0xb3c13e…
05-08 18:46:53	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	10	30¢	$3	0xa66398…
05-08 18:46:18	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x25b366…
05-08 18:45:56	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	50	30¢	$15	0x1baade…
05-08 18:41:33	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0x0b9aa4…
05-08 18:41:14	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	50	23¢	$12	0xc6996b…
05-08 18:40:20	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	100	24¢	$24	0xace258…
04-24 13:15:08	Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	SELL	117	53¢	$62	0x59bff0…
04-24 13:12:00	Fluent FDV above $150M one day after launch?	No	BUY	121	53¢	$64	0xa54d2a…
04-13 15:33:35	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	SELL	308	40¢	$123	0xe48cbf…
04-13 15:23:41	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	150	53¢	$80	0x7c7713…
04-13 15:21:51	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	142	50¢	$71	0x796c16…
04-13 15:21:23	Genius FDV above $200M one day after launch?	No	BUY	22	50¢	$11	0x549fd9…
03-30 09:54:54	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	40	2¢	$1	0xb4fdd8…
03-30 09:54:48	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	144	0¢	$0	0x56412e…
03-30 09:53:06	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	45	17¢	$8	0xa6f6d4…
03-30 02:31:52	Based FDV above $800M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	144	1¢	$1	0xa65223…
03-30 02:31:36	Based FDV above $300M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	40	5¢	$2	0x8f1d21…
03-30 02:31:06	Based FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	45	11¢	$5	0x465106…
03-29 12:36:38	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	60	54¢	$32	0x186bee…
03-29 12:26:18	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	SELL	5	54¢	$3	0xf07c03…
03-29 01:15:12	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	29¢	$6	0xcde3d1…
03-29 00:30:46	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	30¢	$6	0xa0bdd8…
03-28 21:20:52	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	31¢	$6	0x318302…
03-28 20:52:22	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	33¢	$7	0xbe0554…
03-28 20:00:02	Based FDV above $100M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0x3f1845…
03-26 19:17:23	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	155	21¢	$33	0x7e04b8…
03-24 17:22:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	75	14¢	$10	0xb489fe…
03-24 17:09:09	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	75	13¢	$10	0x737af0…
03-24 15:38:05	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	BUY	155	13¢	$20	0x99833b…
02-28 19:43:15	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by march 31	No	BUY	200	3¢	$5	0x239e20…
02-26 13:43:14	will company b be accused of insider trading	No	SELL	129	99¢	$127	0xc75c82…
02-07 23:34:43	Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	Yes	BUY	89	13¢	$12	0xa55513…
02-07 22:56:25	Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	Yes	BUY	1	13¢	$0	0x4b0a66…
02-07 22:03:45	Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	Yes	BUY	5	13¢	$1	0x22f550…
02-07 21:59:53	Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	Yes	BUY	4	13¢	$1	0x8ec289…
02-07 21:59:37	Over $2M committed to the Foresee public sale?	Yes	BUY	275	12¢	$32	0x0fe16e…
01-19 00:10:24	Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	SELL	267	9¢	$24	0x44e487…
01-18 10:22:18	Sentient FDV above $400M one day after launch?	No	BUY	267	7¢	$20	0x6c4c8d…
01-14 22:03:50	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	SELL	272	37¢	$101	0x4f159b…
01-14 22:02:58	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	147	34¢	$50	0xeeb595…
01-14 22:02:48	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	25	30¢	$8	0xc2147c…
01-14 22:02:40	us strikes iran by january 14 2026 913	Yes	BUY	100	30¢	$30	0x7a539d…
01-10 15:38:30	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	SELL	273	2¢	$6	0xb3c93e…
01-10 15:38:06	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	SELL	47	6¢	$3	0xe13b06…
01-10 15:37:44	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	SELL	125	9¢	$11	0xf46248…
01-10 15:34:24	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	SELL	27	9¢	$2	0xd6628a…
01-10 15:34:20	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	SELL	31	9¢	$3	0x9f1852…
01-10 15:34:16	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	SELL	48	9¢	$4	0x81e378…
01-10 15:34:00	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	SELL	339	9¢	$29	0xc4e3e0…
01-10 15:30:58	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x6aec16…
01-10 15:29:40	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	BUY	408	5¢	$20	0x5c5e7b…
01-10 15:29:34	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	BUY	419	5¢	$21	0x68d431…
01-10 15:29:18	over 100m committed to the ranger public sale 221 979 762 217 192	Yes	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x5f8ad3…