Fat-Adaptation — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$10

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

51.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$3.99K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$64

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-21

last 05-17 05:15

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

76% 50% $-10

Politics

11% — —

Crypto

8% — —

Sports

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

25 active days in 12wk • peak 10 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	3	$652	965	817	+148	open	—	04-28 07:11
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	4	$390	251	251	+0	open	—	04-05 08:32
sea fio int 2026 03 22 int	1	$380	904	0	+904	open	—	03-22 19:40
Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	2	$304	270	258	+12	open	—	04-22 19:27
Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	2	$204	531	531	+0	open	—	04-12 16:32
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	3	$161	200	199	+1	open	—	04-07 20:27
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	2	$158	375	0	+375	Valencia	$-158	05-13 07:46
Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	6	$149	100	100	+0	Fenerbahce	+$49	05-08 19:29
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$133	333	333	+0	open	—	04-07 22:41
Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$102	63	63	+0	open	—	05-17 05:15
Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$102	83	83	+0	open	—	05-17 05:14
will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	1	$100	184	0	+184	open	—	03-23 15:05
will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	1	$100	146	0	+146	open	—	03-23 12:48
epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	1	$100	169	0	+169	open	—	04-11 12:09
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	1	$100	161	0	+161	open	—	04-07 22:40
ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	1	$100	182	0	+182	open	—	04-14 19:00
bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 dor	2	$98	58	58	+0	open	—	03-21 20:29
Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	3	$90	180	0	+180	open	—	04-28 20:24
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	5	$88	125	0	+125	open	—	03-31 15:46
Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	2	$85	244	0	+244	Valencia	+$159	05-06 19:01
Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$72	53	53	+0	open	—	05-17 05:15
Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	2	$62	43	43	+0	open	—	05-17 05:15
Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	4	$60	105	0	+105	Valencia	$-60	05-08 19:40
us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	1	$50	379	0	+379	open	—	03-29 21:42
ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	1	$30	188	0	+188	open	—	04-15 18:48
ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	1	$30	136	0	+136	open	—	04-15 18:48
epl eve liv 2026 04 19 eve	1	$20	62	0	+62	open	—	04-19 13:18
sea cre tor 2026 04 19 cre	1	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	04-19 08:13
epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	1	$20	286	0	+286	open	—	04-22 19:31
bun b04 aug 2026 04 18 b04	1	$20	68	0	+68	open	—	04-18 15:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 05:15:23	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	43	98¢	$42	0xdc26a5…
05-17 05:15:08	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	53	98¢	$52	0x339974…
05-17 05:15:01	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	63	98¢	$62	0x1e1e0d…
05-17 05:14:48	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	SELL	83	99¢	$82	0x31ae10…
05-13 07:46:38	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	138	42¢	$58	0x67c072…
05-13 07:20:37	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	237	42¢	$100	0xe61f78…
05-08 19:40:18	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Panathinaikos	BUY	50	48¢	$24	0x0948e9…
05-08 19:32:57	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Panathinaikos	BUY	3	66¢	$2	0xda8349…
05-08 19:32:57	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Panathinaikos	BUY	47	66¢	$31	0xa431b6…
05-08 19:29:02	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	SELL	100	99¢	$99	0x00fb4c…
05-08 19:19:37	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Panathinaikos	BUY	5	51¢	$3	0xd4895a…
05-08 08:48:47	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	18	50¢	$9	0x152dfe…
05-08 08:41:50	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	30	50¢	$15	0x90c914…
05-08 08:35:08	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	10	50¢	$5	0x5f3ab6…
05-08 07:48:45	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	40	50¢	$20	0x528cfa…
05-08 07:46:53	Zalgiris Kaunas vs. Fenerbahce	Fenerbahce	BUY	2	50¢	$1	0x6bedd2…
05-06 19:01:57	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Valencia	BUY	40	75¢	$30	0x72760a…
05-05 07:35:24	Panathinaikos vs. Valencia	Valencia	BUY	204	27¢	$55	0xfb9c91…
04-29 13:22:22	Over $30M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	63	63¢	$40	0x6f9d28…
04-29 13:22:14	Over $20M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	43	47¢	$20	0x32c7db…
04-29 13:22:04	Over $15M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xa91948…
04-29 13:21:56	Over $10M committed to the Printr public sale?	No	BUY	83	24¢	$20	0xeaf76c…
04-28 20:24:46	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	32	62¢	$20	0xf297dc…
04-28 18:53:36	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0x8907a0…
04-28 07:14:40	Valencia vs. Panathinaikos	Panathinaikos	BUY	116	43¢	$50	0x5fc083…
04-28 07:11:30	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	132	38¢	$50	0x8707b5…
04-28 04:45:38	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	SELL	817	37¢	$302	0xe4f056…
04-27 12:28:50	Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-04-28?	Yes	BUY	833	36¢	$300	0xb7c39c…
04-26 12:09:46	Will ACF Fiorentina win on 2026-04-26?	Yes	BUY	38	26¢	$10	0x99789b…
04-22 19:31:26	epl bur mac 2026 04 22 mac	No	BUY	286	7¢	$20	0xf94c13…
04-22 19:27:54	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	SELL	258	79¢	$204	0xd43bb2…
04-19 13:18:00	epl eve liv 2026 04 19 eve	Yes	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0xe24d50…
04-19 08:13:14	sea cre tor 2026 04 19 cre	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0xcd0426…
04-18 19:03:30	Will Bitcoin reach $80,000 in April?	Yes	BUY	270	37¢	$100	0x047233…
04-18 15:16:36	bun b04 aug 2026 04 18 b04	Yes	BUY	68	29¢	$20	0x7ce278…
04-15 18:48:48	ucl bay1 rma1 2026 04 15 rma1	Yes	BUY	136	22¢	$30	0xd8dafe…
04-15 18:48:34	ucl ars spo1 2026 04 15 spo1	Yes	BUY	188	16¢	$30	0x48189b…
04-14 19:00:34	ucl atm1 fcb1 2026 04 14 fcb1	Yes	BUY	182	55¢	$100	0xdd65a9…
04-12 16:32:45	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	SELL	531	24¢	$127	0xbc02ce…
04-11 12:54:17	Will Manchester City win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	Yes	BUY	531	15¢	$77	0xe38487…
04-11 12:09:29	epl ars bou 2026 04 11 ars	Yes	BUY	169	59¢	$100	0xef3774…
04-07 22:41:17	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	333	10¢	$33	0xfdcdaf…
04-07 22:40:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $80 in April?	Yes	BUY	161	62¢	$100	0x3535d1…
04-07 20:27:49	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	SELL	199	43¢	$85	0xbac188…
04-05 08:32:23	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	251	100¢	$250	0xd627f1…
04-02 13:34:37	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	164	38¢	$62	0x542a1d…
04-02 13:34:01	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $130 in April?	Yes	BUY	36	38¢	$14	0x0e74f8…
04-01 22:02:41	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	100	55¢	$55	0x619f6e…
03-31 15:46:43	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	25	62¢	$16	0x48d27b…
03-31 15:43:41	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	25	67¢	$17	0x6f9acf…
03-31 13:29:25	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	25	70¢	$18	0xec63b7…
03-31 13:01:23	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x02dc4e…
03-31 13:00:11	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	25	77¢	$19	0x8423b2…
03-29 21:42:48	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	BUY	379	13¢	$50	0x221db4…
03-29 14:42:24	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	333	30¢	$100	0xa4df33…
03-23 15:05:19	will crude oil cl hit low 85 by end of march 893 949 456 773	Yes	BUY	184	54¢	$100	0x8983b3…
03-23 12:48:13	will crude oil cl hit low 90 by end of march 217 921	Yes	BUY	146	68¢	$100	0x84b96c…
03-22 19:40:49	sea fio int 2026 03 22 int	No	BUY	904	42¢	$380	0xbd6858…
03-21 20:29:49	bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 dor	Yes	SELL	58	100¢	$58	0xd3bed3…
03-21 17:04:27	bun dor hsv 2026 03 21 dor	Yes	BUY	58	69¢	$40	0x104eef…
03-21 17:03:09	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	107	56¢	$60	0x7b6a0c…
03-21 13:25:33	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	44	57¢	$25	0x218527…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
Earnest-Timbale 0x5f39…d603	19	$1.99K	931	05-08 15:23
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	17	$234.5K	4,096	05-20 13:35
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	17	$164.2K	10,699	04-28 06:04
Frail-Possible 0x204f…5e14	16	$669.2K	2,511	05-13 20:43
Secret-Cofactor 0x5df5…c44c	16	$1.40K	331	05-13 20:17
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	15	$17.4K	307	05-14 12:43
Next-Exception 0x3e6d…2671	15	$1.90K	175	05-08 15:44
(anonymous) 0xf39a…fe47	15	$1.77K	197	05-13 19:54