Organic-Chess — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$1.13K

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

43.5%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$28.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$583

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-18

last 07-02 01:48

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

74% 0% $-1

Sports

21% 100% +$1,129

Crypto

4% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

13 active days in 12wk • peak 3 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	2	$3.0K	1,496	1,496	+0	open	—	04-12 07:55
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	2	$2.7K	1,335	1,335	+0	open	—	04-25 13:46
will tony finau win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.4K	1,193	1,193	+0	open	—	03-24 12:38
Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.3K	1,163	1,163	+0	open	—	03-28 05:37
Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	2	$2.3K	1,155	1,155	+0	open	—	03-25 13:44
Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,103	1,103	+0	open	—	04-06 06:31
Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$2.2K	1,099	1,099	+0	open	—	03-20 20:33
will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.1K	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	03-22 12:51
will dustin johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	2	$2.1K	1,075	1,075	+0	open	—	03-27 18:50
Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$2.0K	1,014	1,014	+0	No	$-1	04-06 14:07
Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	3	$1.8K	897	897	+0	open	—	03-18 12:41
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	3	$1.6K	2,689	0	+2,689	Pistons	+$1,129	05-05 05:13
Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	1	$673	673	0	+673	open	—	05-22 22:37
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	1	$412	413	0	+413	open	—	05-26 13:24
Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	2	$112	75	75	+0	open	—	04-05 17:05
Knicks vs. Spurs	1	$75	203	0	+203	open	—	06-03 07:01
cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	1	$74	230	0	+230	open	—	06-05 05:39
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	1	$70	194	0	+194	open	—	05-21 07:13
nba cle mem 2026 04 06	1	$47	52	0	+52	open	—	04-06 02:27
nhl utah sea 2026 04 02	1	$47	82	0	+82	open	—	04-02 07:14
nhl min dal 2026 04 20	1	$45	82	0	+82	open	—	04-20 02:57
Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	1	$45	119	0	+119	open	—	06-02 03:00
Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	1	$44	75	0	+75	open	—	05-18 07:39
mlb tb nyy 2026 05 23	1	$43	0	108	-108	open	—	07-02 01:48
Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	1	$42	114	0	+114	open	—	05-20 07:40
nba det orl 2026 04 06	1	$32	80	0	+80	open	—	04-06 06:27
Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	1	$31	31	0	+31	open	—	04-25 06:50
will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	1	$28	28	0	+28	open	—	03-28 10:31
nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	1	$25	73	0	+73	open	—	04-15 08:17
cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	1	$10	19	0	+19	open	—	03-27 10:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
07-02 01:48:25	mlb tb nyy 2026 05 23	Tampa Bay Rays	SELL	108	40¢	$43	0x4765fa…
06-05 05:39:54	cs2 nrg big5 2026 06 05	NRG	BUY	230	32¢	$74	0xbb6f19…
06-03 07:01:20	Knicks vs. Spurs	Knicks	BUY	203	37¢	$75	0x2759d1…
06-02 03:00:08	Counter-Strike: Heroic vs Sharks (BO1) - IEM Cologne Major Stage 1	Sharks	BUY	119	38¢	$45	0xe40a82…
05-26 13:24:05	Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in May?	No	BUY	413	100¢	$412	0x59dd2a…
05-22 22:37:10	Will Ethereum dip to $1,200 in May?	No	BUY	673	100¢	$673	0x27c303…
05-21 07:13:21	Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - DreamLeague Playoffs	Aurora	BUY	194	36¢	$70	0xfb8db3…
05-20 07:40:36	Golden Knights vs. Avalanche	Golden Knights	BUY	114	37¢	$42	0xe02af7…
05-20 06:38:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 20, 2:35AM-2:40AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0xc21234…
05-18 07:39:26	Texas Rangers vs. Colorado Rockies	Texas Rangers	BUY	75	59¢	$44	0xc9ecec…
05-05 05:13:54	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	104	59¢	$61	0x280782…
05-05 05:12:06	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1,287	58¢	$746	0x43025b…
05-05 05:11:30	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Pistons	BUY	1,298	58¢	$753	0x5a09e0…
04-25 13:46:08	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	SELL	1,335	100¢	$1,332	0xfdf53a…
04-25 11:15:12	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (LOW) $50 in April?	No	BUY	1,335	100¢	$1,333	0x9de841…
04-25 06:50:58	Will Bitcoin reach $95,000 in April?	No	BUY	31	100¢	$31	0xb3dd91…
04-20 02:57:58	nhl min dal 2026 04 20	Stars	BUY	82	55¢	$45	0x03e77b…
04-15 08:17:10	nba gsw lac 2026 04 15	Warriors	BUY	73	34¢	$25	0xf7ffcd…
04-15 05:30:20	nba orl phi 2026 04 15	Magic	BUY	5	47¢	$2	0x7781c7…
04-12 07:55:57	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,496	100¢	$1,489	0x111fab…
04-12 05:16:05	Will Germany win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,496	100¢	$1,490	0x933fd1…
04-06 14:07:55	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	1,014	100¢	$1,011	0xd89819…
04-06 13:14:49	Will Rick Reider be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	1,014	100¢	$1,012	0xa7458a…
04-06 06:31:07	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,103	99¢	$1,097	0x2a0c33…
04-06 06:27:43	nba det orl 2026 04 06	Magic	BUY	80	40¢	$32	0x23883a…
04-06 03:58:23	Will Norway win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,103	100¢	$1,098	0x9c2d7f…
04-06 02:27:05	nba cle mem 2026 04 06	Cavaliers	BUY	52	91¢	$47	0x865cf1…
04-05 17:05:31	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	SELL	75	50¢	$38	0x3d883f…
04-03 03:39:17	Genius FDV above $500M one day after launch?	No	BUY	75	99¢	$74	0x1c1953…
04-02 07:14:59	nhl utah sea 2026 04 02	Utah	BUY	82	57¢	$47	0x705d99…
03-28 10:31:01	will bitcoin reach 80k in march 2026	No	BUY	28	99¢	$28	0xfc1bfc…
03-28 06:49:41	nhl min bos 2026 03 28	Wild	BUY	12	53¢	$6	0xd36898…
03-28 05:37:45	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,163	100¢	$1,157	0x253990…
03-28 03:55:09	Will Latvia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,163	100¢	$1,158	0x07e702…
03-27 18:50:29	will dustin johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,075	100¢	$1,070	0x46a5ef…
03-27 17:04:17	will dustin johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,071	0xbb1954…
03-27 10:29:15	cbb mst uconn 2026 03 27	Connecticut Huskies	BUY	19	55¢	$10	0xe34eb9…
03-27 08:26:31	nba mia cle 2026 03 27	Cavaliers	BUY	14	65¢	$9	0xeda31a…
03-25 13:44:51	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	SELL	1,155	100¢	$1,152	0x3cac99…
03-25 12:47:39	Will the Golden State Warriors win the 2026 NBA Finals?	No	BUY	1,155	100¢	$1,153	0x3203d4…
03-24 12:38:29	will tony finau win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,193	99¢	$1,186	0xd269a0…
03-24 10:24:43	will tony finau win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,193	100¢	$1,188	0x587278…
03-22 12:51:41	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	SELL	1,075	100¢	$1,072	0x12480e…
03-22 11:56:37	will zach johnson win the 2026 masters tournament	No	BUY	1,075	100¢	$1,073	0x516439…
03-20 20:33:29	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	1,099	100¢	$1,094	0x493ea5…
03-20 18:26:29	Will Poland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	1,099	100¢	$1,096	0xd7004e…
03-18 12:41:07	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	813	100¢	$810	0x2b341f…
03-18 12:01:41	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	SELL	84	100¢	$84	0x603302…
03-18 11:17:45	Will the Nashville Predators win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	No	BUY	897	100¢	$895	0x888590…