Happy-Go-Lucky-Tremor — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$43

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

0.0%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$369

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-14

last 05-04 19:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Other

48% 0% $-19

Politics

31% 0% $-24

Crypto

21% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

15 active days in 12wk • peak 7 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (4) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	6	$38	50	0	+50	open	—	04-19 20:48
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	2	$32	27	27	+0	Yes	$-1	04-21 09:47
Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	1	$27	30	0	+30	open	—	05-04 14:51
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	1	$25	25	0	+25	open	—	04-14 20:12
Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	2	$19	91	0	+91	Yes	$-19	05-04 19:00
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	2	$19	21	0	+21	Yes	$-19	05-01 13:41
cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14	1	$16	42	0	+42	open	—	04-14 21:07
israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	1	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-15 13:02
Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	3	$14	20	0	+20	open	—	04-21 13:44
Kash Patel out by May 31?	1	$14	17	0	+17	open	—	05-01 12:59
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	1	$12	20	0	+20	open	—	05-01 13:58
Will Solana reach $100 in April?	1	$10	12	0	+12	open	—	04-22 21:33
Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	4	$10	20	20	+0	open	—	04-25 21:01
elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	1	$10	13	0	+13	open	—	04-21 21:46
trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	1	$10	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 18:22
will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	04-14 23:20
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	2	$9	6	6	+0	open	—	04-25 16:49
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	1	$9	10	0	+10	open	—	05-01 13:39
Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	1	$8	11	0	+11	open	—	04-25 20:16
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	1	$8	10	0	+10	open	—	04-22 22:31
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-25 20:21
elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	1	$6	8	0	+8	open	—	04-18 20:01
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	3	$5	8	8	+0	open	—	04-25 16:48
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	1	$5	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 23:07
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	1	$5	5	0	+5	Yes	$-5	04-20 10:18
Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 20:22
Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-23 12:37
Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?	1	$5	5	0	+5	open	—	04-14 22:27
Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	1	$3	5	0	+5	open	—	04-29 16:51
elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	1	$3	10	0	+10	open	—	04-16 23:09

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-04 19:00:52	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	59	24¢	$14	0x5641aa…
05-04 18:59:02	Will Russia enter Riasne by May 31?	No	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0x3a5f58…
05-04 14:51:28	Will XRP reach $1.80 in May?	No	BUY	30	91¢	$27	0x9fe323…
05-01 13:58:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $120 in May?	No	BUY	20	61¢	$12	0x52fd4c…
05-01 13:41:52	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	10	89¢	$9	0xe419c0…
05-01 13:39:40	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $140 in May?	No	BUY	10	86¢	$9	0x59349c…
05-01 12:59:18	Kash Patel out by May 31?	No	BUY	17	79¢	$14	0xc90bfe…
04-29 16:51:28	Will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit (HIGH) $110 in April?	No	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x139d50…
04-27 00:05:48	Will Russia enter Huliaipilske by April 30?	No	BUY	1	89¢	$1	0x5e139f…
04-25 21:01:36	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0x50e90e…
04-25 20:26:18	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	SELL	10	0¢	$0	0xda523b…
04-25 20:21:36	Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from April 21 to April 28, 2026?	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0xb07f45…
04-25 20:16:46	Will Russia enter Novooleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	76¢	$8	0x3d5298…
04-25 16:49:08	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	SELL	6	86¢	$5	0xd71678…
04-25 16:48:10	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	SELL	8	43¢	$3	0x8bf01f…
04-24 22:09:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xe91d95…
04-24 22:08:28	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 100m?	No	BUY	6	64¢	$4	0x3217c5…
04-24 22:07:36	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 90m and 95m?	Yes	BUY	4	25¢	$1	0xf8524f…
04-24 14:20:44	Will Gold (XAUUSD) hit (LOW) $4,500 in April?	No	BUY	3	82¢	$2	0xe339e8…
04-24 14:18:50	Will Silver (XAGUSD) hit (LOW) $66 in April?	No	BUY	2	88¢	$1	0x0201f3…
04-24 14:00:58	Will Russia enter Rai-Oleksandrivka by April 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	9¢	$1	0x474ed8…
04-24 13:54:18	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	15	34¢	$5	0x04704c…
04-23 12:37:30	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	No	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0x2a7b34…
04-22 22:31:16	Will "Michael" Opening Weekend Box Office be greater than 80m?	Yes	BUY	10	79¢	$8	0xc73cdb…
04-22 21:33:58	Will Solana reach $100 in April?	No	BUY	12	84¢	$10	0x38a896…
04-21 21:46:42	elon musk of tweets april 17 april 24 220 239	No	BUY	13	77¢	$10	0x541c6f…
04-21 13:44:42	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0xbbd1f8…
04-21 13:41:46	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	6	69¢	$4	0x60a895…
04-21 13:30:08	Will Russia capture all of Huliaipole by April 30?	No	BUY	8	69¢	$6	0x3aa220…
04-21 09:47:36	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	SELL	27	58¢	$16	0x567afb…
04-20 18:49:56	btc updown 5m 1776710700	Up	BUY	2	64¢	$1	0xde3cf9…
04-20 18:45:38	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2027?	No	BUY	27	60¢	$16	0x2a2562…
04-20 10:19:10	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	11	94¢	$10	0x9c94b1…
04-20 10:18:58	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0xe20ced…
04-20 10:18:34	Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by April 30?	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x081699…
04-19 20:48:46	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	10	76¢	$8	0xf29e0f…
04-19 19:55:56	will monster be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	No	SELL	107	0¢	$0	0xba74de…
04-19 19:55:26	will monster be said during the cs iem rio 2026 grand final	No	BUY	111	1¢	$1	0xa182d8…
04-19 18:42:40	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	7	76¢	$5	0xba2648…
04-19 18:29:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	9	76¢	$7	0x02d4cd…
04-18 20:01:16	elon musk of tweets april 14 april 21 240 259	No	BUY	8	76¢	$6	0x8efde7…
04-16 23:09:34	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 280 299	Yes	BUY	10	31¢	$3	0x985764…
04-16 23:07:42	elon musk of tweets april 10 april 17 300 319	Yes	BUY	10	53¢	$5	0xe64bdc…
04-16 18:27:42	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	4	76¢	$3	0x673cf4…
04-16 18:22:56	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 18 2026	No	BUY	10	98¢	$10	0xcf7395…
04-16 13:54:58	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	15	76¢	$11	0xe5d042…
04-16 13:53:12	Will Ethereum dip to $2,000 in April?	No	BUY	5	76¢	$4	0xb5d28f…
04-15 13:02:58	israel x hezbollah ceasefire by april 15 2026	No	BUY	15	94¢	$14	0x7137d9…
04-14 23:20:50	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	SELL	5	95¢	$5	0xde7f26…
04-14 22:27:44	Will the People's Bank of China not change rates in April?	Yes	BUY	5	96¢	$5	0x187a5a…
04-14 21:07:12	cs2 navi furia 2026 04 14	Natus Vincere	BUY	42	37¢	$16	0x4cf5b8…
04-14 20:22:24	Will the Bank of Canada announce no change at the April meeting?	Yes	BUY	5	97¢	$5	0xb51b1e…
04-14 20:12:14	trump announces us x iran ceasefire end by april 15 2026	No	BUY	25	99¢	$25	0x1e69cd…
04-14 20:08:06	will the bank of russia make no change to the key rate after the april meeting	No	BUY	5	95¢	$5	0x2f9a52…