Best-Melody — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$11

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

225

lifetime

Volume

$827

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-06 18:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

61% — —

Other

37% 0% $-1

Sports

1% 0% $-10

Crypto

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will israel strike lebanon on january 9 2026	5	$72	55	55	+0	open	—	01-09 11:30
will iran strike dimona by march 31	6	$41	405	274	+130	open	—	03-28 07:49
ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	1	$28	57	0	+57	open	—	03-10 21:56
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	2	$25	26	26	+0	open	—	03-03 10:55
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	2	$24	26	26	+0	open	—	03-23 13:53
israel strikes iran by january 31 2026 894 994 453	3	$23	36	36	+0	open	—	01-14 20:34
will trump visit china by march 31	2	$21	16	16	+0	open	—	03-19 10:11
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by february 28	4	$21	496	496	+0	open	—	03-01 06:02
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	3	$20	89	0	+89	open	—	04-14 11:53
us evacuates beirut embassy by march 31	2	$18	62	62	+0	open	—	03-01 15:29
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	2	$17	11	11	+0	open	—	03-14 13:20
will israel strike 2 countries in january 2026	2	$16	22	22	+0	open	—	01-14 20:34
khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	5	$16	51	51	+0	open	—	01-19 11:36
epl mun mac 2026 01 17 mac	2	$15	30	0	+30	open	—	01-14 06:38
efl new mnc 2026 01 13 mnc win	2	$15	5	13	-8	open	—	01-13 22:02
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$14	161	161	+0	open	—	03-01 13:07
will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	2	$14	40	40	+0	open	—	03-09 22:32
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$14	12	12	+0	open	—	05-06 18:26
Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	3	$13	19	19	+0	open	—	03-23 13:49
hezbollah strike on israel by march 31 737 523	3	$13	9	9	+0	open	—	03-02 08:49
will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	2	$12	12	12	+0	open	—	03-03 08:23
will israel strike lebanon on january 7 2026	3	$11	9	9	+0	open	—	01-06 21:49
will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	2	$11	12	12	+0	open	—	03-10 19:36
us strikes iran by february 25 2026	3	$11	90	90	+0	open	—	02-25 07:45
epl liv tot 2026 03 15 draw	2	$11	6	6	+0	open	—	03-15 14:22
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	4	$10	22	22	+0	open	—	01-31 19:43
epl lee mac 2026 02 28 mac	1	$10	17	0	+17	open	—	02-28 11:06
Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$10	28	0	+28	Yes	$-10	04-28 19:52
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	2	$10	6	6	+0	open	—	04-13 08:46
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$9	5	5	+0	open	—	02-01 07:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 18:29:24	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	SELL	4	51¢	$2	0x2c1ecc…
05-06 18:28:49	FC Bayern München vs. Paris Saint-Germain FC: O/U 10.5 Total Corners	Over	BUY	4	52¢	$2	0x7206ad…
05-06 18:26:34	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	12	72¢	$9	0x6c20df…
04-28 19:52:28	Will Arsenal reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0xc25c18…
04-27 20:44:50	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	125	0¢	$0	0x7c95c2…
04-20 18:50:06	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xff131b…
04-14 11:54:21	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa2ccca…
04-14 11:53:27	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	55	22¢	$12	0xb81b38…
04-14 11:36:11	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xec3246…
04-14 11:35:49	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	No	BUY	13	23¢	$3	0x760554…
04-14 11:35:47	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	No	BUY	12	26¢	$3	0xe27bd3…
04-13 08:46:51	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	SELL	3	55¢	$2	0xa7b550…
04-13 08:46:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0xf7d56f…
04-13 08:07:29	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	SELL	17	0¢	$0	0x0eabf7…
04-11 21:05:29	iran x israelus conflict ends by april 15 618 586 982	Yes	BUY	3	72¢	$2	0xf542a9…
04-11 21:00:31	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Viktor Orbán?	Yes	BUY	17	30¢	$5	0xec2538…
04-11 20:41:55	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	6	24¢	$1	0xc052cd…
04-11 20:39:19	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Péter Magyar?	Yes	BUY	6	71¢	$4	0x34057c…
04-10 21:31:51	Houthi military action against Israel by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	6	34¢	$2	0x52096a…
04-10 12:17:55	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	125	2¢	$2	0x75d84e…
04-08 20:45:39	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	No	SELL	3	2¢	$0	0x25b39b…
04-08 20:08:27	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 atm1	No	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0x227da1…
04-08 19:48:09	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0x68aec3…
04-08 15:08:35	ucl fcb1 atm1 2026 04 08 fcb1	No	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0x3ec9e8…
04-06 13:58:59	btc updown 5m 1775483700	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x840e3d…
04-06 13:58:51	btc updown 5m 1775483700	Down	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x7743a2…
04-06 11:51:15	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	SELL	31	0¢	$0	0xd1713b…
04-06 11:51:11	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0xf214df…
03-28 07:50:59	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x06b937…
03-28 07:50:51	Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by March 31?	Yes	BUY	31	3¢	$1	0xc2409d…
03-28 07:49:49	will iran strike dimona by march 31	Yes	SELL	135	2¢	$3	0x3c8368…
03-27 20:16:29	will iran strike dimona by march 31	Yes	BUY	266	3¢	$9	0xb599cc…
03-25 19:30:57	btc updown 5m 1774467000	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x14d072…
03-25 13:57:07	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	Yes	BUY	23	9¢	$2	0x3766f3…
03-25 13:56:39	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	SELL	60	4¢	$2	0xb525c4…
03-25 13:56:19	will crude oil cl hit high 120 by end of march 766 813 597	Yes	BUY	60	5¢	$3	0x2032d9…
03-25 13:54:49	btc updown 5m 1774446600	Up	SELL	1	15¢	$0	0x61ef4b…
03-25 13:54:23	btc updown 5m 1774446600	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0xcb8065…
03-25 13:53:55	btc updown 5m 1774446600	Down	SELL	1	62¢	$1	0x6ab1f6…
03-25 13:53:27	btc updown 5m 1774446600	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x88df93…
03-25 13:52:21	btc updown 5m 1774446600	Down	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x161487…
03-24 20:27:05	btc updown 5m 1774383900	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xb1b18d…
03-23 13:53:23	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	SELL	26	30¢	$8	0xc3d3c7…
03-23 13:49:51	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	16	36¢	$6	0x4ef1c0…
03-22 22:37:31	north korea missile testlaunch by march 31	Yes	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x0d7b09…
03-22 14:31:19	epl tot not 2026 03 22 tot	Yes	BUY	10	42¢	$4	0xb854e2…
03-21 22:46:03	will iran strike dimona by march 31	Yes	SELL	64	11¢	$7	0x0fd7e9…
03-21 11:17:41	will iran strike dimona by march 31	Yes	BUY	39	8¢	$3	0xd69bb9…
03-20 21:34:59	will iran strike syria in march	Yes	SELL	6	3¢	$0	0xb96650…
03-20 21:34:55	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	SELL	6	27¢	$2	0x2c9921…
03-20 21:34:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	SELL	29	1¢	$0	0x5a607a…
03-20 14:50:41	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	No	BUY	26	62¢	$16	0x28300e…
03-19 10:11:37	will trump visit china by march 31	No	SELL	16	98¢	$16	0xc57e38…
03-19 09:38:17	will there be between 10 and 20 average daily transits of the strait of hormuz on march 31	Yes	BUY	6	33¢	$2	0x33c2c7…
03-18 14:21:05	will iran strike lebanon in march	Yes	SELL	25	6¢	$2	0x26549f…
03-17 21:40:25	ucl mnc1 rma1 2026 03 17 mnc1	Yes	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0xd457ca…
03-17 21:39:35	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	SELL	3	47¢	$1	0x4ea74b…
03-15 14:22:37	will trump visit china by march 31	No	BUY	16	32¢	$5	0x4313ea…
03-15 14:22:21	epl liv tot 2026 03 15 draw	No	SELL	6	84¢	$5	0x42c9de…
03-15 07:54:09	epl liv tot 2026 03 15 draw	No	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x788303…
03-14 18:22:33	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 eve	Yes	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xc17fde…
03-14 18:22:29	epl ars eve 2026 03 14 ars	Yes	BUY	5	60¢	$3	0x22f038…
03-14 13:49:05	netanyahu out by march 31 854	Yes	BUY	29	7¢	$2	0xdbb9d5…
03-14 13:22:43	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	7	27¢	$2	0x9a2213…
03-14 13:20:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	11	94¢	$10	0xe459bb…
03-13 13:18:05	Trump announces end of military operations against Iran by April 30th?	No	BUY	19	31¢	$6	0xe207cd…
03-11 21:44:09	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	SELL	4	17¢	$1	0x7d4905…
03-10 21:56:25	ucl bog1 spo1 2026 03 11 bog1	Yes	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x9cf1de…
03-10 21:56:11	ucl rma1 mnc1 2026 03 11 mnc1	Yes	BUY	57	49¢	$28	0x90b67b…
03-10 20:03:51	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 new	Yes	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x54bf7d…
03-10 19:36:49	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	SELL	6	8¢	$0	0xc446c3…
03-10 19:36:39	will saudi arabia strike iran by march 31	Yes	SELL	12	18¢	$2	0xb9c839…
03-10 17:53:47	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 new	Yes	BUY	5	36¢	$2	0xf9549f…
03-10 17:53:35	ucl new fcb1 2026 03 10 fcb1	Yes	BUY	12	41¢	$5	0xd4d504…
03-09 22:40:11	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	11	65¢	$7	0x01d6d2…
03-09 22:32:45	will trump declare war on iran by march 31 2026	Yes	SELL	40	10¢	$4	0x01f4fa…
03-09 07:47:39	will israel launch a major ground offensive in lebanon by march 31	No	BUY	8	38¢	$3	0xbc621a…
03-09 07:24:49	will the us accuse iran of oslo embassy attack	Yes	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0x568f02…
03-08 21:09:27	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0x5d349c…
03-08 21:09:13	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	117	1¢	$1	0x3d928c…
03-08 20:55:59	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0xf663c2…
03-08 20:55:17	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0xaccd4f…
03-08 20:55:07	Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	5	79¢	$4	0x2ba41a…
03-08 20:54:47	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	BUY	117	1¢	$1	0xef71c8…
03-08 10:08:33	will iran strike dimona by march 31	Yes	SELL	75	9¢	$7	0x95b5b8…
03-05 17:18:29	Will Masoud Pezeshkian be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	167	0¢	$0	0xa98d69…
03-05 17:18:25	Will Hassan Khomeini be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	10	3¢	$0	0x4894e2…
03-04 21:13:49	will iran strike dimona by march 31	Yes	BUY	100	12¢	$12	0x883c1f…
03-04 14:28:51	Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	Yes	SELL	3	10¢	$0	0x0c6d41…
03-04 09:05:05	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	No	BUY	12	40¢	$5	0x7aa821…
03-04 08:56:31	will iran name a successor to khamenei by march 7 249 562	Yes	BUY	5	39¢	$2	0x5f8d0e…
03-04 08:54:29	will israels ben gurion airport reopen by march 15 611 421	No	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x5fff9a…
03-03 10:55:05	Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	Yes	SELL	26	57¢	$15	0xd4b827…
03-03 08:26:51	will iran strike lebanon in march	Yes	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xe27d5b…
03-03 08:26:05	will iran strike syria in march	Yes	BUY	6	36¢	$2	0xb9d359…
03-03 08:26:01	will iran strike cyprus in march	Yes	BUY	6	32¢	$2	0x75d887…
03-03 08:23:07	will a gulf state strike iran by march 7	Yes	SELL	12	38¢	$5	0xb1c153…
03-02 22:00:19	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	Yes	SELL	14	0¢	$0	0xba0137…
03-02 21:26:03	lal rea get 2026 03 02 rea	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x3b29c6…
03-02 21:25:41	lal rea get 2026 03 02 get	Yes	SELL	11	37¢	$4	0x0b4470…