Urban-Identification — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$29

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

63.6%

Resolved

129

Trades

3,657

lifetime

Volume

$8.60K

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-02-20

last 06-01 22:41

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 7 days

Categories

Crypto

96% 60% $-29

Other

3% — —

Politics

1% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

56 active days in 12wk • peak 197 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 15m 1772445600	5	$418	450	10	+440	open	—	03-02 10:14
will there be no change in fed interest rates after the march 2026 meeting	2	$192	100	100	+0	open	—	03-02 00:55
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:40AM-11:45AM ET	4	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-31 15:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	6	$99	100	0	+100	open	—	05-31 15:25
Will Bitcoin reach $77,500 in May?	90	$95	96	0	+96	open	—	05-31 15:57
another 7pt0 or above earthquake by march 31 2026	4	$88	50	50	+0	open	—	02-23 00:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	6	$76	86	86	+0	Up	+$5	05-12 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	9	$57	106	0	+106	Down	$-13	05-12 16:40
btc updown 15m 1776461400	3	$54	65	0	+65	open	—	04-17 21:37
us strikes iran by february 28 2026 227 967 547 688 589 491 592 418 452 924 384 915 464 672 196 157 993 596 269 535 381 391 471 256 988 997 296 225 762 973 292 827 345 182 558 215 794 879 189 761	1	$50	60	0	+60	open	—	02-22 11:40
btc updown 15m 1773360900	4	$30	20	20	+0	open	—	03-13 00:20
btc updown 15m 1772444700	4	$26	20	20	+0	open	—	03-02 09:56
btc updown 15m 1773427500	2	$22	12	12	+0	open	—	03-13 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 3, 9:45AM-10:00AM ET	8	$20	29	9	+20	open	—	05-03 13:57
btc updown 15m 1776988800	5	$19	39	0	+39	open	—	04-24 00:14
will kevin warsh be formally nominated to be chair of the federal reserve by february 28 2026 369	1	$19	25	0	+25	open	—	02-22 11:47
btc updown 15m 1773439200	3	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 22:12
btc updown 15m 1772133300	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-26 19:28
btc updown 15m 1773615600	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-15 23:12
btc updown 15m 1774184400	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-22 13:11
btc updown 15m 1772305200	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 19:10
btc updown 15m 1771981200	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	02-25 01:10
btc updown 15m 1773431100	2	$19	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 20:00
btc updown 15m 1776974400	6	$19	30	0	+30	open	—	04-23 20:03
btc updown 15m 1773428400	5	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 19:13
btc updown 15m 1774563300	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-26 22:29
btc updown 15m 1774601100	2	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-27 08:58
btc updown 15m 1772136000	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-26 20:10
btc updown 15m 1773440100	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	03-13 22:27
btc updown 15m 1772308800	3	$18	10	10	+0	open	—	02-28 20:13

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 22:41:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:40PM-6:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	48¢	$5	0x6a1000…
06-01 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb620b9…
06-01 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xb0145e…
06-01 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0xa3f447…
06-01 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x4496ce…
06-01 22:26:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:25PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x24f817…
06-01 22:03:09	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x30b0db…
06-01 22:02:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 6:00PM-6:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xaed5f8…
06-01 21:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:40PM-5:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x766bdd…
06-01 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd06670…
06-01 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6f77cf…
06-01 21:27:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:25PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x4de670…
06-01 21:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	8	92¢	$7	0x567048…
06-01 21:23:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	92¢	$2	0xfb7a0c…
06-01 21:22:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x4b1568…
06-01 21:22:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:20PM-5:25PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x0ec408…
06-01 21:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	7	4¢	$0	0x718fb0…
06-01 21:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x382011…
06-01 21:07:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 5:05PM-5:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xc2942e…
06-01 20:57:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:55PM-5:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x2e5193…
06-01 20:23:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x91c752…
06-01 20:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xef0dab…
06-01 20:22:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x23ede7…
06-01 19:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xbe1a77…
06-01 19:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xa426df…
06-01 19:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	3	4¢	$0	0x3c1e79…
06-01 19:47:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:45PM-3:50PM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x327b3e…
06-01 19:44:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x3cde8e…
06-01 19:42:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x03f723…
06-01 19:38:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x9c6287…
06-01 19:37:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xab00ba…
06-01 19:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xd694fd…
06-01 19:33:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x39fa1c…
06-01 19:28:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x6e6ecb…
06-01 19:23:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x456600…
06-01 18:53:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:50PM-2:55PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xdf3fa7…
06-01 18:38:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x716b6d…
06-01 18:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xab490c…
06-01 18:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	4	4¢	$0	0x9133f7…
06-01 18:27:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Down	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x8b8ca2…
06-01 18:12:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:10PM-2:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x88e607…
06-01 18:08:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	1	92¢	$1	0x355b19…
06-01 18:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Down	BUY	9	92¢	$8	0xdd65be…
06-01 18:08:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:05PM-2:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x31e8b7…
06-01 18:03:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3bf854…
06-01 17:59:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x53b409…
06-01 17:32:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x84d43e…
06-01 17:32:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xf3caf1…
06-01 17:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x6bb474…
06-01 17:18:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x336984…
06-01 17:14:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbff3b9…
06-01 17:14:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xfc7615…
06-01 16:57:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:55PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x47a84b…
06-01 16:49:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x7e621d…
06-01 16:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	8	4¢	$0	0x9661d6…
06-01 16:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:45PM-12:50PM ET	Down	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0x45da8a…
06-01 16:42:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:40PM-12:45PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x628e3e…
06-01 16:33:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x01b413…
06-01 16:33:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:30PM-12:35PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x353614…
06-01 16:28:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:25PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xd81e25…
06-01 16:14:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$4	0x8bfde3…
06-01 16:14:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	92¢	$5	0xb2ca73…
06-01 16:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	2	4¢	$0	0xd3ac0f…
06-01 16:12:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0x86699d…
06-01 16:12:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:10PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0x9b647a…
06-01 16:07:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x15fe49…
06-01 16:07:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xf90f0f…
06-01 15:48:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:45AM-11:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xbae5d7…
06-01 15:31:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:30AM-11:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x06465a…
06-01 15:23:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xeda7a5…
06-01 15:18:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:15AM-11:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x471f32…
06-01 15:03:51	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xdcbff4…
06-01 15:03:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 11:00AM-11:05AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xaa9eab…
06-01 14:59:03	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:55AM-11:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x262f3a…
06-01 14:49:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xbf3322…
06-01 14:48:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:45AM-10:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x3ba6df…
06-01 14:13:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xeadfc5…
06-01 14:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	1	4¢	$0	0xf5036f…
06-01 14:13:47	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Up	BUY	9	4¢	$0	0x9db380…
06-01 14:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	0	4¢	$0	0xf1c256…
06-01 14:07:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x48cbe9…
06-01 14:07:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0xd2fdeb…
06-01 13:58:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xc656f2…
06-01 13:57:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0e1d8b…
06-01 13:48:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xf28c77…
06-01 13:48:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xe1136c…
06-01 13:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x0eace5…
06-01 13:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x07b1a7…
06-01 13:33:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0xb07827…
06-01 13:23:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x6b0b8b…
06-01 13:23:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:20AM-9:25AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x0ccd59…
06-01 13:17:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Up	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x73943b…
06-01 13:17:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:15AM-9:20AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x7c6bfc…
06-01 13:12:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0xa125f8…
06-01 13:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x46a073…
06-01 13:11:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:10AM-9:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5	4¢	$0	0x3d94d7…
06-01 13:02:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x2dc2b9…
06-01 12:58:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	Down	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x37200d…
06-01 12:47:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Up	BUY	10	4¢	$0	0x1b0354…
06-01 12:44:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - June 1, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	10	92¢	$9	0x95bb34…