Realized P&L
+$194.2K
Unrealized P&L
+$6.78K
Hit rate
62.2%
Resolved
58,578
Trades
1,799,687
lifetime
Volume
$13.5M
lifetime
Avg / trade
$7
Open exposure
$28.0K
30 positions
First seen
2026-01-04
last 10-26 18:48
Equity curve
cumulative realized P&L over 296 days
Categories
Other
75% 57% +$118,126
Politics
21% 57% +$58,693
Sports
3% 56% +$12,619
Tech
1% 63% +$2,704
Pop-Culture
0% 63% +$1,259
Crypto
0% 62% +$834
Activity
Mon
Wed
Fri
85 active days in 12wk • peak 5975 trades/day
Market Outcome Mid 30D Net shares Cost basis Current mid Current value Unrealized P&L Last trade
Will Aleksandar Vučić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +4,802 $2,495 99¢ $4.7K +$2,247 10-26 00:36
Will voter turnout in the 2026 Serbian parliamentary election be 70% or more? No +4,429 $1,977 98¢ $4.3K +$2,364 10-26 11:21
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? Yes +2,652 $1,881 99¢ $2.6K +$757 10-26 02:52
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +3,271 $2,455 80¢ $2.6K +$146 09-20 13:06
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +2,845 $2,078 74¢ $2.1K +$13 09-20 13:30
Will Andrey Gyurov win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by less than 10%? No +919 $727 99¢ $913 +$186 10-26 01:11
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +1,113 $732 80¢ $890 +$158 10-26 03:37
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +1,093 $770 80¢ $880 +$110 10-26 15:33
Will Iliana Iotova win the 2026 Bulgarian presidential first round by 10%-20%? No +762 $345 100¢ $761 +$415 10-25 16:39
Will Magdalena Andersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? No +2,794 $746 26¢ $741 -$5 09-14 14:12
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? No +1,061 $684 64¢ $676 -$8 10-26 15:33
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? No +860 $662 77¢ $663 +$0 10-26 17:23
Will Ulf Kristersson be the next Prime Minister of Sweden? Yes +3,209 $721 20¢ $658 -$63 09-20 12:30
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? No +733 $522 74¢ $539 +$17 10-26 12:55
US-Iran ceasefire continues through the midterms? Yes +569 $389 82¢ $469 +$80 10-25 21:56
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? Yes +466 $323 86¢ $404 +$81 10-23 21:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 28? Yes +401 $332 96¢ $383 +$51 10-25 22:12
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? Yes +419 $278 91¢ $381 +$103 10-26 12:37
Will Dejan Šoškić be the next Prime Minister of Serbia? Yes +1,032 $322 36¢ $374 +$52 10-26 17:40
Will Pam Alexis win the next Abbotsford-Mission by-election? No +364 $233 96¢ $350 +$116 09-22 20:08
Will Rafael López Aliaga win the next Lima mayoral elections? Yes +406 $331 86¢ $350 +$19 10-25 23:09
Will Sven Schulze be the next Minister-President of Sachsen-Anhalt? No +354 $300 98¢ $347 +$47 09-06 22:59
Will Apple be the largest company in the world by market cap on October 31, 2026? No +362 $268 92¢ $332 +$64 10-26 12:52
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 24? Yes +300 $261 100¢ $298 +$38 10-23 22:12
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of October 2026? No +273 $239 92¢ $251 +$12 10-25 20:48
Will Brad Bradford win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? Yes +999 $300 20¢ $200 -$100 10-26 03:37
Will Elon Musk post 340-359 tweets from October 20 to October 27, 2026? No +291 $212 67¢ $195 -$17 10-26 17:35
Will Ilija Srdanović be the next prime minister of Serbia? Yes +827 $203 23¢ $190 -$13 10-26 17:58
Will Olivia Chow win the 2026 Toronto mayoral election? No +901 $270 20¢ $176 -$94 10-26 15:09
Will Аndrey Gyurov win the next Bulgarian presidential election? Yes +575 $152 26¢ $152 +$1 10-26 12:55