Realized P&L
+$223
Unrealized P&L
+$862
Hit rate
86.6%
Resolved
74
Trades
756,529
lifetime
Volume
$7.00M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$9
Open exposure
$61.7K
8 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 07-22 12:55
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 14 days
Categories
Other
59% 46% +$158
Politics
33% 38% +$51
Sports
5% 50% +$11
Tech
1%
Pop-Culture
1%
Crypto
0% 100% +$3
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
83 active days in 12wk • peak 4125 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Hantavirus pandemic in 2026? No -59,928 $-58,630 96¢ $-57741 +$890 07-07 12:24
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? Yes +2,233 $1,157 100¢ $2.2K +$1,074 06-20 18:23
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? No +1,350 $1,047 76¢ $1.0K $-14 07-20 12:08
Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by September 30? Yes +1,305 $273 24¢ $307 +$34 07-21 23:42
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? Yes +320 $202 69¢ $221 +$19 07-22 14:48
Will GPT-6 be released by September 30, 2026? No +315 $94 31¢ $98 +$3 07-22 10:21
Mahmoud Abbas out as Palestinian President by December 31? Yes +178 $92 14¢ $25 $-67 06-02 05:38
Will JD Vance have a diplomatic meeting with Iran by June 30, 2026? No +2,334 $1,079 $2 $-1,077 06-20 20:32