Absolute-Ton — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$3

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$18.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$235

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 04-22 09:25

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

66% 0% $-3

Sports

17% — —

Crypto

14% — —

Politics

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

26 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	6	$1.9K	927	927	+0	No	$-1	03-29 14:42
Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.4K	713	713	+0	No	$-1	03-30 01:33
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	4	$1.2K	599	599	+0	open	—	03-31 15:36
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	4	$1.1K	548	548	+0	open	—	03-28 21:58
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	4	$1.0K	524	524	+0	open	—	04-19 13:01
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	4	$948	475	475	+0	open	—	04-19 01:24
Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	2	$630	316	316	+0	open	—	04-20 21:01
Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	2	$614	307	307	+0	open	—	04-17 14:32
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	2	$612	307	307	+0	open	—	03-04 16:10
Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	2	$606	303	303	+0	open	—	04-22 09:25
Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$596	298	298	+0	open	—	02-28 05:58
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$584	293	293	+0	open	—	04-03 21:58
Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	2	$576	289	289	+0	No	$-0	04-07 23:06
Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	2	$574	288	288	+0	No	$-0	04-15 19:49
Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$546	274	274	+0	No	$-0	03-30 13:29
Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	2	$536	268	268	+0	open	—	03-03 02:20
will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	2	$508	254	254	+0	open	—	03-27 07:17
will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	2	$506	253	253	+0	open	—	03-25 16:43
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	2	$498	249	249	+0	open	—	03-21 07:20
will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	2	$490	245	245	+0	open	—	03-24 06:56
Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$488	245	245	+0	No	$-0	04-05 09:59
Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$468	234	234	+0	open	—	04-13 02:30
Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	2	$466	234	234	+0	open	—	04-06 10:21
will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	2	$450	226	226	+0	open	—	03-22 09:05
will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$430	216	216	+0	open	—	04-03 14:01
nba cle uta 2026 03 30	1	$50	54	0	+54	open	—	03-30 21:41
nba gsw atl 2026 03 21	1	$45	55	0	+55	open	—	03-21 21:25
nba lac ind 2026 03 27	1	$38	49	0	+49	open	—	03-27 18:36
nba hou chi 2026 03 23	1	$35	46	0	+46	open	—	03-23 20:13
nba lac dal 2026 03 21	1	$34	48	0	+48	open	—	03-21 21:25

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
04-22 09:25:38	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	SELL	303	100¢	$303	0xc7c964…
04-22 04:58:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 in April?	No	BUY	303	100¢	$303	0x7f26be…
04-20 21:01:34	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	316	100¢	$315	0x97dbb4…
04-20 18:24:22	Will Austria win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	316	100¢	$315	0x3ad828…
04-19 13:01:56	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	247	100¢	$247	0xf5470c…
04-19 06:51:14	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	247	100¢	$247	0xfd0155…
04-19 01:24:32	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0x31075d…
04-18 18:34:04	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0xf56779…
04-17 14:32:58	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	307	100¢	$307	0x15ac84…
04-17 07:16:06	Will Amazon be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$307	0xb7de5b…
04-17 02:10:08	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	SELL	276	100¢	$276	0xffc9f6…
04-16 23:14:28	Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	276	100¢	$276	0x5a3aec…
04-15 19:49:32	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$287	0x3b7a9e…
04-15 12:54:30	Will Portugal win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$287	0x8fa944…
04-13 02:30:27	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	SELL	234	100¢	$234	0xcbc933…
04-12 21:47:29	Will Alibaba have the best AI model at the end of April 2026?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$234	0xeaf2e1…
04-07 23:06:19	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	289	100¢	$288	0xf7dcdb…
04-07 20:55:07	Will Montenegro win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	289	100¢	$288	0x6d436a…
04-06 10:21:27	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	SELL	234	99¢	$233	0x4fd21a…
04-06 08:05:41	Will Bitcoin dip to $20,000 in April?	No	BUY	234	100¢	$233	0x2b66f8…
04-05 09:59:37	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	245	100¢	$244	0x00d0bc…
04-05 04:00:17	Will Georgia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	245	100¢	$244	0xf8e736…
04-03 21:58:15	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	293	100¢	$292	0xa59afd…
04-03 20:27:29	Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	293	100¢	$292	0xaf0341…
04-03 14:01:17	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	216	100¢	$215	0x58d26e…
04-03 10:01:49	will danny willett win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	216	100¢	$215	0x3e6e98…
04-03 03:48:27	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	206	100¢	$206	0x3143a2…
04-02 22:53:47	Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	206	100¢	$206	0xb14ddb…
03-31 19:45:17	nba cle lal 2026 03 31	Cavaliers	BUY	49	44¢	$22	0xc48c37…
03-31 19:44:45	nba cha bkn 2026 03 31	Hornets	BUY	25	94¢	$24	0x35ba12…
03-31 15:36:55	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	291	100¢	$290	0x9c87f0…
03-31 11:39:49	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	291	100¢	$290	0x535662…
03-30 21:41:31	nba cle uta 2026 03 30	Cavaliers	BUY	54	92¢	$50	0x13e626…
03-30 21:40:59	nba det okc 2026 03 30	Pistons	BUY	53	16¢	$8	0x705916…
03-30 13:29:49	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	274	100¢	$273	0x2ec6c8…
03-30 09:34:32	Will Estonia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	274	100¢	$273	0x8c5c5c…
03-30 01:33:38	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	354	100¢	$353	0x0b43ef…
03-29 18:45:34	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	354	100¢	$353	0x7f696d…
03-29 14:42:32	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	282	100¢	$282	0x3cc20f…
03-29 10:49:00	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	282	100¢	$282	0xb55e5f…
03-29 06:54:46	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	356	100¢	$356	0xbf4aef…
03-29 03:01:02	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	356	100¢	$356	0x770f00…
03-28 21:58:14	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	285	100¢	$284	0x2d93dc…
03-28 17:13:45	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	285	100¢	$284	0x6bc648…
03-27 18:36:51	nba lac ind 2026 03 27	Clippers	BUY	49	78¢	$38	0x168e92…
03-27 12:41:33	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	SELL	263	100¢	$262	0xd205ed…
03-27 07:17:35	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	263	100¢	$262	0x09ef73…
03-27 07:17:19	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	SELL	254	100¢	$254	0x96ba3e…
03-27 01:54:11	will bitcoin dip to 30k in march 2026	No	BUY	254	100¢	$254	0xcb3595…
03-26 09:24:53	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	288	100¢	$288	0x607e40…
03-26 03:59:47	Will Scott Bessent be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	288	100¢	$288	0x601d20…
03-25 21:45:09	nba chi phi 2026 03 25	76ers	BUY	48	70¢	$34	0x706dac…
03-25 21:44:39	nba lal ind 2026 03 25	Pacers	BUY	29	21¢	$6	0x5885d0…
03-25 16:43:53	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	SELL	253	100¢	$253	0x154f65…
03-25 11:19:23	will ethereum dip to 200 in march 2026	No	BUY	253	100¢	$253	0x4b2a2f…
03-24 06:56:51	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	SELL	245	100¢	$245	0x2a7d8e…
03-24 01:30:15	will saudi aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on march 31	No	BUY	245	100¢	$245	0xa74873…
03-23 20:13:25	nba hou chi 2026 03 23	Rockets	BUY	46	77¢	$35	0xa4de4f…
03-23 20:12:57	nba ind orl 2026 03 23	Magic	BUY	29	87¢	$25	0x50a2aa…
03-23 20:12:23	nba gsw dal 2026 03 23	Warriors	BUY	48	53¢	$25	0x0f2100…
03-23 17:21:57	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	359	100¢	$357	0x65c257…
03-23 11:59:05	Will San Marino win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	359	100¢	$358	0x70b8d6…
03-23 11:58:47	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	308	100¢	$307	0x990db2…
03-23 06:37:15	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	308	100¢	$307	0x01aeea…
03-22 09:05:39	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	SELL	226	100¢	$225	0xada80f…
03-22 03:40:03	will bitcoin reach 100k in march 2026	No	BUY	226	100¢	$225	0xa37845…
03-21 21:25:51	nba lac dal 2026 03 21	Clippers	BUY	48	71¢	$34	0xc6f807…
03-21 21:25:17	nba gsw atl 2026 03 21	Hawks	BUY	55	82¢	$45	0x4f7e8c…
03-21 07:20:05	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	SELL	249	100¢	$249	0x8f95ac…
03-19 09:25:35	Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be Klára Dobrev?	No	BUY	249	100¢	$249	0x4e639e…
03-04 22:38:53	nba uta phi 2026 03 04	76ers	BUY	39	75¢	$29	0x3a2458…
03-04 16:10:19	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	SELL	307	100¢	$306	0x27661b…
03-03 02:20:21	Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?	No	BUY	307	100¢	$306	0x283a03…
03-03 02:20:03	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	SELL	268	100¢	$268	0xd96d72…
03-02 02:31:13	Will Osasuna win the 2025–26 La Liga?	No	BUY	268	100¢	$268	0xaa6165…
02-28 05:58:17	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	298	100¢	$298	0x2bc0cb…
02-26 05:18:18	Will Newcastle win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	298	100¢	$298	0x7eb5d3…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Attentive-Crewman 0xd218…b5c9	28	$168.2K	1,357	04-01 04:37
Probable-Farrow 0x6814…a9e7	27	$989.4K	28,978	04-21 23:40
(anonymous) 0xca8f…d963	27	$2.38K	3,708	04-27 02:25
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	21	$55.5K	963	04-28 10:34
Arctic-Kickoff 0xa667…ceb3	21	$24.2K	352	04-27 23:42
Earnest-Timbale 0x5f39…d603	21	$1.85K	755	04-01 04:13
Real-Veteran 0xe8dd…ec86	20	$3.05M	35,875	04-28 09:31
Well-Documented-Hit 0x30ce…6b2b	20	$525.9K	29,268	04-09 19:50