Lopsided-Star — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$216

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

8.1%

Resolved

Trades

42,334

lifetime

Volume

$522.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$12

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 06-08 09:43

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

44% 0% $-197

Other

43% 0% $-9

Politics

8% 50% $-9

Sports

5% 0% $-1

Tech

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

59 active days in 12wk • peak 2856 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin dip to 65k in march 2026	3,454	$32.3K	64,870	-64,870	open	—	03-27 13:32
will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	3,028	$32.2K	64,514	-64,514	open	—	03-30 14:59
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2,775	$31.4K	62,958	-62,958	open	—	03-25 11:07
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2,790	$30.6K	61,528	-61,528	open	—	04-27 01:33
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	1,756	$25.3K	50,604	-50,604	open	—	05-02 08:37
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	2,080	$24.2K	48,850	-48,850	open	—	04-17 20:01
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	1,893	$21.8K	43,749	-43,749	open	—	04-17 04:48
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	1,289	$18.5K	37,236	-37,236	open	—	05-01 06:53
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1,673	$18.5K	36,918	-36,918	open	—	03-27 07:54
Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	436	$16.3K	32,559	-32,559	open	—	05-14 01:41
will ethereum reach 2400 in march 2026	1,331	$13.1K	26,241	-26,241	open	—	03-30 12:56
EdgeX FDV above $1B one day after launch?	1,054	$12.8K	25,668	-25,668	open	—	04-01 09:43
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1,013	$12.7K	25,572	-25,572	open	—	04-01 09:43
elon musk of tweets april 7 april 14 280 299	1,207	$12.3K	24,744	-24,744	open	—	04-13 09:38
will arizona win the 2026 ncaa tournament	992	$9.6K	19,140	-19,140	open	—	04-01 09:42
Backpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?	751	$9.1K	18,275	-18,275	open	—	03-24 05:21
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $100 in April?	713	$8.8K	17,811	-17,811	open	—	04-23 11:02
will bitcoin reach 70k march 30 april 5	795	$8.7K	17,576	-17,576	open	—	04-04 08:49
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	284	$8.0K	16,145	-16,145	open	—	05-14 01:46
will bitcoin dip to 64k march 30 april 5	685	$7.1K	14,289	-14,289	open	—	04-04 08:52
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	265	$7.1K	14,088	-14,088	open	—	05-14 01:54
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	561	$6.6K	13,196	-13,196	open	—	04-17 04:48
US obtains Iranian enriched uranium by May 31?	405	$6.5K	13,038	-13,038	open	—	05-02 08:39
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1,016	$6.4K	12,943	-12,943	open	—	04-28 09:53
will the slovenian democratic party sds win the most seats in the 2026 slovenian parliamentary election 344	533	$5.6K	11,272	-11,272	open	—	03-22 23:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	383	$5.6K	11,173	-11,173	open	—	04-28 09:53
Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	154	$5.5K	10,604	-10,604	open	—	05-14 01:54
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	149	$4.9K	9,976	-9,976	open	—	05-14 01:55
Will Ethereum dip to $1,800 in April?	440	$4.7K	9,429	-9,429	open	—	04-17 04:48
will duke win the 2026 ncaa tournament	438	$4.4K	8,837	-8,837	open	—	03-29 23:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-08 09:43:42	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	312	3¢	$8	0x748fc6…
06-08 09:37:03	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x8c3801…
06-08 09:36:49	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	586	3¢	$16	0x9130af…
06-08 09:36:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0xfe65c8…
06-08 09:36:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xe9707a…
06-08 09:36:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	20	3¢	$1	0x6980eb…
06-08 09:36:48	will microstrategy announce a bitcoin purchase june 2 8	No	BUY	15	3¢	$0	0x228ac3…
05-17 02:04:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xc5b03b…
05-14 02:04:32	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	111	4¢	$4	0xed106b…
05-14 01:55:03	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	0	95¢	$0	0xe6d31e…
05-14 01:54:28	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	83¢	$1	0xda696e…
05-14 01:54:21	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x304483…
05-14 01:52:34	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	26¢	$0	0x398439…
05-14 01:52:13	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	13¢	$1	0xcbccf8…
05-14 01:51:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x3752c7…
05-14 01:50:58	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in May?	No	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x7e0c42…
05-14 01:48:08	MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	69¢	$1	0x1ff09a…
05-14 01:47:21	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	Yes	SELL	0	89¢	$0	0x879ffe…
05-14 01:46:57	Will Ethereum reach $2,600 in May?	Yes	SELL	1	18¢	$0	0x21f943…
05-14 01:46:50	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	77¢	$0	0x77edef…
05-14 01:46:34	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	0	37¢	$0	0x28c5b3…
05-14 01:41:17	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	1	4¢	$0	0x49bbd5…
05-14 01:38:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	No	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0x4525bb…
05-12 05:25:17	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	9	92¢	$8	0x143f26…
05-12 04:09:22	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	29	92¢	$26	0x7f9e67…
05-12 02:53:25	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	67	9¢	$6	0x3daf67…
05-12 01:24:52	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	91	90¢	$82	0x5652cf…
05-11 22:23:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	13	90¢	$12	0x9cda23…
05-11 16:11:03	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	85	11¢	$9	0xd0c9c3…
05-11 14:31:46	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	84	89¢	$75	0xcfa87d…
05-11 08:31:33	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	66	88¢	$58	0x4702d5…
05-11 03:13:01	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	139	86¢	$119	0xd768a5…
05-11 02:30:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	34	92¢	$31	0x0c1385…
05-11 02:28:20	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	98	12¢	$12	0x1bd6cf…
05-11 02:24:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	159	19¢	$30	0x28f5f8…
05-11 02:24:14	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x8fd24b…
05-11 02:20:31	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	191	4¢	$8	0xea3ba3…
05-11 02:20:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	177	5¢	$9	0x4e08e8…
05-11 02:01:44	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	12	79¢	$10	0x9f10e1…
05-11 01:19:27	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	81	22¢	$18	0x956f14…
05-11 01:13:26	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	45	22¢	$10	0xb3099e…
05-11 00:57:54	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	117	8¢	$9	0xb76d2f…
05-11 00:52:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	19	77¢	$15	0x7c2604…
05-11 00:45:32	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	17	7¢	$1	0xd34cb0…
05-11 00:43:45	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	79	92¢	$73	0xa2e04a…
05-11 00:19:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	84	8¢	$6	0x022dc3…
05-10 23:57:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	9	76¢	$7	0x1c121f…
05-10 23:56:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	0	76¢	$0	0x76abec…
05-10 23:47:26	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	97	94¢	$91	0x8aab61…
05-10 23:47:15	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	123	91¢	$112	0x1f44c6…
05-10 23:40:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	21	9¢	$2	0xdc53ea…
05-10 23:32:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	186	91¢	$169	0x033a97…
05-10 23:23:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	13	76¢	$10	0xa2c454…
05-10 23:20:29	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	29	9¢	$3	0x4d92c6…
05-10 23:15:19	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	41	88¢	$36	0x0ce92f…
05-10 23:13:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	32	75¢	$24	0x73b1c9…
05-10 23:11:51	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	35	26¢	$9	0xb27aa5…
05-10 23:08:57	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	50	75¢	$37	0x104ea7…
05-10 23:08:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	24	75¢	$18	0xc4be94…
05-10 23:08:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	59	75¢	$44	0x0f948c…
05-10 23:07:40	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	93	75¢	$70	0x632c7a…
05-10 23:07:09	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	118	74¢	$87	0x725c82…
05-10 23:06:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0xc44efa…
05-10 23:03:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	70	26¢	$18	0x4569e8…
05-10 23:02:45	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	40	15¢	$6	0x7d3df2…
05-10 22:48:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	38	26¢	$10	0x97e04f…
05-10 22:48:06	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	51	9¢	$5	0x61d0ea…
05-10 22:42:41	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	74	9¢	$7	0xa98ded…
05-10 22:37:13	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	95	8¢	$8	0x87c823…
05-10 22:36:35	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	105	76¢	$79	0x64a055…
05-10 22:34:25	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	105	75¢	$79	0x289671…
05-10 22:34:06	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	76	24¢	$18	0xe82760…
05-10 22:33:56	Will Bitcoin dip to $70,000 in May?	No	SELL	126	87¢	$109	0xcff2ba…
05-10 22:32:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	34	23¢	$8	0x243e82…
05-10 22:30:19	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	114	8¢	$9	0xc70a3a…
05-10 22:30:05	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	23	14¢	$3	0xd0a389…
05-10 22:27:43	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	Yes	SELL	98	12¢	$12	0xff6632…
05-10 22:23:08	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	177	80¢	$142	0x9e63d5…
05-10 22:17:44	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	110	93¢	$102	0xafeaec…
05-10 22:17:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	16	92¢	$14	0xb40196…
05-10 22:17:36	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	126	92¢	$116	0xa4a9d6…
05-10 22:12:59	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	42	22¢	$9	0x239f0c…
05-10 22:07:07	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	11	21¢	$2	0x2095e4…
05-10 22:05:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	70	20¢	$14	0x525f10…
05-10 21:50:18	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	12	96¢	$12	0x98fd77…
05-10 21:37:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	56	20¢	$11	0xac67f1…
05-10 21:36:11	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	82	8¢	$7	0xeba7bf…
05-10 21:31:25	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	46	96¢	$44	0x50176f…
05-10 21:30:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	93	96¢	$89	0xe4af1b…
05-10 21:24:46	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	50	9¢	$4	0x708170…
05-10 21:24:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	102	19¢	$19	0x690b9a…
05-10 21:21:23	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	SELL	53	9¢	$5	0x0011ff…
05-10 21:19:51	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	123	96¢	$118	0xc36371…
05-10 21:19:38	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	SELL	176	95¢	$167	0x0ac8d0…
05-10 21:06:29	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	44	5¢	$2	0x48025d…
05-10 21:01:53	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	Yes	SELL	146	18¢	$26	0x912ae6…
05-10 21:00:55	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	117	91¢	$107	0xa8e7a4…
05-10 21:00:22	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	Yes	SELL	67	5¢	$3	0x31346c…
05-10 20:50:00	Will Ethereum reach $2,800 in May?	No	SELL	130	88¢	$114	0x570e88…
05-10 20:49:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	SELL	84	82¢	$69	0xd4f2e2…