Wallet — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$33

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

97.8%

Resolved

Trades

182

lifetime

Volume

$1.49K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-26

last 05-17 14:55

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

69% — —

Tech

14% — —

Politics

10% 100% +$34

Crypto

7% — —

Sports

0% 0% $-1

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

30 active days in 12wk • peak 13 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	6	$370	284	284	+0	open	—	03-31 14:31
will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	2	$365	209	209	+0	open	—	03-31 03:03
will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	11	$127	88	88	+1	open	—	03-28 21:32
Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	7	$102	268	268	+0	open	—	04-10 21:49
EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	3	$60	207	0	+207	open	—	04-01 14:27
usisrael strike yemen by march 31	2	$50	44	44	+0	open	—	03-30 03:59
will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	5	$46	213	0	+213	open	—	04-13 00:31
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	3	$44	56	56	+0	Yes	+$34	05-09 14:41
US forces enter Iran by April 30?	7	$43	47	47	+0	open	—	04-07 14:01
Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	2	$28	26	26	+0	open	—	04-16 14:17
gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	7	$27	102	0	+102	open	—	04-09 20:54
military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	3	$27	32	32	+0	open	—	03-30 14:57
EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	1	$20	59	0	+59	open	—	04-01 16:27
gpt 5pt4 released by march 9	4	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 18:10
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	22	$14	61	94	-33	open	—	02-27 16:24
netanyahu out by march 31 854	12	$12	24	23	+0	open	—	03-23 03:35
naim qassem out as hezbollahs secretary general by march 31 2026	5	$11	10	10	+0	open	—	03-05 21:36
chatgpt outage by march 15	12	$10	12	7	+5	open	—	03-11 03:48
Paradex FDV above $80M one day after launch?	1	$10	100	0	+100	open	—	03-05 21:25
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-05 20:40
Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	3	$8	255	255	+0	open	—	04-09 21:38
Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	2	$8	30	0	+30	open	—	04-17 16:01
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	4	$7	11	3	+8	open	—	03-05 19:36
will bitcoin reach 75k in march 2026	2	$6	5	5	+0	open	—	03-05 18:11
will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by april 10	2	$6	10	0	+10	open	—	04-10 23:14
wti up or down on march 31 2026	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	03-30 22:17
GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	2	$5	36	0	+36	open	—	05-16 18:12
Paradex FDV above $40M one day after launch?	1	$5	7	0	+7	open	—	03-05 21:37
will the iranian regime fall by march 31	8	$3	6	6	+0	open	—	03-02 17:25
coin up or down on march 25 2026	1	$3	65	0	+65	open	—	03-29 15:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-17 14:55:57	Gemini 3.5 released by May 31?	No	BUY	6	26¢	$2	0x390d82…
05-17 01:35:16	NHL: Stanley Cup Winner USA or Canada?	Canada	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xa4f112…
05-16 18:12:28	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	25	12¢	$3	0x9d8b96…
05-12 18:59:35	Gemini 3.2 released by May 22, 2026?	No	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x9d42c6…
05-12 18:54:29	GPT-5.6 released by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	11	19¢	$2	0x3c28c5…
05-12 18:54:22	GPT-5.6 released by May 22, 2026?	Yes	BUY	15	13¢	$2	0x27b6c3…
05-12 18:53:07	Will Trump and Xi hug at their summit?	Yes	BUY	13	15¢	$2	0xdbc794…
05-12 18:29:03	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	14	7¢	$1	0x3d7511…
05-12 18:27:51	Starmer out by May 15, 2026?	Yes	BUY	13	7¢	$1	0x549f55…
05-09 14:41:05	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	38	100¢	$38	0xba0b39…
05-05 14:57:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	18	6¢	$1	0x0d3d2d…
05-05 14:05:06	Lakers vs. Thunder	Lakers	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0x056486…
05-02 03:14:00	Jerome Powell out as Fed Chair by May 14, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	2¢	$1	0xae64ca…
05-01 03:59:38	Nuggets vs. Timberwolves	Nuggets	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x81a078…
04-18 17:06:04	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	5	25¢	$1	0x3a4ff0…
04-18 04:17:28	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of April?	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x2f28f7…
04-17 16:01:06	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	10	27¢	$3	0xff9d51…
04-17 15:05:58	Will Goldman Sachs or any of its underwriting affiliates serve as the lead underwriter in SpaceX’s initial public offering?	Yes	BUY	20	27¢	$5	0x56ec57…
04-16 14:17:18	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	SELL	26	68¢	$18	0xd239b4…
04-13 00:31:57	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	39	16¢	$6	0x4b99ee…
04-12 22:11:17	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	44	23¢	$10	0x436767…
04-12 22:09:37	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	88	23¢	$20	0xa2b187…
04-12 18:09:43	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	20	24¢	$5	0x1130b9…
04-12 01:08:27	will donk be said during the pgl bucharest 2026 grand final	Yes	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0x8130f7…
04-10 23:14:25	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by april 10	Yes	BUY	4	57¢	$2	0x5640fc…
04-10 22:03:31	will chatgpt be back in as the 1 free app in the us apple store by april 10	Yes	BUY	6	57¢	$4	0x31d260…
04-10 21:58:51	Will Anthropic have the third best AI model at the end of April 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x09e976…
04-10 21:49:53	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	SELL	268	10¢	$27	0xee8b07…
04-09 21:39:03	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0x0a0de9…
04-09 21:38:51	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	SELL	255	2¢	$5	0xd51a9e…
04-09 21:16:43	Claude 4.7 released by May 31?	Yes	BUY	4	51¢	$2	0x15450a…
04-09 20:54:13	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	21	22¢	$5	0x50e315…
04-09 18:33:03	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	18	28¢	$5	0x24c68d…
04-09 07:05:39	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	14	28¢	$4	0x108667…
04-09 06:12:37	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	28¢	$2	0xc90d48…
04-09 05:47:17	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	15	28¢	$4	0x794bda…
04-09 05:08:03	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	21	28¢	$6	0xa7ab9a…
04-09 04:23:59	gpt 5pt5 released by april 15 2026	Yes	BUY	6	30¢	$2	0xf127a1…
04-09 02:38:13	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	28	46¢	$13	0xdeb21a…
04-08 17:06:11	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	32¢	$1	0x99666f…
04-07 21:54:09	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	74	27¢	$20	0x70be89…
04-07 21:52:03	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	26	27¢	$7	0x11a869…
04-07 17:30:25	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	96	26¢	$25	0x2dfe82…
04-07 17:29:25	Will Claude 5 be released by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	41	24¢	$10	0x6a4687…
04-07 16:08:41	ucl rma1 bay1 2026 04 07 rma1	Yes	BUY	3	38¢	$1	0x4c0558…
04-07 14:01:07	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	SELL	14	100¢	$14	0x2754b3…
04-04 21:05:39	nba sas den 2026 04 04	Nuggets	BUY	3	30¢	$1	0xf1a5e0…
04-04 01:05:09	nba chi nyk 2026 04 03 total 237pt5	Under	BUY	3	34¢	$1	0xb2f446…
04-04 01:04:25	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0x7a695f…
04-03 20:50:55	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xce15fa…
04-02 16:56:29	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	2	61¢	$1	0xec0c19…
04-02 15:33:15	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	Yes	BUY	10	60¢	$6	0x1faeaf…
04-02 04:07:51	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	150	1¢	$1	0x03654a…
04-02 03:49:01	Will US withdraw from NATO by April 30?	Yes	BUY	105	2¢	$2	0x5cf49c…
04-01 16:27:15	EdgeX FDV above $700M one day after launch?	Yes	BUY	59	34¢	$20	0x717cae…
04-01 14:27:19	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	71	14¢	$10	0x90cf85…
04-01 03:42:03	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	103	39¢	$40	0xdb0dbb…
03-31 19:12:55	EdgeX FDV above $600M one day after launch?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0x87ead8…
03-31 14:31:57	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	SELL	284	88¢	$250	0x575677…
03-31 03:03:07	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	SELL	209	95¢	$200	0x44354e…
03-31 00:02:05	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	47	32¢	$15	0x2cf2b6…
03-30 23:16:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	42	38¢	$16	0x2f9858…
03-30 22:17:37	wti up or down on march 31 2026	Up	BUY	10	51¢	$5	0xcb7156…
03-30 21:36:07	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	48	42¢	$20	0xffd5c6…
03-30 19:18:05	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	54	55¢	$30	0x610964…
03-30 19:07:21	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	SELL	33	29¢	$10	0x6e98fb…
03-30 19:06:43	US forces enter Iran by April 30?	No	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xf3d008…
03-30 14:57:21	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	SELL	32	26¢	$8	0x206d63…
03-30 03:59:28	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	SELL	44	80¢	$35	0xaff542…
03-29 15:17:42	coin up or down on march 25 2026	Down	BUY	65	5¢	$3	0x512206…
03-29 15:08:40	will crude oil cl hit high 105 by end of march 881	No	BUY	93	43¢	$40	0xb4c259…
03-28 21:32:06	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	SELL	73	72¢	$53	0x0a9c90…
03-28 20:04:48	usisrael strike yemen by march 31	No	BUY	44	34¢	$15	0x44bce2…
03-28 03:01:37	will crude oil cl hit high 110 by end of march 732 945 787 552	No	BUY	209	79¢	$165	0x42131e…
03-27 21:01:13	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	44	88¢	$39	0x7c5759…
03-27 20:43:41	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x6e19d0…
03-27 20:41:19	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x5e9e87…
03-27 20:38:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	75¢	$1	0x9d490f…
03-27 20:23:37	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0xf67159…
03-27 19:39:05	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0x0ae804…
03-27 18:17:35	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	Yes	BUY	9	70¢	$6	0xdfee03…
03-27 18:16:39	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	SELL	15	32¢	$5	0xf7cdac…
03-27 02:39:17	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	14	71¢	$10	0xb4e5bc…
03-27 00:35:19	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	BUY	12	47¢	$6	0x650fa8…
03-26 03:02:27	military action against iran ends by may 31 2026	No	BUY	20	65¢	$13	0xe79806…
03-25 23:55:43	will crude oil cl hit high 100 by end of march 658 396 769 971	No	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x39e7fa…
03-23 03:35:51	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xffaa01…
03-23 03:35:29	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x351581…
03-23 03:20:21	hype up or down march 22 2026 11pm et	Up	BUY	1	72¢	$1	0x3de609…
03-23 03:08:37	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xfe2f84…
03-23 03:08:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0xbbfdea…
03-23 02:27:57	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x3dd38d…
03-23 02:26:41	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x8fbabf…
03-23 02:25:53	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0xe3bf44…
03-23 02:25:13	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x07158a…
03-23 01:58:43	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x9d14a9…
03-23 01:39:15	netanyahu out by march 31 854	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x2e809d…
03-23 00:39:37	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 29	No	SELL	1	79¢	$1	0x35de08…
03-23 00:17:25	will the price of ethereum be between 1900 2000 on march 29	No	BUY	1	85¢	$1	0xf8b61a…
03-22 03:09:51	us forces enter iran by march 31 222 191 243 517 878 439 519	Yes	SELL	4	18¢	$1	0x208fa2…