Alarmed-Postfix — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

80.4%

Resolved

Trades

135

lifetime

Volume

$438

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-24

last 05-07 00:06

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 4 days

Categories

Crypto

94% 80% $-4

Politics

5% 0% $-9

Other

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

8 active days in 12wk • peak 67 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (20) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	4	$27	26	26	+0	open	—	04-29 01:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	2	$25	14	14	+0	open	—	04-28 23:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	6	$19	16	16	+0	Down	+$1	05-04 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	5	$16	12	9	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 22:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	5	$15	13	10	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 22:39
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	4	$15	19	19	+0	Down	+$3	05-06 21:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	2	$13	10	10	+0	open	—	04-28 23:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	4	$12	10	10	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 22:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	4	$12	12	12	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 21:48
Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	2	$11	34	34	+0	No	$-9	05-07 00:05
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:40PM-8:45PM ET	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	04-29 00:40
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	1	$10	11	0	+11	Up	$-10	05-06 23:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	3	$10	7	4	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 23:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	3	$9	11	6	+5	Up	$-3	05-06 22:42
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	1	$9	154	0	+154	open	—	04-24 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	3	$9	8	4	+4	Down	+$1	05-06 22:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	3	$9	7	4	+3	Down	+$1	05-06 20:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	3	$9	9	5	+4	Up	+$1	05-06 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	3	$8	10	6	+4	Up	+$0	05-06 21:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	2	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-28 23:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 8:50PM-8:55PM ET	3	$8	6	4	+2	open	—	04-29 00:52
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	4	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-29 15:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	2	$7	6	6	+0	Down	+$1	05-06 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	3	$6	7	4	+3	Down	$-2	05-06 22:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 22:11
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	2	$6	4	4	+0	Down	+$0	05-06 22:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	2	$6	3	3	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 22:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	2	$6	8	8	+0	Down	+$0	05-04 22:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	1	$6	9	0	+9	open	—	04-28 23:10
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	1	$5	38	0	+38	open	—	04-29 01:06

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 00:06:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:05PM-8:10PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xc15018…
05-07 00:05:38	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	SELL	34	4¢	$1	0x0a34b5…
05-07 00:04:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	4	28¢	$1	0x1ec610…
05-07 00:03:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0x73bf14…
05-07 00:02:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	SELL	2	57¢	$1	0xf9cec4…
05-07 00:02:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 8:00PM-8:05PM ET	Up	BUY	2	60¢	$1	0xa4f6fb…
05-06 23:59:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:55PM-8:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	77¢	$1	0x62275c…
05-06 23:52:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	95¢	$1	0x0c4eaa…
05-06 23:51:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	SELL	1	82¢	$1	0xbd605e…
05-06 23:51:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:50PM-7:55PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0x4e5834…
05-06 23:46:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:45PM-7:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	78¢	$1	0xab3b0f…
05-06 23:41:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:40PM-7:45PM ET	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0x48489d…
05-06 23:38:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	98¢	$1	0x08c42d…
05-06 23:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	SELL	1	94¢	$1	0xe242d3…
05-06 23:36:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:35PM-7:40PM ET	Down	BUY	1	79¢	$1	0x147eaf…
05-06 23:32:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:30PM-7:35PM ET	Down	BUY	11	87¢	$10	0xdad574…
05-06 23:26:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:25PM-7:30PM ET	Up	BUY	4	67¢	$3	0x624107…
05-06 23:21:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:20PM-7:25PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x71c1b1…
05-06 23:15:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:15PM-7:20PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x67ec5d…
05-06 23:12:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:10PM-7:15PM ET	Up	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0xfea076…
05-06 23:05:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:05PM-7:10PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0xb405c5…
05-06 23:02:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x1e9be5…
05-06 23:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$4	0xab7835…
05-06 23:00:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 7:00PM-7:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0x57934a…
05-06 22:58:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Down	BUY	1	88¢	$1	0x508e13…
05-06 22:46:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	SELL	4	83¢	$3	0xaf7f2e…
05-06 22:45:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	4	74¢	$3	0x76a150…
05-06 22:42:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	61¢	$3	0xbd123c…
05-06 22:42:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	6	57¢	$3	0x3ff4d3…
05-06 22:41:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0xcf3b44…
05-06 22:39:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	3	88¢	$3	0x79e4a6…
05-06 22:38:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	79¢	$3	0xf0053f…
05-06 22:37:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	73¢	$3	0xb2b3b5…
05-06 22:36:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	56¢	$3	0x97788c…
05-06 22:35:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	54¢	$3	0x6dc33b…
05-06 22:33:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	23	1¢	$0	0xa74824…
05-06 22:31:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	23	13¢	$3	0x7bef1c…
05-06 22:28:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	94¢	$3	0x2ed2df…
05-06 22:28:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	3	92¢	$3	0x829052…
05-06 22:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x653e5b…
05-06 22:27:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	6	69¢	$4	0x51fe29…
05-06 22:25:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	6	53¢	$3	0x1e629c…
05-06 22:24:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	SELL	6	61¢	$4	0x1316f7…
05-06 22:21:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	50¢	$3	0xa5fef9…
05-06 22:17:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	77¢	$3	0x5d4e50…
05-06 22:17:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0xcd0613…
05-06 22:16:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:15PM-6:20PM ET	Down	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0x3ad12a…
05-06 22:11:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	74¢	$3	0xb61469…
05-06 22:11:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xd51925…
05-06 22:08:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x36d803…
05-06 22:08:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	SELL	4	11¢	$0	0x04e94e…
05-06 22:05:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:05PM-6:10PM ET	Up	BUY	4	71¢	$3	0xceb37d…
05-06 22:01:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	4	85¢	$3	0xcf9b66…
05-06 21:52:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Up	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x020885…
05-06 21:51:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	SELL	6	41¢	$2	0xf42137…
05-06 21:50:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:50PM-5:55PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x17525b…
05-06 21:48:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	SELL	5	87¢	$4	0xbd5ffb…
05-06 21:48:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Down	BUY	5	64¢	$3	0xccb01c…
05-06 21:47:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	SELL	8	27¢	$2	0xacc797…
05-06 21:46:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:45PM-5:50PM ET	Up	BUY	8	40¢	$3	0x8fe6e2…
05-06 21:43:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	4	86¢	$3	0x235158…
05-06 21:43:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	84¢	$3	0x5bd27e…
05-06 21:42:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	16	35¢	$6	0x9d1c8a…
05-06 21:41:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	16	19¢	$3	0x93fb00…
05-06 21:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 5:30PM-5:35PM ET	Up	BUY	4	78¢	$3	0xb04298…
05-06 20:13:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	4	79¢	$3	0x2d2ce5…
05-06 20:12:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x260ab2…
05-06 20:12:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xd5e0d9…
05-06 20:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0xd80411…
05-06 20:06:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	SELL	4	76¢	$3	0x625610…
05-06 20:05:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x421369…
05-06 20:02:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Up	BUY	3	93¢	$3	0xe41577…
05-06 02:11:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:10PM-10:15PM ET	Up	BUY	7	60¢	$4	0x7b62b8…
05-04 22:57:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	SELL	8	39¢	$3	0x28f2f8…
05-04 22:57:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:55PM-7:00PM ET	Up	BUY	8	39¢	$3	0xdd33a5…
05-04 22:52:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:50PM-6:55PM ET	Down	BUY	3	90¢	$3	0x4d352d…
05-04 22:49:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:45PM-6:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	95¢	$3	0x160f08…
05-04 22:44:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	71¢	$3	0x8114e1…
05-04 22:43:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	66¢	$3	0x459037…
05-04 22:41:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	SELL	5	61¢	$3	0x5b1ad9…
05-04 22:41:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	59¢	$3	0xbb9ed3…
05-04 22:39:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	4	80¢	$3	0x72d865…
05-04 22:37:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	4	72¢	$3	0x3742d3…
05-04 22:37:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	53¢	$3	0x5ea56e…
05-04 22:37:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x513cdc…
05-04 22:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	SELL	6	50¢	$3	0x2a7a2e…
05-04 22:35:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:35PM-6:40PM ET	Down	BUY	6	47¢	$3	0x6eea54…
05-04 22:33:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	SELL	3	96¢	$3	0x21b4b9…
05-04 22:32:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:30PM-6:35PM ET	Down	BUY	3	86¢	$3	0x10debf…
05-04 22:26:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	77¢	$5	0x3e63c8…
05-04 22:14:14	Iran closes its airspace by May 8?	Yes	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x9f986c…
04-29 15:16:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	5	75¢	$4	0xe529f0…
04-29 15:15:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	1	99¢	$1	0x55e92d…
04-29 15:12:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x9af24c…
04-29 15:12:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	SELL	4	93¢	$3	0xd30c67…
04-29 15:11:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 11:10AM-11:15AM ET	Down	BUY	4	54¢	$2	0x66d190…
04-29 01:16:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:15PM-9:20PM ET	Up	BUY	6	83¢	$5	0x585b6c…
04-29 01:11:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:10PM-9:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	85¢	$5	0xd9c731…
04-29 01:06:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:05PM-9:10PM ET	Up	BUY	38	13¢	$5	0x8680aa…
04-29 01:05:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 9:00PM-9:05PM ET	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7127ed…