Thirsty-Bibliography — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$473

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

47.6%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$1.84K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$115

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-17

last 05-06 09:16

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

77% 20% $-463

Crypto

23% 0% $-10

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 6 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (6) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	3	$542	323	323	+0	Yes	+$72	05-04 19:49
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	2	$398	408	384	+24	open	—	05-03 07:26
Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	1	$314	338	0	+338	Down	$-314	05-05 12:52
Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	2	$302	6,706	6,706	+0	open	—	04-27 13:09
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 6?	1	$120	207	0	+207	No	$-120	05-05 21:01
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	3	$100	408	408	+0	Up	$-60	05-04 19:48
WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	1	$41	826	0	+826	Down	$-41	05-06 09:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	3	$20	49	0	+49	Down	$-10	05-05 09:12

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-06 09:16:34	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 6?	Up	BUY	826	5¢	$41	0x51f7aa…
05-05 21:01:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $102 on May 6?	Yes	BUY	207	58¢	$120	0x2e3f06…
05-05 12:52:50	Coinbase (COIN) Up or Down on May 5?	Up	BUY	338	93¢	$314	0x16402a…
05-05 09:12:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x3b97de…
05-05 09:09:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Down	BUY	10	49¢	$5	0x1945fc…
05-05 09:09:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 5:10AM-5:15AM ET	Up	BUY	10	52¢	$5	0xe5a7fd…
05-04 19:49:20	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	Yes	SELL	323	95¢	$307	0x0ab80d…
05-04 19:48:48	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	SELL	408	5¢	$20	0x2f98fc…
05-04 10:48:08	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	129	89¢	$115	0x2b779e…
05-04 10:46:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	274	15¢	$40	0xd9d928…
05-04 08:23:04	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) closes above $103 on May 4?	Yes	BUY	194	62¢	$120	0xbcf99f…
05-04 08:22:12	WTI Crude Oil (WTI) Up or Down on May 4?	Down	BUY	134	30¢	$40	0xfb1982…
05-03 07:26:12	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	SELL	384	84¢	$324	0xc4e64a…
04-27 13:11:06	Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase April 28-May 4?	No	BUY	408	18¢	$74	0xacb479…
04-27 13:09:04	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	SELL	6,706	1¢	$74	0xa9103c…
04-17 21:56:50	Kharg Island no longer under Iranian control by April 30?	Yes	BUY	6,706	3¢	$228	0xdf680d…