Incredible-Outrage — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$31

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

73.1%

Resolved

Trades

205

lifetime

Volume

$951

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-06

last 08-18 06:24

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Sports

53% 45% +$3

Crypto

43% 61% +$28

Other

4% — —

Politics

0% — —

Pop-Culture

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

3 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (23) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$85	62	62	+0	Cavaliers	+$37	05-14 03:09
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	2	$79	49	49	+0	Pistons	+$19	05-08 01:45
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$70	50	50	+0	Canadiens	+$30	05-11 02:15
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	3	$41	68	68	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 13:53
Sabres vs. Canadiens	4	$41	105	0	+105	Sabres	$-41	05-13 02:00
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$40	99	0	+99	Cavaliers	$-40	05-08 03:55
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	2	$39	51	51	+0	open	—	05-14 04:40
Canadiens vs. Sabres	2	$37	30	30	+0	open	—	05-15 00:52
Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	2	$36	119	119	+0	open	—	05-07 06:43
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	10	$33	42	42	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 06:55
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	19	$31	38	38	+0	Up	+$1	05-07 04:07
Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 8:30PM-8:35PM ET	13	$28	32	25	+7	Up	+$13	05-07 00:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	16	$27	45	25	+20	Up	+$1	05-07 02:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	14	$25	48	18	+30	Up	+$1	05-07 02:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	2	$21	23	23	+0	Down	+$1	05-07 09:20
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:10PM-8:15PM ET	3	$20	14	14	+0	Up	$-1	05-07 00:11
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$20	51	0	+51	open	—	05-18 00:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	4	$19	29	10	+18	Up	+$8	05-06 23:57
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	2	$19	19	19	+0	Down	$-1	05-07 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	12	$17	44	8	+35	Up	$-2	05-07 02:48
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	9	$17	20	20	+0	Down	+$5	05-07 04:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	6	$11	11	11	+0	Down	+$3	05-07 02:44
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	2	$11	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-08 03:49
Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	7	$11	53	28	+25	Up	$-1	05-07 06:52
Timberwolves vs. Spurs	4	$11	61	0	+61	Spurs	$-11	05-07 02:35
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	7	$10	13	13	+0	Down	+$0	05-07 03:03
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$10	31	0	+31	open	—	05-21 00:34
Spurs vs. Thunder	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	05-18 00:28
Pistons vs. Cavaliers	1	$10	24	0	+24	Cavaliers	$-10	05-11 02:40
nfl lv hou 2026 08 21	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	08-17 06:27

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
08-18 06:24:19	will kanye west perform at the 2027 big game halftime show 253	Yes	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0x07077d…
08-17 06:27:39	nfl lv hou 2026 08 21	Raiders	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0xae5657…
08-17 06:25:30	nfl phi ne 2026 08 22	Eagles	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0xa3f188…
08-17 06:23:34	mlb stl cin 2026 05 24	St. Louis Cardinals	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x7463c0…
08-12 03:32:51	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0xa06f95…
08-12 03:32:46	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x7609de…
08-12 03:32:39	israel closes its airspace by august 31 389	Yes	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x406a15…
05-21 00:34:37	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	31	32¢	$10	0x3ae3fc…
05-18 00:28:14	Spurs vs. Thunder	Spurs	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0x56bd17…
05-18 00:25:35	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x4c8d2d…
05-15 00:52:58	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	SELL	30	89¢	$27	0xcc1c5c…
05-14 23:38:59	Canadiens vs. Sabres	Canadiens	BUY	30	33¢	$10	0xf18104…
05-14 04:40:08	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	SELL	51	38¢	$19	0x9ff9d7…
05-14 04:40:01	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	51	39¢	$20	0x36df88…
05-14 03:09:33	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	SELL	62	100¢	$61	0x0ab680…
05-13 02:08:22	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	62	39¢	$24	0x82e616…
05-13 02:00:08	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	25	8¢	$2	0xca7c77…
05-13 02:00:03	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	12	8¢	$1	0xba8cdc…
05-12 04:15:05	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	32	57¢	$18	0xc844f8…
05-11 02:48:14	Avalanche vs. Wild	Avalanche	BUY	17	55¢	$10	0x17419d…
05-11 02:47:30	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x7861a0…
05-11 02:40:07	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0x2d875d…
05-11 02:15:08	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	50	100¢	$50	0x2d8db2…
05-10 23:29:26	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	50	40¢	$20	0xb05b2e…
05-08 03:55:08	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0xe54984…
05-08 03:49:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	16	38¢	$6	0x3bf121…
05-08 03:48:59	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 11:45PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	16	33¢	$5	0x842cd9…
05-08 03:45:01	Knicks vs. 76ers	Knicks	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0x050752…
05-08 02:39:06	Pistons vs. Cavaliers	Pistons	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xabdc49…
05-08 01:45:33	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	SELL	49	100¢	$49	0x55885b…
05-07 15:10:23	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	49	61¢	$30	0x9ec4c1…
05-07 13:53:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	68	32¢	$21	0xf64ae1…
05-07 13:48:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	45	22¢	$10	0xbb555c…
05-07 13:47:29	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0xd5e057…
05-07 09:20:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	SELL	23	50¢	$11	0x7d7f36…
05-07 09:19:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	23	44¢	$10	0x1b81a4…
05-07 09:16:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	SELL	19	49¢	$9	0x15da52…
05-07 09:15:46	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 5:15AM-5:20AM ET	Up	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xe4a80f…
05-07 06:55:50	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	29	37¢	$10	0xdc3411…
05-07 06:55:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0x75e588…
05-07 06:55:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	SELL	8	34¢	$3	0x9e2f56…
05-07 06:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	26¢	$1	0xa5f4ba…
05-07 06:55:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Down	BUY	4	24¢	$1	0x807ae0…
05-07 06:55:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	SELL	6	75¢	$4	0xfa620b…
05-07 06:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd8ba98…
05-07 06:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xa6392b…
05-07 06:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x396493…
05-07 06:55:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:45AM-3:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x319851…
05-07 06:52:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xa29f0b…
05-07 06:51:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	SELL	28	17¢	$5	0x6513aa…
05-07 06:51:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x81795d…
05-07 06:51:17	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0x6d0295…
05-07 06:51:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xaac358…
05-07 06:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0xc4689c…
05-07 06:51:12	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 2:50AM-2:55AM ET	Down	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x54c0d8…
05-07 06:43:49	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	SELL	119	13¢	$16	0x8dc882…
05-07 06:42:48	Will Arsenal win a trophy this season?	No	BUY	119	17¢	$20	0xc1ba8c…
05-07 04:34:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	SELL	13	49¢	$6	0x6e9e8e…
05-07 04:32:37	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x3efe4d…
05-07 04:32:34	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0xd28914…
05-07 04:32:32	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Down	BUY	4	23¢	$1	0x816db7…
05-07 04:32:30	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	77¢	$1	0x5d1595…
05-07 04:32:22	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x0dc1e6…
05-07 04:32:15	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	SELL	5	57¢	$3	0xe93cf3…
05-07 04:31:48	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x90f639…
05-07 04:31:47	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:30AM-12:35AM ET	Up	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x5ba7ab…
05-07 04:28:57	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	SELL	23	4¢	$1	0x0f58c2…
05-07 04:25:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x3f2a1a…
05-07 04:23:28	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0xbf76f9…
05-07 04:23:26	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:15AM-12:30AM ET	Down	BUY	3	31¢	$1	0x82faa8…
05-07 04:07:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	11	23¢	$2	0x651f9a…
05-07 04:07:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x2cb70e…
05-07 04:07:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0xf49fa3…
05-07 04:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	7	48¢	$4	0xc7caf3…
05-07 04:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x9f839c…
05-07 04:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x8061ec…
05-07 04:04:04	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	41¢	$1	0x274e91…
05-07 04:03:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	SELL	12	48¢	$6	0x3be2e5…
05-07 04:02:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0xd43e57…
05-07 04:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x1c0d02…
05-07 04:02:33	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	43¢	$1	0x048dab…
05-07 04:02:05	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	SELL	9	53¢	$5	0x07bfe5…
05-07 04:01:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xeacce0…
05-07 04:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0xcc601b…
05-07 04:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x57afdd…
05-07 04:01:09	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x06215d…
05-07 04:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xfd30a1…
05-07 04:00:20	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0x46f19f…
05-07 04:00:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 7, 12:00AM-12:15AM ET	Down	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xedd5fa…
05-07 03:56:13	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	3	33¢	$1	0x44d0e0…
05-07 03:08:06	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	65¢	$3	0xabea3b…
05-07 03:05:16	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0x6051dc…
05-07 03:05:14	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	51¢	$1	0xb7cf8e…
05-07 03:04:11	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	4	19¢	$1	0x87df3a…
05-07 03:04:10	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xa12940…
05-07 03:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe7b887…
05-07 03:03:54	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	24¢	$3	0x505099…
05-07 03:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0xda8464…
05-07 03:03:31	Ethereum Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	BUY	5	19¢	$1	0x3034e9…
05-07 03:03:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Up	SELL	10	30¢	$3	0x5c288c…