Hot-Faculty — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1

Unrealized P&L

-$4

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$24.7K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$298

Open exposure

$16

1 position

First seen

2026-01-26

last 07-18 02:03

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

69% — —

Other

25% 100% +$0

Tech

5% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$1

Politics

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

10 active days in 12wk • peak 11 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes		+25	$20	66¢	$16	$-4	06-16 02:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	2	$3.8K	1,909	1,909	+0	open	—	03-01 19:02
will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	6	$3.4K	1,708	1,708	+0	open	—	02-04 15:28
will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	3	$2.3K	2,312	0	+2,312	open	—	07-07 02:25
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	3	$2.2K	2,225	0	+2,225	open	—	04-27 02:06
Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	6	$2.0K	987	987	+0	open	—	05-21 13:11
will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	1	$1.7K	1,688	0	+1,688	open	—	02-18 09:03
will solana reach 190 in january 2026	1	$1.4K	1,444	0	+1,444	open	—	01-26 04:51
will solana reach 140 in june 2026	5	$1.4K	311	1,111	-800	open	—	06-16 08:21
will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	1	$1.4K	1,412	0	+1,412	open	—	03-23 03:20
will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	8	$1.2K	1,216	0	+1,216	open	—	06-16 19:49
will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	3	$705	355	355	+0	open	—	03-19 00:05
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	1	$677	681	0	+681	open	—	01-26 04:50
Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$478	244	244	+0	No	+$0	03-13 02:57
will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	2	$222	116	116	+0	open	—	02-03 04:21
will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	3	$216	167	51	+116	open	—	02-26 09:31
will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	1	$212	212	0	+212	open	—	03-28 02:29
Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	2	$203	102	102	+0	open	—	03-01 12:25
nhl cal nj 2026 03 12	1	$180	500	0	+500	open	—	03-12 15:01
will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	1	$117	117	0	+117	open	—	03-28 02:28
will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	1	$105	105	0	+105	open	—	03-12 15:02
cbb lafay holy 2026 02 18	2	$101	186	0	+186	open	—	02-18 09:02
Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	3	$59	30	30	+0	open	—	03-28 05:51
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	1	$46	46	0	+46	open	—	04-11 05:35
nba dal mil 2026 01 25	2	$46	45	45	+0	open	—	01-30 06:01
Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	04-20 04:57
us strikes iran by february 18 2026	1	$36	36	0	+36	open	—	02-18 09:06
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	1	$35	35	0	+35	open	—	04-27 02:05
will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	1	$33	33	0	+33	open	—	07-05 03:35
will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	1	$31	32	0	+32	open	—	02-18 09:04
will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in march	1	$27	27	0	+27	open	—	03-23 03:21

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-18 02:03:12	will dogecoin reach 0pt2 in july 2026	No	BUY	12	100¢	$12	0xfdbcff…
07-07 02:25:07	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	1,881	99¢	$1,870	0xb784df…
07-06 21:29:35	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	167	99¢	$166	0x2bea32…
07-06 19:23:47	will xrp reach 3 in july 2026	No	BUY	264	99¢	$263	0xa5e9fb…
07-05 03:35:47	will xauusd dip to 3300 in july 2026	No	BUY	33	100¢	$33	0xf83bcf…
06-16 19:49:44	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	43	100¢	$42	0xf54945…
06-16 14:16:35	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xba2145…
06-16 14:10:40	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	6	100¢	$6	0x35f977…
06-16 14:03:10	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xef8348…
06-16 08:27:06	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0x7f4b25…
06-16 08:21:25	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	SELL	1,107	99¢	$1,101	0x0906f0…
06-16 05:08:40	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	533	100¢	$532	0xcd1165…
06-16 04:35:00	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0x499813…
06-16 04:17:03	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	90	100¢	$90	0xbb75eb…
06-16 03:52:16	will wti crude oil wti hit high 200 in june	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xd7f3f8…
06-16 02:02:04	Anthropic IPO before 2027?	Yes	BUY	25	80¢	$20	0xa7b049…
06-15 12:37:16	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	BUY	181	100¢	$180	0xaab88b…
06-11 07:00:09	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	BUY	70	100¢	$70	0x521e17…
06-10 00:22:40	will solana reach 140 in june 2026	No	BUY	60	100¢	$60	0x872716…
05-21 13:11:01	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	530	100¢	$529	0xa42b3f…
05-21 13:06:46	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	51	100¢	$51	0x5f95cd…
05-21 13:04:20	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0xea6685…
05-21 13:01:41	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	30	100¢	$30	0x642cc6…
05-21 12:57:57	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	SELL	346	100¢	$345	0x255768…
05-13 08:40:53	Will Bitcoin reach $150,000 in May?	No	BUY	987	100¢	$984	0x28815f…
04-27 02:06:30	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	112	100¢	$112	0x435293…
04-27 02:05:22	Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from April 25 to April 27, 2026?	No	BUY	35	100¢	$35	0x7a2a1f…
04-27 02:04:54	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	2,009	100¢	$2,007	0x2ff735…
04-25 06:37:36	Will there be at least 2200 measles cases in the U.S. by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	99¢	$11	0x1ddd68…
04-20 04:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $200 in April?	No	BUY	104	100¢	$103	0x2a3122…
04-20 04:57:04	Bank of Japan increases interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x7d3b23…
04-20 04:56:50	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 340 359	No	BUY	26	100¢	$26	0x361ccb…
04-20 04:56:32	Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on April 30?	No	BUY	17	100¢	$17	0x4a8553…
04-11 05:35:45	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $20 in April?	No	BUY	46	100¢	$46	0x14c324…
03-28 05:51:15	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	4	99¢	$4	0xfe3260…
03-28 05:32:35	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	26	99¢	$25	0x62f344…
03-28 02:29:03	will gold gc hit high 6200 by end of march	No	BUY	212	100¢	$212	0x89c6d9…
03-28 02:28:39	will crude oil cl hit high 200 by end of march 926	No	BUY	117	100¢	$117	0x34064e…
03-26 18:03:27	amzn above 270 on march 31 2026	No	BUY	21	100¢	$21	0x5c57ca…
03-23 03:21:59	microstrategy sells any bitcoin by march 31 2026	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0x5630b6…
03-23 03:21:45	will annual inflation increase by 2pt1 in march	No	BUY	27	100¢	$27	0xef984f…
03-23 03:20:53	will gold gc hit high 7000 by end of march	No	BUY	1,412	100¢	$1,411	0x23e7a7…
03-19 00:05:33	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	354	99¢	$352	0xf1a20e…
03-19 00:05:21	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xa6dda0…
03-18 03:34:39	Will Malta win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	30	99¢	$30	0x147f8c…
03-18 03:32:03	will ethereum reach 3600 in march 2026	No	BUY	355	99¢	$352	0xc18caf…
03-18 03:31:39	Backpack FDV above $2B one day after launch?	No	BUY	23	99¢	$23	0x72201e…
03-18 03:31:25	Backpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x2b5f46…
03-18 03:31:05	btc updown 5m 1773804600	Up	BUY	2	47¢	$1	0x8b63af…
03-13 02:57:25	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	244	98¢	$239	0x733180…
03-12 15:04:53	highest temperature in atlanta on march 13 2026 57forbelow	No	BUY	12	99¢	$12	0x5b45bd…
03-12 15:03:51	Will Judy Shelton be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	244	98¢	$239	0x3959f8…
03-12 15:03:27	Will Atletico Madrid win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	20	95¢	$19	0x92744c…
03-12 15:02:15	will crude oil cl hit low 45 by end of march 524 288 596 421 318 497 667 674 276 275	No	BUY	105	99¢	$105	0xc29ea5…
03-12 15:01:47	nhl cal nj 2026 03 12	Flames	BUY	500	36¢	$180	0x8dc896…
03-12 15:01:27	nhl edm dal 2026 03 12	Stars	BUY	23	54¢	$12	0x71f7ee…
03-01 19:02:13	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	SELL	1,909	100¢	$1,901	0x02cd70…
03-01 12:25:37	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	102	99¢	$102	0x953559…
03-01 09:52:03	Opinion FDV above $3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	102	99¢	$102	0x6284d8…
03-01 09:50:59	will bitcoin reach 150k in march 2026	No	BUY	1,909	100¢	$1,899	0x3fe9f5…
02-26 09:31:34	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	116	100¢	$116	0x77a3a3…
02-26 09:31:08	will anthropic have the second best ai model at the end of february 2026	Yes	BUY	18	94¢	$17	0x8e354d…
02-18 14:50:42	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	SELL	51	98¢	$50	0xd1a59b…
02-18 09:06:12	us strikes iran by february 18 2026	No	BUY	36	99¢	$36	0x71d96c…
02-18 09:06:02	will the us next strike iran on february 19 2026 et	No	BUY	14	98¢	$14	0x6b404a…
02-18 09:05:34	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on february 28 846	Yes	BUY	51	98¢	$50	0x485ce0…
02-18 09:04:18	will the dhs shutdown last 10 days or more	Yes	BUY	32	98¢	$31	0x6c8245…
02-18 09:03:38	will xrp reach 4 in february 2026	No	BUY	1,688	100¢	$1,683	0xbaa648…
02-18 09:02:30	cbb lafay holy 2026 02 18	Holy Cross Crusaders	BUY	124	55¢	$68	0x6ff068…
02-18 09:01:58	cbb lafay holy 2026 02 18	Holy Cross Crusaders	BUY	62	54¢	$33	0x7243ca…
02-04 15:28:22	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	235	100¢	$234	0xb93050…
02-04 15:22:46	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	774	100¢	$772	0x986a99…
02-04 15:14:24	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	103	100¢	$103	0xdd3a17…
02-04 15:12:56	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	267	100¢	$266	0x068427…
02-04 15:12:14	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	SELL	330	100¢	$329	0x4df12c…
02-03 04:21:28	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	SELL	116	96¢	$111	0xe08c3a…
02-03 04:01:54	will ethereum reach 5000 in february 2026	No	BUY	1,708	100¢	$1,703	0xd2fe48…
02-03 04:01:04	will anthropic have the best ai model at the end of february 2026	No	BUY	116	96¢	$111	0x50401c…
01-30 06:01:46	elon musk of tweets january 23 january 30 440 459	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x74e7ef…
01-30 06:01:24	nba dal mil 2026 01 25	Bucks	SELL	45	53¢	$24	0x4aa676…
01-26 04:51:54	will solana reach 190 in january 2026	No	BUY	1,444	100¢	$1,441	0xdbc6b1…
01-26 04:50:44	will nvidia be the largest company in the world by market cap on january 31 985	Yes	BUY	681	99¢	$677	0x16b503…
01-26 04:50:14	nba dal mil 2026 01 25	Bucks	BUY	45	49¢	$22	0x716161…