Juvenile-Thermostat — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$1

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$11.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$145

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-24 16:07

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-1

Sports

20% — —

Crypto

10% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 2 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$744	373	373	+0	No	$-0	04-05 11:33
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$720	361	361	+0	No	$-0	04-13 06:41
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$492	247	247	+0	open	—	03-28 18:24
Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$476	239	239	+0	open	—	03-30 19:15
will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	2	$466	233	233	+0	open	—	03-30 15:13
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$438	219	219	+0	No	$-0	03-29 23:13
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$438	220	220	+0	open	—	03-31 01:05
will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	2	$434	217	217	+0	open	—	03-27 10:10
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	3	$429	215	215	+0	No	+$0	03-18 23:27
will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$426	213	213	+0	open	—	03-22 21:46
Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	2	$412	206	206	+0	open	—	03-01 12:21
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$406	204	204	+0	No	$-0	03-24 04:03
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$398	199	199	+0	open	—	04-26 23:57
Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	2	$368	185	185	+0	open	—	03-31 16:37
Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	2	$366	183	183	+0	open	—	03-03 11:34
Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	2	$360	181	181	+0	open	—	04-24 07:55
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$346	174	174	+0	open	—	04-04 06:39
will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	2	$334	167	167	+0	open	—	03-23 08:01
will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$330	165	165	+0	open	—	03-23 13:10
Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$318	160	160	+0	open	—	04-06 05:33
Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	2	$314	158	158	+0	open	—	04-27 09:51
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$280	141	141	+0	open	—	04-02 15:23
Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$266	133	133	+0	open	—	04-04 22:16
Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	2	$250	126	126	+0	open	—	04-17 09:21
Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	2	$246	123	123	+0	open	—	04-05 06:19
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$242	122	122	+0	open	—	04-18 14:13
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	2	$240	120	120	+0	open	—	04-10 13:33
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$240	120	120	+0	No	$-0	04-04 13:57
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$74	37	37	+0	open	—	04-21 09:09
nba uta phi 2026 03 04	1	$36	47	0	+47	open	—	03-04 19:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-24 16:07:26	Will Gold (GC) hit (HIGH) $8,000 by end of June?	No	BUY	24	100¢	$24	0x3f60f6…
06-24 16:07:01	will wti reach 110 in june 2026 658 257 353	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0x8a6041…
04-27 09:51:48	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	158	99¢	$157	0xb2357b…
04-27 06:36:36	Will Cyprus win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	158	99¢	$157	0x2685cd…
04-26 23:57:46	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	199	100¢	$199	0xf1a5ba…
04-26 17:04:50	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	199	100¢	$199	0xcaf574…
04-24 07:55:16	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	181	99¢	$180	0xf07a5c…
04-24 04:04:06	Will Moldova win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	181	99¢	$180	0x42ed3c…
04-21 09:09:40	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	37	100¢	$37	0x8ae719…
04-18 14:13:46	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0xfd643e…
04-18 10:40:02	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	122	100¢	$121	0xca2bad…
04-17 09:21:00	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	126	100¢	$125	0x253a90…
04-16 23:34:22	Will United Kingdom win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	126	100¢	$125	0x8be75a…
04-13 06:41:51	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	136	100¢	$136	0x075590…
04-12 19:50:57	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	136	100¢	$136	0xce3927…
04-10 13:33:09	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0x3fe0a5…
04-08 17:49:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0x03a135…
04-06 05:33:59	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	160	100¢	$159	0xead19b…
04-06 01:15:33	Will the Toronto Raptors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	160	100¢	$159	0x6dab7b…
04-05 11:33:05	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	132	100¢	$132	0x7ac238…
04-05 06:19:43	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	132	100¢	$132	0xe155b8…
04-05 06:19:27	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	SELL	123	100¢	$123	0xd67a5b…
04-05 04:50:09	Will Ethereum reach $4,000 in April?	No	BUY	123	100¢	$123	0x034a0d…
04-04 22:16:43	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	133	100¢	$133	0x6f6d88…
04-04 13:58:15	Will Manchester United win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	133	100¢	$133	0xfebabb…
04-04 13:57:59	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	120	100¢	$120	0xccc224…
04-04 09:30:07	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	120	100¢	$120	0xc39e9a…
04-04 06:40:07	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	37	100¢	$37	0xfc3862…
04-04 06:39:53	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	174	100¢	$173	0x2990fe…
04-04 03:41:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	174	100¢	$173	0xad8b49…
04-02 15:23:31	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	141	100¢	$140	0x2c75e6…
04-02 10:09:45	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	141	100¢	$140	0x13218d…
03-31 22:55:45	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	32	47¢	$15	0x8e790c…
03-31 22:55:19	nba nyk hou 2026 03 31	Knicks	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0x404d07…
03-31 22:54:51	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Nets	BUY	51	8¢	$4	0x06f244…
03-31 16:37:47	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	185	100¢	$184	0x19c739…
03-31 12:18:45	Will Lithuania win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	185	100¢	$184	0xd344a3…
03-31 01:05:37	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	220	100¢	$219	0x6d9299…
03-30 19:15:51	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	220	100¢	$219	0x18d655…
03-30 19:15:29	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	239	100¢	$238	0xe10d02…
03-30 15:14:05	Will the Portland Trail Blazers win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	239	100¢	$238	0x317886…
03-30 15:13:47	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	SELL	233	100¢	$233	0xe584c4…
03-30 11:13:02	will solana dip to 10 in march 2026	No	BUY	233	100¢	$233	0x8f63f1…
03-29 23:13:32	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	219	100¢	$219	0xe0077d…
03-29 19:10:02	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	219	100¢	$219	0x799aa1…
03-29 19:09:46	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	241	100¢	$240	0xef8394…
03-29 15:02:12	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	241	100¢	$240	0x02ebe8…
03-28 18:24:45	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$246	0x274eb2…
03-28 13:58:23	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$246	0x1c5332…
03-27 21:20:35	nba chi okc 2026 03 27	Bulls	BUY	25	6¢	$2	0x53cca7…
03-27 10:10:47	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	SELL	217	100¢	$217	0x168e48…
03-27 08:21:27	will ethereum dip to 400 in march 2026	No	BUY	217	100¢	$217	0x2d4675…
03-25 22:54:47	nba bkn gsw 2026 03 25	Warriors	BUY	28	86¢	$24	0x7fb0da…
03-24 04:03:43	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	204	100¢	$203	0xbdd2de…
03-23 13:10:19	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	204	100¢	$203	0xf4e3bb…
03-23 13:10:01	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	165	100¢	$165	0xfc5ae8…
03-23 08:01:55	will tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	165	100¢	$165	0xa72c2c…
03-23 08:01:39	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	SELL	167	100¢	$167	0x24e06d…
03-23 02:56:17	will microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31 889	No	BUY	167	100¢	$167	0x0ecce4…
03-22 21:46:59	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	213	100¢	$213	0x624f74…
03-22 16:38:09	will fred couples win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	213	100¢	$213	0x3476ad…
03-22 06:20:13	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	224	100¢	$224	0x9a6ee0…
03-22 00:59:41	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	224	100¢	$224	0x628982…
03-18 23:27:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0x7de47c…
03-18 22:41:29	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x2f0dcc…
03-18 22:30:45	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	131	100¢	$130	0x766ab7…
03-14 15:11:03	nba den lal 2026 03 14	Lakers	BUY	53	42¢	$22	0xa0ee05…
03-07 21:04:05	nba lac mem 2026 03 07	Clippers	BUY	49	72¢	$35	0x38b496…
03-07 21:03:35	nba orl min 2026 03 07	Timberwolves	BUY	55	63¢	$34	0x74bb84…
03-04 19:17:17	nba cha bos 2026 03 04	Celtics	BUY	37	69¢	$25	0x087310…
03-04 19:16:53	nba por mem 2026 03 04	Grizzlies	BUY	53	22¢	$12	0x8ee9c5…
03-04 19:16:23	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	47	76¢	$36	0x147ae7…
03-03 11:34:45	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	183	100¢	$183	0xf2814f…
03-02 12:01:17	Will Trump nominate Kevin Hassett as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	183	100¢	$183	0xf0ca1e…
03-01 12:21:05	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x1e021a…
02-27 15:15:21	Will the Calgary Flames win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0x0d5ba3…
02-24 20:11:24	us strikes iran by february 24 2026	No	BUY	11	98¢	$11	0xb038e6…