Lasting-Spool — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$2

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

48.3%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$438

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-16 07:53

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

68% 0% $-0

Politics

17% — —

Crypto

12% 50% $-2

Pop-Culture

2% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

5 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will data center be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 855	3	$30	20	10	+10	open	—	02-03 07:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	4	$23	32	32	+0	Up	+$3	05-06 18:07
will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-02 09:09
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$20	10	10	+0	No	$-0	04-07 09:21
will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-02 09:08
will fa win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-03 07:15
will artemis ii launch by february 7	2	$20	10	10	+0	open	—	02-03 07:15
will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-01 09:17
will send help opening weekend box office be between 10m and 12pt5m	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-01 09:18
will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-18 03:44
will elon musk be richest person on march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-03 07:16
will amzn reach 300 in february	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:12
elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-26 09:16
new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:09
Will Harry Styles have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-03 07:17
elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:09
elon musk of tweets march 2026 800 839	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-18 03:46
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-18 03:42
will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 7 be between 60 and 70	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:11
will kidnapped elizabeth smart be the 2 global netflix movie this week february 3	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-03 07:16
elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-18 03:43
will the rip be the top us netflix movie this week february 3	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-03 07:16
will scream 7 opening weekend box office be less than 25m	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:10
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-18 03:42
will israel strike gaza on february 21 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:12
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	03-26 09:16
will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-24 10:11
will his hers be the 2 us netflix show this week february 3 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-03 07:16
will nflx close between 50 and 60 week february 6 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-01 09:17
will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	02-01 09:19

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-16 07:53:03	Israel withdraws from Lebanon by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x394e8a…
05-16 07:52:28	S&P 500 (SPY) closes above $765 on May 18?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x8f75d9…
05-16 07:50:59	Will Putin visit China by May 31?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xaf6860…
05-16 07:50:10	Will Trump Insult Xi this week?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xf08b82…
05-16 07:49:38	Trump endorses China's claim to Taiwan this week?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0xdc3481…
05-16 07:49:19	Will the Iranian regime fall by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x142c79…
05-16 07:49:05	Trump renames Strait of Hormuz to "Strait of Trump" by May 31?	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x4955e5…
05-06 18:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	14	38¢	$5	0xcd4091…
05-06 18:06:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0xeef65f…
05-06 18:06:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	SELL	17	46¢	$8	0x214a30…
05-06 18:05:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	17	29¢	$5	0xef712c…
05-06 18:02:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	8	66¢	$5	0xaf8374…
05-05 07:29:04	Will James Comey leave the country by May 15?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43f9bf…
05-05 07:26:30	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by June 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x27cb87…
04-07 09:21:37	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xbe6b62…
03-26 09:16:23	Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb2c8ff…
03-26 09:16:09	elon musk of tweets march 27 april 3 100 119	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6735b8…
03-18 03:46:51	elon musk of tweets march 2026 800 839	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x226c53…
03-18 03:44:59	will the us officially declare war on iran by march 31 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xa69820…
03-18 03:43:29	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x632589…
03-18 03:43:05	elon musk of tweets march 16 march 18 140 164	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x31a209…
03-18 03:42:43	will the iranian regime fall by march 31	No	BUY	10	96¢	$10	0x9b9c5d…
03-18 03:42:27	will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x6e620a…
02-24 10:12:32	will amzn reach 300 in february	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x344e49…
02-24 10:12:14	will israel strike gaza on february 21 2026	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x461a0c…
02-24 10:11:42	will the us flu hospitalization rate per 100000 in week 7 be between 60 and 70	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xa91b69…
02-24 10:11:10	will apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 781	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xffc945…
02-24 10:10:30	will scream 7 opening weekend box office be less than 25m	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xd76a42…
02-24 10:09:58	new 10 us blanket tariff goes into effect by february 28	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x9e1be0…
02-24 10:09:40	elon musk of tweets february 27 march 6 80 99	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3bddc8…
02-03 07:17:00	Will Harry Styles have a #1 song on the Billboard Hot 100 in 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x3730cb…
02-03 07:16:52	will data center be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 855	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xc4b5a4…
02-03 07:16:42	will elon musk be richest person on march 31	Yes	BUY	10	97¢	$10	0xfb0c05…
02-03 07:16:36	will his hers be the 2 us netflix show this week february 3 2026	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x71ae76…
02-03 07:16:22	will the rip be the top us netflix movie this week february 3	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0xaaf310…
02-03 07:16:08	will kidnapped elizabeth smart be the 2 global netflix movie this week february 3	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x4b2ed6…
02-03 07:15:16	will fa win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xde796f…
02-03 07:15:12	will artemis ii launch by february 7	No	SELL	10	99¢	$10	0xda62e3…
02-02 09:09:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0x2d4202…
02-02 09:08:56	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	SELL	10	100¢	$10	0xaf45de…
02-02 09:08:44	will data center be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 855	Yes	SELL	10	94¢	$10	0xd2f8f8…
02-01 09:19:08	will all of trumps greenland tariffs go into effect by feb 1	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xdf797a…
02-01 09:18:56	will fa win the most seats in the 2026 costa rican legislative assembly election	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe72387…
02-01 09:18:38	will send help opening weekend box office be between 10m and 12pt5m	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb1a5e0…
02-01 09:18:24	will data center be said during the next episode of the all in podcast 855	Yes	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x6611bd…
02-01 09:18:14	will artemis ii launch by february 7	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xe53c74…
02-01 09:17:46	will the us not strike iran by january 31 2026 314	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xaac503…
02-01 09:17:32	will nflx close between 50 and 60 week february 6 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xb4aac1…
02-01 09:16:18	will bitcoin reach 150k in february 2026	No	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0xbb022c…
02-01 09:16:02	will there be another us government shutdown by january 31	Yes	BUY	10	100¢	$10	0x718784…
01-05 10:28:45	will bitcoin reach 150k in january 2026	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9163b2…