Elated-Window — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$97

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$47.1K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$480

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-12

last 05-12 01:08

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

36% — —

Sports

24% 100% +$74

Other

24% 100% +$12

Politics

15% 100% +$11

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	4	$2.8K	1,420	1,418	+2	open	—	04-21 21:06
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	3	$2.3K	1,696	892	+804	open	—	04-18 11:33
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$2.1K	1,112	1,112	+0	open	—	04-27 04:08
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.1K	1,073	1,073	+0	open	—	04-14 20:46
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.0K	1,049	1,049	+0	open	—	04-15 20:50
Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	5	$2.0K	1,031	1,031	+0	open	—	04-17 14:42
Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	10	$2.0K	1,022	1,022	+0	open	—	04-23 10:21
Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	7	$2.0K	1,022	1,021	+2	open	—	04-15 20:43
Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	2	$2.0K	1,021	1,021	+0	Yes	+$11	04-27 13:25
Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	2	$2.0K	1,020	1,020	+0	open	—	04-14 20:19
bitcoin above 74k on april 17	2	$1.9K	989	983	+6	open	—	04-17 13:25
Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	3	$1.9K	1,001	993	+8	open	—	04-14 13:40
trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	2	$1.8K	1,031	1,031	+0	open	—	04-14 22:49
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	2	$1.8K	1,149	1,149	+0	open	—	04-16 22:29
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	2	$1.8K	924	924	+0	open	—	04-17 08:55
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	23	$1.8K	918	917	+1	open	—	04-24 18:46
GTA VI released before June 2026?	9	$1.8K	915	915	+0	open	—	04-24 09:15
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$1.8K	1,124	1,115	+9	open	—	04-13 22:23
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	2	$1.8K	914	909	+5	open	—	04-22 12:56
Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	2	$1.5K	814	814	+0	open	—	04-21 15:58
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	2	$1.5K	762	762	+0	open	—	04-15 14:46
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	2	$1.4K	709	709	+0	open	—	04-18 17:18
Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	2	$1.2K	612	612	+0	open	—	05-12 01:08
Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$1000	1,074	0	+1,074	No	+$74	04-13 04:20
Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	1	$1000	1,012	0	+1,012	No	+$12	04-13 00:48
Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	1	$950	989	0	+989	open	—	04-16 04:32
Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	1	$800	930	0	+930	open	—	04-16 21:39

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-12 01:08:11	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	SELL	612	99¢	$607	0xef0b41…
04-27 13:25:44	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	SELL	1,021	99¢	$1,011	0xd8028c…
04-27 04:08:36	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	SELL	1,112	99¢	$1,101	0x4ca2ce…
04-24 18:46:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x71e9bb…
04-24 18:40:48	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	43	99¢	$43	0x6140de…
04-24 18:37:28	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	36	99¢	$36	0x511e4d…
04-24 18:37:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	169	99¢	$167	0x38952f…
04-24 18:37:18	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x3ce768…
04-24 18:35:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x1d3d0d…
04-24 18:21:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	40	99¢	$40	0x6e6447…
04-24 18:20:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x3d6c26…
04-24 18:16:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	42	99¢	$42	0x971bc4…
04-24 18:10:50	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xfe351b…
04-24 18:09:12	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0x686f9c…
04-24 18:03:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x5e49b9…
04-24 18:01:02	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	47	99¢	$47	0x8e5307…
04-24 17:58:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd87b6a…
04-24 17:56:20	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x062eed…
04-24 17:42:00	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x4e7d86…
04-24 17:41:04	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	25	99¢	$25	0x8c3baa…
04-24 17:37:38	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xef244b…
04-24 17:30:34	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0x8709a3…
04-24 17:19:30	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	33	99¢	$33	0x7a10db…
04-24 17:12:36	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$3	0x58041f…
04-24 17:12:22	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	SELL	139	99¢	$137	0xf240e9…
04-24 09:15:46	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	66	99¢	$65	0xab132d…
04-24 09:08:50	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	106	99¢	$105	0x12ddac…
04-24 09:00:54	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	95	99¢	$94	0x8ef07d…
04-24 08:34:10	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0xce4292…
04-23 10:21:42	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	296	99¢	$293	0xe855b5…
04-23 10:19:48	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	165	99¢	$163	0xd46b85…
04-23 09:05:48	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	34	99¢	$34	0x529800…
04-23 08:50:12	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	96	99¢	$95	0x23a710…
04-23 08:28:14	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	122	99¢	$121	0x744240…
04-23 08:19:26	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	108	99¢	$107	0x401d29…
04-23 07:15:58	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0x375d7b…
04-23 06:14:16	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	12	99¢	$12	0xd876ed…
04-23 05:46:44	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	SELL	62	99¢	$62	0x897d08…
04-23 03:08:32	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	45	99¢	$45	0x24e10f…
04-23 02:43:18	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x8f0cff…
04-23 02:43:12	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0x9d0842…
04-23 02:31:02	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	SELL	107	99¢	$106	0xf089b7…
04-22 12:56:32	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	SELL	909	99¢	$900	0x2fe973…
04-21 21:06:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	607	99¢	$601	0x74dccb…
04-21 15:58:18	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	SELL	814	99¢	$806	0x6e93b7…
04-19 21:51:42	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	608	99¢	$600	0xca1c1d…
04-19 18:08:46	Iran x Israel/US conflict ends by April 30?	Yes	BUY	814	86¢	$700	0xad0f23…
04-18 17:18:20	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	SELL	709	99¢	$702	0x03e279…
04-18 11:33:48	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	801	92¢	$740	0xf23ef5…
04-17 16:38:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	SELL	810	99¢	$802	0x93ad45…
04-17 15:00:08	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	SELL	892	79¢	$701	0x72cf26…
04-17 14:42:16	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	248	99¢	$246	0x730351…
04-17 13:38:46	Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?	No	BUY	709	99¢	$700	0x608903…
04-17 13:25:44	bitcoin above 74k on april 17	Yes	SELL	983	99¢	$973	0x3a27a7…
04-17 08:55:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	SELL	924	99¢	$915	0xc3d0f3…
04-17 08:38:24	bitcoin above 74k on april 17	Yes	BUY	989	91¢	$900	0x4594af…
04-17 07:31:38	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	400	99¢	$396	0x082004…
04-17 07:30:24	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	331	99¢	$328	0x8e3ca7…
04-17 07:26:58	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	SELL	52	99¢	$51	0xeb31cc…
04-16 22:29:18	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	SELL	1,149	71¢	$817	0xaa0733…
04-16 21:39:10	Will Bitcoin dip to $65,000 in April?	No	BUY	930	86¢	$800	0x78e9cf…
04-16 04:32:30	Will Shai Gilgeous-Alexander win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	Yes	BUY	989	96¢	$950	0x80073f…
04-15 20:50:12	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,049	99¢	$1,039	0x792e7c…
04-15 20:43:30	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	128	99¢	$127	0xd7dc1b…
04-15 18:59:48	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	123	99¢	$121	0x6ee94b…
04-15 18:29:22	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	200	99¢	$198	0x05c8e9…
04-15 17:41:14	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	144	99¢	$143	0x180ee4…
04-15 16:41:40	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	3	99¢	$2	0x1ab02d…
04-15 15:00:44	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	SELL	423	99¢	$419	0x8972aa…
04-15 14:46:28	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	SELL	762	99¢	$754	0xf31acd…
04-15 10:59:38	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	No	BUY	612	98¢	$600	0xbcc01b…
04-15 07:08:32	Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 in April?	No	BUY	895	95¢	$850	0x170ff6…
04-14 22:49:36	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	SELL	1,031	82¢	$848	0x578999…
04-14 22:11:08	Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in April?	No	BUY	914	93¢	$850	0x06d9e8…
04-14 20:59:08	GTA VI released before June 2026?	No	BUY	915	98¢	$900	0x7a0303…
04-14 20:46:24	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,073	99¢	$1,062	0x83492f…
04-14 20:19:48	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	SELL	1,020	99¢	$1,010	0x2ed87b…
04-14 17:23:50	Will Bitcoin dip to $55,000 in April?	No	BUY	812	97¢	$790	0xae6571…
04-14 13:40:27	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	925	99¢	$916	0x174550…
04-14 10:12:27	Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the April 2026 meeting?	Yes	BUY	762	98¢	$750	0x9b6320…
04-14 07:10:09	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	68	99¢	$67	0xbb9f25…
04-14 00:35:51	Will Bitcoin reach $75,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	1,001	89¢	$890	0x1fe622…
04-13 22:23:53	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	SELL	1,115	68¢	$758	0x855248…
04-13 21:01:29	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in April?	No	BUY	918	98¢	$900	0x6098fe…
04-13 19:48:55	Will Bitcoin dip to $50,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,022	98¢	$1,000	0x22b1d8…
04-13 18:35:09	Will Liverpool win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,020	98¢	$1,000	0xf7bbe6…
04-13 13:50:01	Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,073	93¢	$1,000	0x689cf6…
04-13 12:34:43	Will Scottish National Party win the most seats in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?	Yes	BUY	1,021	98¢	$1,000	0x68d6d4…
04-13 10:13:59	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	No	BUY	1,124	89¢	$1,000	0xbc7186…
04-13 09:03:35	Will Victor Wembanyama win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	No	BUY	1,022	98¢	$1,000	0x32a0b6…
04-13 07:53:05	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	No	BUY	1,112	90¢	$1,000	0xc56499…
04-13 06:42:35	trump announces end of military operations against iran by april 15th 962 364 677	No	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x2c9e88…
04-13 05:32:19	Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,049	95¢	$1,000	0x849b5e…
04-13 04:20:57	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	1,074	93¢	$1,000	0xa1ca58…
04-13 03:09:55	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	No	BUY	1,149	87¢	$1,000	0x7298b0…
04-13 00:48:45	Will Lens win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	No	BUY	1,012	99¢	$1,000	0x38f097…
04-12 23:38:21	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	924	97¢	$900	0xfc6101…
04-12 22:27:27	Will the Iranian regime fall by April 30?	No	BUY	1,031	97¢	$1,000	0x3c6557…