Familiar-Break-Crisp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$120

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

72.0%

Resolved

Trades

203

lifetime

Volume

$5.73K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$28

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-08

last 05-11 19:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 73% $-120

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 86 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$300	949	0	+949	Up	$-300	05-09 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	3	$263	200	108	+92	Up	+$13	05-09 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	3	$260	715	432	+284	Down	+$84	05-09 07:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	3	$233	198	86	+112	Up	+$23	05-09 08:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	3	$216	206	120	+86	Up	+$31	05-09 08:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	1	$200	257	0	+257	Down	+$57	05-09 07:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	3	$199	213	146	+67	Down	$-0	05-09 07:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	5	$196	238	238	+0	Down	+$16	05-09 06:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	4	$195	184	184	+0	Up	+$29	05-09 06:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:35AM-12:40AM ET	4	$156	121	121	+0	Down	+$48	05-09 04:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	2	$126	129	129	+0	Down	$-14	05-11 18:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	5	$122	219	219	+0	Down	+$22	05-09 06:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	2	$106	96	96	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 18:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	2	$106	100	100	+0	Down	+$6	05-11 18:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	2	$106	99	99	+0	Up	+$6	05-11 18:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	4	$106	280	280	+0	Up	$-14	05-09 06:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	2	$102	72	72	+0	Up	+$11	05-08 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 8, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	5	$100	129	94	+35	Up	+$21	05-08 18:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	1	$100	101	0	+101	Up	+$1	05-09 05:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	2	$98	103	103	+0	Down	$-2	05-11 18:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	4	$96	149	149	+0	Up	+$16	05-09 06:07
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	3	$94	82	41	+41	Up	$-29	05-11 05:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	2	$93	91	91	+0	Up	+$13	05-09 06:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	3	$89	329	329	+0	Down	+$29	05-09 06:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	2	$88	89	89	+0	Down	+$8	05-11 15:41
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	1	$84	142	0	+142	Down	$-84	05-09 08:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	2	$72	101	101	+0	Up	+$12	05-09 06:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	1	$70	73	0	+73	Up	+$3	05-09 07:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	2	$68	98	98	+0	Down	$-12	05-09 06:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$67	82	0	+82	Down	+$15	05-09 08:08

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-11 19:15:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 3:15PM-3:20PM ET	Up	BUY	104	48¢	$50	0x71f7fb…
05-11 18:50:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	SELL	103	47¢	$48	0x65a036…
05-11 18:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Up	BUY	103	49¢	$50	0xf6185d…
05-11 18:43:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	SELL	129	44¢	$56	0xfb5ec7…
05-11 18:40:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	129	54¢	$70	0x4959fc…
05-11 18:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	SELL	51	55¢	$28	0x5f51af…
05-11 18:35:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	51	52¢	$26	0x8a91ed…
05-11 18:31:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	SELL	37	38¢	$14	0x44f6fb…
05-11 18:30:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	Down	BUY	37	54¢	$20	0x4d3c10…
05-11 18:25:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	SELL	99	56¢	$56	0x318bff…
05-11 18:24:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	99	50¢	$50	0xd9529f…
05-11 18:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	96	59¢	$56	0xa01f3f…
05-11 18:19:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	96	52¢	$50	0x488984…
05-11 18:15:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0x56a853…
05-11 18:15:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	50¢	$50	0x91ffaf…
05-11 18:05:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	SELL	19	50¢	$9	0x927b69…
05-11 18:04:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0x569e8c…
05-11 17:57:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	SELL	17	54¢	$9	0x9a869a…
05-11 17:55:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	17	48¢	$8	0xd1238c…
05-11 17:53:51	Ethereum Up or Down - May 11, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	69	87¢	$60	0xdc228a…
05-11 17:49:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Down	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x63af11…
05-11 15:59:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:55AM-12:00PM ET	Up	BUY	40	99¢	$40	0xe384ba…
05-11 15:41:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	SELL	89	54¢	$48	0x08c9a0…
05-11 15:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	Down	BUY	89	45¢	$40	0x6d5718…
05-11 15:36:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	SELL	33	66¢	$22	0x75f905…
05-11 15:36:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:35AM-11:40AM ET	Up	BUY	33	61¢	$20	0x7e6b50…
05-11 15:33:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	SELL	182	7¢	$12	0x3b77a2…
05-11 15:33:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Up	BUY	182	11¢	$20	0xd64829…
05-11 15:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 11:25AM-11:30AM ET	Up	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xc3d550…
05-11 05:53:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	81¢	$33	0x9de4af…
05-11 05:52:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	SELL	41	80¢	$33	0x8b9c0a…
05-11 05:51:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	41	69¢	$28	0x61876d…
05-11 05:43:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	30	97¢	$29	0x0194af…
05-11 05:38:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	99¢	$29	0x9be9ab…
05-11 05:30:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	SELL	25	53¢	$13	0x6de35a…
05-11 05:30:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:30AM-1:35AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x7d9451…
05-11 05:28:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	SELL	12	88¢	$10	0xbadb27…
05-11 05:28:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:25AM-1:30AM ET	Up	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x93829a…
05-11 05:24:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	20	99¢	$20	0xa38d93…
05-09 08:31:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Up	BUY	142	59¢	$84	0xa9709f…
05-09 08:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	86	90¢	$78	0xa92bb9…
05-09 08:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	SELL	120	67¢	$80	0x08b728…
05-09 08:25:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Up	BUY	120	48¢	$58	0x81ae4c…
05-09 08:21:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:20AM-4:25AM ET	Up	BUY	238	21¢	$50	0x2ba07c…
05-09 08:19:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	112	99¢	$111	0x165073…
05-09 08:18:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	SELL	86	83¢	$72	0x1d9776…
05-09 08:18:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15AM-4:20AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x27dd09…
05-09 08:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	92	99¢	$91	0x8e96a1…
05-09 08:13:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	SELL	108	85¢	$92	0x6c0b6d…
05-09 08:12:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	108	74¢	$80	0x75c15c…
05-09 08:08:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	82	82¢	$67	0xa4943b…
05-09 08:03:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	7	99¢	$7	0xda164e…
05-09 08:02:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	61	99¢	$60	0x74756d…
05-09 07:59:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	67	94¢	$63	0xf6a94c…
05-09 07:56:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	146	45¢	$66	0xe34b0f…
05-09 07:55:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	146	48¢	$70	0x4b4cda…
05-09 07:54:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Up	BUY	73	96¢	$70	0x219cfa…
05-09 07:44:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	949	32¢	$300	0x6edc52…
05-09 07:39:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	257	78¢	$200	0xf263f5…
05-09 07:03:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Down	BUY	284	71¢	$200	0x98eca4…
05-09 07:03:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	SELL	432	7¢	$30	0xac9de2…
05-09 07:03:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:00AM-3:05AM ET	Up	BUY	432	7¢	$30	0xe726dc…
05-09 06:58:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	167	11¢	$18	0xc92eae…
05-09 06:57:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	167	18¢	$30	0x5125d9…
05-09 06:56:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	114	24¢	$27	0xd98087…
05-09 06:55:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:55AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	114	26¢	$30	0x003ab2…
05-09 06:52:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	91	17¢	$16	0x834f25…
05-09 06:52:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	SELL	238	18¢	$43	0x744973…
05-09 06:51:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Up	BUY	329	9¢	$30	0xe96305…
05-09 06:46:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	SELL	91	58¢	$53	0x7eb98b…
05-09 06:45:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:45AM-2:50AM ET	Down	BUY	91	44¢	$40	0xb4d102…
05-09 06:42:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	68	42¢	$29	0xd5eb1b…
05-09 06:42:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	70	30¢	$21	0xbcdded…
05-09 06:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	138	29¢	$40	0x071215…
05-09 06:40:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	SELL	100	56¢	$56	0xb1c207…
05-09 06:40:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:40AM-2:45AM ET	Down	BUY	101	50¢	$50	0x304af4…
05-09 06:36:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	147	14¢	$20	0x6017b6…
05-09 06:31:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	SELL	101	41¢	$42	0x6e7f71…
05-09 06:30:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:30AM-2:35AM ET	Down	BUY	101	30¢	$30	0x9e6982…
05-09 06:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	SELL	114	61¢	$70	0x87b529…
05-09 06:28:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Down	BUY	114	38¢	$43	0x4a8820…
05-09 06:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	SELL	71	60¢	$42	0x2309a7…
05-09 06:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:25AM-2:30AM ET	Up	BUY	71	57¢	$40	0x29b1b7…
05-09 06:22:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	SELL	98	29¢	$28	0x508802…
05-09 06:20:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:20AM-2:25AM ET	Down	BUY	98	41¢	$40	0xbbd4a7…
05-09 06:15:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:15AM-2:20AM ET	Up	BUY	94	32¢	$30	0xd57ee2…
05-09 06:13:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	SELL	143	17¢	$24	0x76e9e9…
05-09 06:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Up	BUY	143	14¢	$20	0x0b2cec…
05-09 06:11:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	SELL	76	63¢	$48	0x5f6157…
05-09 06:11:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x727556…
05-09 06:10:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:10AM-2:15AM ET	Down	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0xcdc7cb…
05-09 06:07:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	80	37¢	$29	0xbd001d…
05-09 06:06:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	80	25¢	$20	0x57aeac…
05-09 06:06:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	SELL	69	38¢	$26	0xe2e813…
05-09 06:05:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 2:05AM-2:10AM ET	Down	BUY	69	29¢	$20	0xacddf1…
05-09 05:59:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:55AM-2:00AM ET	Down	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x8d5429…
05-09 05:54:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:50AM-1:55AM ET	Down	BUY	85	47¢	$40	0x0fc29d…
05-09 05:41:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	SELL	43	55¢	$23	0x703d34…
05-09 05:40:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:40AM-1:45AM ET	Down	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0xe33ad3…
05-09 05:35:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35AM-1:40AM ET	Down	SELL	54	44¢	$24	0xe740ee…