Rusty-Triangle — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$55

Unrealized P&L

+$21

Hit rate

97.3%

Resolved

Trades

541

lifetime

Volume

$4.51K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

$18

1 position

First seen

2026-02-24

last 06-29 12:40

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

50% 100% +$59

Crypto

29% 0% $-4

Politics

15% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

11 active days in 12wk • peak 28 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes		-721	$-39	3¢	$-18	+$21	06-08 19:11

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fl1 ogc ren 2026 03 08 total 2pt5	24	$179	730	720	+10	open	—	03-08 17:48
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 halftime result draw	12	$176	90	95	-5	open	—	03-18 21:14
uel not fen1 2026 02 26 draw	15	$135	77	77	+0	open	—	02-26 22:18
mls fcc tor 2026 03 08 draw	9	$126	106	116	-10	open	—	03-09 00:50
btc updown 5m 1773276600	1	$125	136	0	+136	open	—	03-12 00:54
btc updown 5m 1773270600	1	$124	125	0	+125	open	—	03-11 23:14
btc updown 5m 1773269700	1	$121	124	0	+124	open	—	03-11 22:59
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 total 3pt5	19	$110	88	87	+1	open	—	03-11 22:56
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	12	$102	100	95	+5	Under	+$29	05-10 20:52
nba mil chi 2026 03 01	15	$100	107	91	+17	open	—	03-01 22:33
ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	3	$97	89	49	+40	open	—	03-18 21:56
ucl juv gal 2026 02 25 draw	18	$97	64	51	+13	open	—	02-25 21:42
uel plz1 pao2 2026 02 26 draw	2	$97	75	75	+0	open	—	02-26 20:06
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 total 4pt5	15	$95	82	72	+10	open	—	03-11 21:46
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	3	$92	916	916	+0	open	—	03-11 20:44
us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	4	$86	72	72	+0	open	—	04-22 17:00
btc updown 5m 1772155800	1	$85	86	0	+86	open	—	02-27 01:33
btc updown 5m 1773162000	1	$84	92	0	+92	open	—	03-10 17:04
btc updown 5m 1773161700	1	$83	84	0	+84	open	—	03-10 16:59
btc updown 5m 1773161400	1	$82	83	0	+83	open	—	03-10 16:54
FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	3	$82	50	50	+0	Under	+$17	05-10 20:45
lal esp ovi 2026 03 09 total 2pt5	13	$81	146	146	+0	open	—	03-09 23:27
btc updown 5m 1773161100	1	$80	82	0	+82	open	—	03-10 16:49
btc updown 5m 1772159400	3	$80	88	0	+88	open	—	02-27 02:33
btc updown 5m 1773160800	1	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	03-10 16:44
btc updown 5m 1773160500	1	$79	80	0	+80	open	—	03-10 16:39
nba mia phi 2026 02 26	12	$73	121	93	+28	open	—	02-27 02:15
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	3	$65	50	50	+0	open	—	04-22 20:49
will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 8 163	7	$61	56	20	+36	open	—	03-08 16:24
fl1 ogc ren 2026 03 08 draw	6	$59	43	33	+10	open	—	03-08 16:42

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-29 12:40:53	greek snap election scheduled in 2026 20260618181513020	No	BUY	20	67¢	$13	0xc62fcc…
06-08 19:11:46	Hantavirus pandemic in 2026?	Yes	SELL	721	5¢	$39	0xca731f…
05-16 14:39:27	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	SELL	30	55¢	$16	0xcd2faf…
05-12 00:16:51	Will Greece be in the top 5 at Eurovision 2026?	Yes	BUY	30	73¢	$22	0xeecf00…
05-10 20:52:29	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	95¢	$1	0x135030…
05-10 20:52:24	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	9	95¢	$9	0x3ec5be…
05-10 20:52:12	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0x2790c3…
05-10 20:45:55	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	SELL	50	99¢	$50	0x3b2f4f…
05-10 20:43:11	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	85¢	$4	0xf9e234…
05-10 20:40:02	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0xab0f54…
05-10 20:39:43	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xe7859b…
05-10 20:36:56	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	75¢	$4	0xa3f77b…
05-10 20:36:09	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	8	35¢	$3	0xbf19d4…
05-10 20:33:56	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	5	70¢	$4	0x2ddcd6…
05-10 20:33:23	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	30¢	$2	0xb5b3ef…
05-10 20:28:08	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	25¢	$1	0x28c4bf…
05-10 20:28:06	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	20	60¢	$12	0x7cd82a…
05-10 20:28:03	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	22	23¢	$5	0x2460a3…
05-10 20:27:07	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xc0e2fc…
05-10 20:27:05	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	23¢	$1	0xf21a1f…
05-10 20:25:48	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	20	55¢	$11	0x284be0…
05-10 20:25:02	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	40	20¢	$8	0x28e5c8…
05-10 20:24:59	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xe0576a…
05-10 20:23:33	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	20¢	$1	0xb7762e…
05-10 20:19:47	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	SELL	20	50¢	$10	0x24542b…
05-10 20:11:34	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 3.5	Under	BUY	100	39¢	$39	0xb0d26c…
05-10 20:09:56	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	30	65¢	$20	0xf488cc…
05-10 20:08:30	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	20	11¢	$2	0xb4a31d…
05-10 20:08:23	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	80	11¢	$9	0x67c145…
05-10 20:07:22	FC Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 4.5	Under	BUY	20	66¢	$13	0xcd9acf…
05-10 18:48:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	44¢	$1	0x40eb89…
05-10 18:47:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0x149220…
05-04 23:59:06	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $82,000 on May 5?	Yes	BUY	19	5¢	$1	0x9af99b…
05-04 23:58:14	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	SELL	2	55¢	$1	0x0b4e3c…
05-04 23:56:56	Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on May 5?	No	BUY	2	56¢	$1	0xaab7a6…
05-03 21:00:38	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	7	100¢	$7	0x55251a…
05-03 20:51:08	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	80¢	$4	0x9b6bb9…
05-03 20:51:08	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	80¢	$2	0x03d6d7…
05-03 20:51:04	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0x97e6cd…
05-03 20:45:14	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0xcdb61b…
05-03 20:45:12	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x5e3eb3…
05-03 20:45:12	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x4e1cff…
05-03 20:45:10	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x7c9308…
05-03 20:45:10	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	60¢	$3	0x209afd…
05-03 20:41:58	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	55¢	$3	0x66027b…
05-03 20:38:04	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x51eb6e…
05-03 20:38:02	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0x8df64f…
05-03 20:37:42	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	SELL	5	50¢	$2	0xa860ba…
05-03 20:31:44	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0x85b8e3…
05-03 20:30:22	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	32	38¢	$12	0x00d991…
05-03 20:30:20	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: O/U 2.5	Under	BUY	10	38¢	$4	0x100bb8…
05-03 19:42:54	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	SELL	18	35¢	$6	0xa5144a…
05-03 19:16:10	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	0	54¢	$0	0x2eb0ac…
05-03 19:16:08	RCD Espanyol de Barcelona vs. Real Madrid CF: Both Teams to Score	Yes	BUY	18	54¢	$10	0x747b2e…
04-28 20:56:42	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	SELL	22	44¢	$10	0xe35e71…
04-28 20:08:52	Madrid Open: Daniil Medvedev vs Flavio Cobolli	Flavio Cobolli	BUY	22	72¢	$16	0xcb0c3c…
04-28 19:57:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	13¢	$1	0x4d5bcc…
04-28 19:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x1e675b…
04-26 13:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Down	BUY	3	42¢	$1	0xe14fdd…
04-22 20:49:46	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0xb928de…
04-22 17:00:00	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	SELL	72	99¢	$71	0x5b2d64…
04-21 10:36:36	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	43	21¢	$9	0x84e854…
04-21 10:31:20	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0x1748ca…
04-21 10:30:22	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	24	21¢	$5	0xb31a51…
04-21 10:29:48	us x iran diplomatic meeting by april 23 2026	No	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xda6844…
04-21 10:28:14	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by April 22, 2026?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xccd9bc…
03-31 23:25:53	will france uk or germany strike iran by march 31 929	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x9ae360…
03-30 20:11:07	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x29b750…
03-30 07:28:30	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	SELL	24	99¢	$24	0x07b792…
03-28 21:56:52	US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	No	SELL	3	38¢	$1	0x4e178f…
03-28 21:56:30	US x Iran ceasefire by May 31?	No	SELL	2	47¢	$1	0x89bc65…
03-28 21:55:20	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	SELL	6	61¢	$3	0x43c557…
03-24 00:09:57	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	SELL	27	81¢	$22	0xbc4012…
03-24 00:08:09	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	250	0¢	$1	0x814ba8…
03-24 00:06:45	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	SELL	10	95¢	$10	0x0fbb09…
03-23 23:34:53	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xad77fe…
03-23 23:34:15	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	SELL	10	65¢	$7	0x9a2e26…
03-23 23:33:43	us x iran ceasefire by april 15	No	BUY	10	66¢	$7	0xeb1df7…
03-23 23:31:59	us x iran ceasefire by april 30	No	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x6788f9…
03-22 13:42:57	bitcoin above 70k on march 22	No	SELL	8	99¢	$8	0x34c387…
03-22 13:42:49	bitcoin above 70k on march 22	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xd094f8…
03-21 22:17:37	bitcoin above 70k on march 22	No	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x874f83…
03-21 22:05:27	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	No	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0x80e563…
03-19 02:24:43	hezbollah military action against israel by march 20	No	BUY	32	3¢	$1	0xac0d08…
03-19 02:20:49	Will Israel launch a ground operation in Iran by March 31, 2026?	No	BUY	10	88¢	$9	0xe1980b…
03-19 02:13:01	trump announces end of military operations against iran by march 31st	No	BUY	10	90¢	$9	0xf2e793…
03-19 02:11:07	will the us invade iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	16¢	$2	0xa08841…
03-19 02:08:05	us x iran ceasefire by march 31	No	BUY	17	94¢	$16	0x70b462…
03-19 02:02:41	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	No	BUY	10	80¢	$8	0xab2d57…
03-19 02:01:11	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	5	98¢	$5	0x877d2c…
03-19 02:00:31	mojtaba khamenei seen in public by march 31	Yes	SELL	20	20¢	$4	0x75c8e2…
03-18 21:56:45	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	39	99¢	$39	0xa962e1…
03-18 21:56:35	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0x74dad7…
03-18 21:21:45	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	89	54¢	$48	0xb2db26…
03-18 21:18:13	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 3pt5	Under	BUY	150	18¢	$27	0x1ef197…
03-18 21:14:31	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 halftime result draw	No	SELL	75	100¢	$75	0x138f38…
03-18 21:04:27	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xde94a0…
03-18 21:04:27	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 total 2pt5	Under	BUY	50	37¢	$18	0x30d40d…
03-18 20:54:39	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 halftime result draw	No	SELL	17	100¢	$17	0x49cd1d…
03-18 20:54:03	ucl liv1 gal 2026 03 18 halftime result draw	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x3cad59…