Reasonable-Due-Gray — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$5

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

70.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$208

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-09

last 05-20 06:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

71% 44% $-5

Politics

29% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$29	20	20	+0	open	—	05-15 05:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	2	$29	19	19	+0	Down	+$9	05-09 19:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	2	$28	18	18	+0	Up	+$8	05-10 11:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	2	$27	17	17	+0	Up	+$7	05-10 10:55
Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$15	95	0	+95	open	—	05-14 09:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	2	$14	20	20	+0	Down	$-6	05-09 20:12
Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	250	0	+250	open	—	05-14 09:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$10	19	0	+19	Down	$-10	05-09 20:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$10	36	0	+36	Down	$-10	05-10 10:59
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	209	0	+209	open	—	05-14 09:55
Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$5	71	0	+71	open	—	05-15 06:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	2	$4	2	2	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 17:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	2	$2	105	0	+105	open	—	05-19 17:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$2	9	0	+9	Up	$-2	05-09 17:25
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-20 02:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-20 00:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-20 01:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-19 23:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-20 06:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	20	0	+20	Down	$-1	05-09 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-19 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	1	$1	1	0	+1	open	—	05-19 17:04

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-20 06:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x33f167…
05-20 02:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 10:00PM-10:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	74¢	$2	0x094200…
05-20 01:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Down	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0x52634f…
05-20 00:57:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 8:55PM-9:00PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xe62092…
05-19 23:22:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	3	75¢	$2	0xed5fa9…
05-19 17:19:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x307389…
05-19 17:09:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xfcc77b…
05-19 17:07:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	20¢	$1	0xbbd2d6…
05-19 17:04:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 19, 1:00PM-1:05PM ET	Up	BUY	1	93¢	$1	0xf58300…
05-15 06:53:44	Will Trump say "Friend of mine" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0x0372a1…
05-15 05:06:19	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	20	97¢	$19	0x936e31…
05-14 10:57:28	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x2e6c72…
05-14 09:55:48	Will Trump say "Mao" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	250	4¢	$10	0xf5e6e8…
05-14 09:55:31	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	209	5¢	$10	0x94a97b…
05-14 09:53:16	Will Trump say "Shanghai" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	95	16¢	$15	0x260c1d…
05-10 11:05:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	SELL	18	99¢	$18	0xbfdfdb…
05-10 11:01:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:00AM-7:05AM ET	Up	BUY	18	55¢	$10	0x204fef…
05-10 10:59:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	36	28¢	$10	0x145332…
05-10 10:55:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	SELL	17	99¢	$17	0x78fbdc…
05-10 10:53:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:50AM-6:55AM ET	Up	BUY	17	59¢	$10	0xeea71f…
05-09 20:18:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	19	54¢	$10	0xe3635a…
05-09 20:12:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	20	19¢	$4	0xda51aa…
05-09 20:10:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	20	50¢	$10	0x5006ce…
05-09 19:40:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	SELL	19	99¢	$19	0x05456a…
05-09 19:39:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	19	52¢	$10	0xec2036…
05-09 17:40:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	SELL	2	99¢	$2	0xde043e…
05-09 17:38:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:35PM-1:40PM ET	Up	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0xc3641b…
05-09 17:25:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	9	22¢	$2	0x551a1e…
05-09 17:19:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0xeef009…