Lumpy-Most — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$253

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

24.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$876

lifetime

Avg / trade

$10

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-27

last 05-10 15:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Politics

44% — —

Sports

38% 50% $-247

Crypto

18% 63% $-6

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

9 active days in 12wk • peak 39 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (17) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	2	$387	1,434	0	+1,434	open	—	04-27 13:03
Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	1	$300	577	0	+577	Yes	$-300	05-06 04:08
UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	2	$30	101	0	+101	Sean Strickland	+$53	05-08 05:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 03:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 03:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	2	$11	6	6	+0	Up	+$1	05-05 02:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$10	7	7	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 03:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$10	6	6	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 03:50
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 03:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	2	$10	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-05 03:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	$-3	05-05 05:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	1	$5	10	0	+10	Down	$-5	05-05 03:58
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-30 14:31
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	4	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-02 03:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	4	$4	3	2	+0	open	—	05-02 03:28
Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 12:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	4	$4	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-05 01:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	3	$3	4	2	+2	open	—	05-02 03:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	2	$3	2	2	+0	open	—	04-30 14:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 03:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	04-30 14:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 03:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 04:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-03 03:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-10 15:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 03:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 02:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	open	—	05-02 03:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	2	$2	2	2	+0	open	—	05-02 02:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	2	$2	1	1	+0	Up	+$0	05-05 02:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-10 15:13:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x473787…
05-10 15:12:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x0d0726…
05-08 05:32:10	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Sean Strickland	BUY	83	18¢	$15	0xf4c0c9…
05-08 05:32:07	UFC 328: Sean Strickland vs. Khamzat Chimaev (Middleweight, Main Card)	Khamzat Chimaev	BUY	18	83¢	$15	0xf4c2ad…
05-06 04:08:06	Will Paris Saint-Germain (PSG) reach the UEFA Champions League final?	No	BUY	577	52¢	$300	0x38a098…
05-05 12:36:58	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	1	57¢	$1	0xc374f7…
05-05 12:35:40	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x87f373…
05-05 12:32:38	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x5cf375…
05-05 12:32:24	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x61eef4…
05-05 12:31:52	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	SELL	2	69¢	$1	0xcaa40e…
05-05 12:31:18	Ethereum Up or Down - May 5, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x09db42…
05-05 11:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xea4b7a…
05-05 11:46:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:45AM-8:00AM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0x0059e1…
05-05 05:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	SELL	6	44¢	$2	0x63769a…
05-05 05:01:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 1:00AM-1:05AM ET	Down	BUY	6	89¢	$5	0x03ad88…
05-05 04:18:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	SELL	1	98¢	$1	0x1eacd4…
05-05 04:17:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 12:15AM-12:20AM ET	Up	BUY	1	82¢	$1	0x385d1c…
05-05 03:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x8d1e99…
05-05 03:50:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$5	0xd7851d…
05-05 03:46:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6cad9b…
05-05 03:44:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	SELL	6	97¢	$6	0x921883…
05-05 03:41:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:40PM-11:45PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xf30e97…
05-05 03:38:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x78aa12…
05-05 03:38:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xbf2c6a…
05-05 03:22:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	7	75¢	$5	0x91c46e…
05-05 03:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	7	70¢	$5	0x24fc64…
05-05 03:14:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	SELL	6	99¢	$6	0x67647b…
05-05 03:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	87¢	$5	0xb83df4…
05-05 03:04:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	5	94¢	$5	0xe06588…
05-05 03:03:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x3a36e1…
05-05 02:59:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	SELL	6	89¢	$6	0x375e46…
05-05 02:56:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:55PM-11:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	80¢	$5	0x965cf4…
05-05 02:27:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	61¢	$1	0x201b25…
05-05 02:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x558c41…
05-05 02:14:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xcfc06d…
05-05 02:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0x6cc238…
05-05 02:04:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	SELL	2	60¢	$1	0x3b49f6…
05-05 02:04:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:05PM-10:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x3004bf…
05-05 02:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x41ee02…
05-05 02:03:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x62622b…
05-05 01:44:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	1	88¢	$1	0x3516cb…
05-05 01:44:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	83¢	$1	0x6e7c80…
05-05 01:42:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x7bc904…
05-05 01:41:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40PM-9:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	62¢	$1	0x9b910a…
05-04 14:27:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0xe60c06…
05-04 14:26:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:25AM-10:30AM ET	Up	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xabb08d…
05-04 14:23:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x282c1a…
05-04 14:22:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Up	BUY	1	90¢	$1	0x7021f8…
05-03 03:52:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	SELL	2	78¢	$1	0xfea91f…
05-03 03:52:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:50PM-11:55PM ET	Up	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd63229…
05-03 03:36:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x833c7d…
05-03 03:35:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x09edde…
05-02 03:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0xd563fa…
05-02 03:57:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:55PM-12:00AM ET	Up	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0xe1baa6…
05-02 03:49:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	SELL	1	96¢	$1	0x36f666…
05-02 03:46:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:45PM-11:50PM ET	Down	BUY	1	86¢	$1	0x742c30…
05-02 03:40:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0x9e68e9…
05-02 03:39:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Down	BUY	2	57¢	$1	0x880023…
05-02 03:37:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	80¢	$1	0xfc3cbf…
05-02 03:35:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:35PM-11:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0xd25bdf…
05-02 03:28:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x158d6a…
05-02 03:27:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	84¢	$1	0xe2cc7f…
05-02 03:26:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	SELL	1	85¢	$1	0x9b68c3…
05-02 03:26:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:25PM-11:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	76¢	$1	0xc26c5c…
05-02 03:25:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x6c896e…
05-02 03:24:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:20PM-11:25PM ET	Up	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x7b52a6…
05-02 03:16:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	SELL	1	76¢	$1	0x6ed2db…
05-02 03:16:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:15PM-11:20PM ET	Down	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7d0953…
05-02 03:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	SELL	1	78¢	$1	0x048772…
05-02 03:10:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:10PM-11:15PM ET	Down	BUY	1	80¢	$1	0x7bc58e…
05-02 03:08:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	SELL	1	89¢	$1	0x548283…
05-02 03:08:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:05PM-11:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	71¢	$1	0x4c100f…
05-02 03:03:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0x3084ba…
05-02 03:01:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	SELL	2	50¢	$1	0x770db1…
05-02 03:01:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 11:00PM-11:05PM ET	Down	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0xf4eeae…
05-02 02:52:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x68a5ef…
05-02 02:52:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:50PM-10:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	94¢	$1	0xb7108b…
05-02 02:47:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	SELL	2	61¢	$1	0x8ef53b…
05-02 02:47:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xa1d15f…
05-02 02:45:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0x4eefbf…
05-02 02:39:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x8e745b…
05-02 02:39:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 1, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	96¢	$1	0x917057…
04-30 14:31:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x5a25b3…
04-30 14:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	SELL	2	74¢	$2	0x4975b4…
04-30 14:20:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x38340f…
04-30 14:17:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	SELL	1	97¢	$1	0x02577c…
04-30 14:16:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 10:15AM-10:20AM ET	Down	BUY	1	74¢	$1	0x1425c6…
04-27 13:03:00	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	910	27¢	$246	0xbf2453…
04-27 13:01:40	will the dravida munnetra kazhagam dmk win the most seats in the 2026 tamil nadu legislative assembly election	No	BUY	524	27¢	$142	0x0bdc60…