Shy-Waterfall — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.2%

Resolved

Trades

1,334

lifetime

Volume

$5.78K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-08

last 05-17 01:29

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 5 days

Categories

Crypto

99% 37% $-43

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

19 active days in 12wk • peak 141 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1773080400	1	$40	399	+399	open	—	03-09 18:24
btc updown 5m 1773075000	3	$30	2,012	+2,012	open	—	03-09 16:54
btc updown 5m 1776726600	1	$30	56	+56	open	—	04-20 23:14
btc updown 5m 1776714000	1	$30	79	+79	open	—	04-20 19:44
btc updown 5m 1776724500	2	$30	36	+36	open	—	04-20 22:39
btc updown 5m 1776736500	6	$29	38	+38	open	—	04-21 01:59
btc updown 5m 1776717300	1	$29	85	+85	open	—	04-20 20:39
btc updown 5m 1776735000	1	$29	41	+41	open	—	04-21 01:34
btc updown 5m 1776731400	2	$28	59	+59	open	—	04-21 00:34
btc updown 5m 1776786000	19	$28	141	+141	open	—	04-21 15:44
btc updown 5m 1776730500	1	$28	67	+67	open	—	04-21 00:19
btc updown 5m 1776711900	3	$28	34	+34	open	—	04-20 19:09
btc updown 5m 1776718500	2	$28	58	+58	open	—	04-20 20:59
btc updown 5m 1776711300	1	$28	38	+38	open	—	04-20 18:59
btc updown 5m 1776721500	1	$27	59	+59	open	—	04-20 21:49
btc updown 5m 1777043700	6	$26	55	+55	open	—	04-24 15:19
btc updown 5m 1776717900	1	$26	39	+39	open	—	04-20 20:49
btc updown 5m 1776794400	1	$26	31	+31	open	—	04-21 18:04
btc updown 5m 1776728400	5	$26	142	+142	open	—	04-20 23:44
btc updown 5m 1777045500	11	$25	98	+98	open	—	04-24 15:49
btc updown 5m 1777046100	1	$25	33	+33	open	—	04-24 15:59
btc updown 5m 1777041600	5	$25	65	+65	open	—	04-24 14:44
btc updown 5m 1777044300	1	$25	34	+34	open	—	04-24 15:29
btc updown 5m 1776708600	1	$25	49	+49	open	—	04-20 18:14
btc updown 5m 1776729000	1	$25	51	+51	open	—	04-20 23:54
btc updown 5m 1776769500	5	$25	44	+44	open	—	04-21 11:09
btc updown 5m 1776729600	1	$25	61	+61	open	—	04-21 00:04
btc updown 5m 1777044600	1	$24	37	+37	open	—	04-24 15:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 24, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	2	$24	36	+36	open	—	04-25 02:34
btc updown 5m 1777035900	1	$23	52	+52	open	—	04-24 13:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 01:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 9:25PM-9:30PM ET	Up	BUY	17	27¢	$4	0x6b198a…
05-16 22:29:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	32	26¢	$8	0x6fb120…
05-16 21:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	7	30¢	$2	0x9e5d4f…
05-16 21:39:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	24	30¢	$7	0x32b8c7…
05-16 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xac7f2b…
05-16 21:34:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	42¢	$3	0x8a4cce…
05-16 21:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	5	42¢	$2	0xe71853…
05-16 21:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x24f594…
05-16 21:34:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	42¢	$1	0x1ab756…
05-16 21:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	9	28¢	$2	0x9d33db…
05-16 21:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	28¢	$1	0x5a356a…
05-16 21:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:10PM-5:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	28¢	$2	0x12abcc…
05-16 21:09:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	12	71¢	$8	0x6cee76…
05-16 20:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:40PM-4:45PM ET	Up	BUY	31	22¢	$7	0x6ea43a…
05-16 20:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0x3f336f…
05-16 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xaa0b6b…
05-16 19:59:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Up	BUY	17	22¢	$4	0x23b7f7…
05-16 19:39:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	23	40¢	$9	0xa3c7d0…
05-16 19:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xd1c6cc…
05-16 19:14:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 3:10PM-3:15PM ET	Down	BUY	6	16¢	$1	0x42bd04…
05-16 17:19:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Down	BUY	5	38¢	$2	0x11eb15…
05-16 15:24:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	8	12¢	$1	0x20c87d…
05-16 05:24:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 1:20AM-1:25AM ET	Up	BUY	36	26¢	$9	0x3f3082…
05-16 04:54:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:50AM-12:55AM ET	Up	BUY	22	42¢	$9	0x6d2e57…
05-16 04:09:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	16	14¢	$2	0xeacf9e…
05-16 04:09:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 16, 12:05AM-12:10AM ET	Down	BUY	14	14¢	$2	0x05db69…
05-16 02:39:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	27	38¢	$10	0x169f26…
05-16 02:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	49¢	$7	0x35ee9c…
05-16 02:34:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:30PM-10:35PM ET	Up	BUY	7	49¢	$3	0x30929b…
05-16 02:19:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 10:15PM-10:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	34¢	$7	0xaf9169…
05-16 01:39:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:35PM-9:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	38¢	$11	0xab09a7…
05-16 01:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0xe546bd…
05-16 01:14:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x27fe3d…
05-16 01:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	8	46¢	$4	0x41a850…
05-16 01:14:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	46¢	$1	0x010ad4…
05-16 01:04:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	BUY	19	48¢	$9	0xefb1d4…
05-16 00:44:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	Up	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xd9ddcd…
05-16 00:19:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 8:15PM-8:20PM ET	Up	BUY	15	62¢	$10	0xafdc59…
05-15 23:54:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xd53c1f…
05-15 23:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	16	38¢	$6	0xe7d591…
05-15 23:49:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	38¢	$2	0xd05939…
05-15 23:49:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	7	38¢	$3	0xc03ca4…
05-15 21:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	18	52¢	$9	0xd79dd4…
05-15 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0xc308e9…
05-15 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	1	22¢	$0	0x56f928…
05-15 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	5	22¢	$1	0x2a0e7e…
05-15 20:39:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	22¢	$0	0x14f39c…
05-15 20:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:35PM-4:40PM ET	Up	BUY	36	22¢	$8	0x599a84…
05-15 20:24:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	31	29¢	$9	0xc4d394…
05-15 19:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xd93c52…
05-15 19:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xcb2e52…
05-15 19:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0xc29d49…
05-15 19:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	48¢	$1	0x384d17…
05-15 19:29:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	48¢	$4	0x233474…
05-15 18:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xfacad5…
05-15 18:59:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 15, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x5f8471…
05-11 04:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 12:25AM-12:30AM ET	Up	BUY	21	55¢	$12	0xef9447…
05-07 22:44:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	20	63¢	$13	0x76c6b7…
05-07 22:29:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	58	8¢	$5	0xf375cb…
05-07 22:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	24	14¢	$3	0xaf33b9…
05-07 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xfa8f92…
05-07 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0xbcea51…
05-07 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	8	10¢	$1	0x98d621…
05-07 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x3544d4…
05-07 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	10¢	$1	0x305f05…
05-07 21:59:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:55PM-6:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	10¢	$0	0x1a3995…
05-07 21:39:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35PM-5:40PM ET	Up	BUY	28	37¢	$11	0x22dc58…
05-07 21:34:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	15	8¢	$1	0x41ce83…
05-07 21:04:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:00PM-5:05PM ET	Up	BUY	94	14¢	$13	0x63a5a6…
05-07 20:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	49	8¢	$4	0x974aeb…
05-07 20:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0x73bdbd…
05-07 20:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	11	8¢	$1	0x6ab2bb…
05-07 20:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	8¢	$0	0xcdbe06…
05-07 20:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	30	8¢	$2	0xc04c0b…
05-07 20:19:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	44	30¢	$13	0x9a3c17…
05-07 19:54:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	73	9¢	$7	0xaf2121…
05-07 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x8e9571…
05-07 14:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Up	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0x0762d2…
05-06 18:04:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	23	48¢	$11	0x74ff27…
05-06 17:59:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	33	55¢	$18	0x0abf0f…
05-06 17:54:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	29	60¢	$18	0x20a66f…
05-06 17:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	40¢	$2	0xb4cfe5…
05-06 17:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	40¢	$1	0x7d2764…
05-06 17:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x769717…
05-06 17:29:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x531639…
05-06 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0xc724d6…
05-06 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0xb16233…
05-06 17:29:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	40¢	$1	0x743533…
05-06 17:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	74¢	$2	0xdfff36…
05-06 17:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	0	74¢	$0	0x8007dd…
05-06 17:09:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	22	74¢	$16	0x3558da…
05-06 17:04:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Down	BUY	13	50¢	$7	0xba8c86…
05-06 16:49:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	15	76¢	$12	0x47ff99…
05-06 16:49:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0xa984ae…
05-06 16:34:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	31	52¢	$16	0xa24795…
05-06 16:29:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Up	BUY	46	40¢	$18	0x07345e…
05-06 16:19:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	34¢	$3	0xa23047…
05-06 13:54:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:50AM-9:55AM ET	Up	BUY	13	8¢	$1	0xf47b1b…
05-06 13:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	20	36¢	$7	0xea9d74…
05-06 13:19:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	9	36¢	$3	0x26c0f5…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0xa3d0…ec04	777	$31.3K	7,666	05-17 01:28
(anonymous) 0x8852…c569	773	$103.7K	26,158	05-17 01:29
Dry-Solvency 0x5d3c…c298	769	$48.6K	7,051	05-17 01:28
(anonymous) 0x6cf4…e1fa	767	$1.60K	3,570	05-17 01:29
(anonymous) 0x38e5…8a4a	764	$735.5K	174,284	05-17 01:29
Attractive-Spleen 0x88ac…fb0b	728	$2.59K	3,276	05-17 01:29
(anonymous) 0xe7e8…6f45	722	$27.9K	6,399	05-17 01:26
(anonymous) 0x42a2…e9e8	695	$5.05K	5,923	05-07 22:45