Medical-Fiesta — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$12

Unrealized P&L

+$0

Hit rate

1.8%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$29.6K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$871

Open exposure

$68

1 position

First seen

2026-01-07

last 06-20 02:00

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Other

98% 0% $-0

Crypto

1% — —

Sports

1% 100% +$12

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

16 active days in 12wk • peak 4 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No		+69	$68	100¢	$68	+$0	06-20 02:00

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	2	$27.1K	13,627	13,627	+0	open	—	01-07 22:17
Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	2	$428	214	214	+0	No	$-0	04-24 08:36
Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	2	$427	215	215	+0	open	—	04-23 19:13
Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$426	214	214	+0	open	—	04-24 11:51
Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	2	$422	212	212	+0	open	—	04-15 03:43
will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	1	$131	132	0	+132	open	—	06-16 00:31
will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	1	$84	84	0	+84	open	—	02-14 21:01
will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	1	$84	84	0	+84	open	—	01-11 11:39
Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	1	$76	76	0	+76	open	—	05-23 12:57
Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	1	$69	69	0	+69	open	—	05-27 17:10
Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	1	$68	69	0	+69	open	—	06-20 02:00
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	2	$45	24	24	+0	open	—	04-11 02:49
will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$44	44	0	+44	open	—	03-07 08:07
nhl bos buf 2026 03 25	1	$32	90	0	+90	open	—	03-25 06:22
nhl cal col 2026 03 30	1	$27	35	0	+35	open	—	03-30 07:41
nhl dal phi 2026 03 29	1	$23	57	0	+57	open	—	03-29 05:19
nba phi cha 2026 03 28	1	$23	67	0	+67	open	—	03-28 01:27
cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	1	$21	35	0	+35	open	—	03-22 07:57
nba por sas 2026 04 08	1	$17	28	0	+28	open	—	04-08 04:04
nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	1	$12	22	0	+22	open	—	04-06 05:50
nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	1	$11	20	0	+20	open	—	04-07 06:47
nba phx cha 2026 04 02	1	$10	30	0	+30	open	—	04-02 03:36
nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	1	$10	20	0	+20	open	—	04-06 02:31
Cavaliers vs. Pistons	1	$8	20	0	+20	Cavaliers	+$12	05-13 05:49
nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	1	$6	14	0	+14	open	—	06-08 04:27
nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	1	$5	14	0	+14	open	—	04-06 07:19
nba min orl 2026 04 08	1	$4	13	0	+13	open	—	04-08 05:51
will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	1	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	02-27 15:01

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-20 02:00:52	Microstrategy delisted from MSCI index by June 30?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$68	0x94931b…
06-16 00:31:49	will bitcoin reach 90k in june 2026	No	BUY	132	99¢	$131	0x22db78…
06-08 04:27:25	nba sas nyk 2026 06 08	Spurs	BUY	14	46¢	$6	0x60291e…
05-27 17:10:11	Will XRP dip to $1.00 in May?	No	BUY	69	100¢	$69	0x0e0f4e…
05-23 12:57:54	Will Bitcoin reach $90,000 in May?	No	BUY	76	99¢	$76	0x29580c…
05-13 05:49:44	Cavaliers vs. Pistons	Cavaliers	BUY	20	39¢	$8	0x82b723…
04-24 11:51:00	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$213	0x6933c4…
04-24 10:36:44	Will Serbia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$213	0xd1400e…
04-24 08:36:22	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	SELL	214	100¢	$214	0x193f53…
04-24 07:34:54	Will Kevin Hassett be confirmed as Fed Chair?	No	BUY	214	100¢	$214	0x620cd4…
04-23 19:13:58	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	215	100¢	$214	0xd5683c…
04-23 18:18:26	Will Switzerland win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	215	100¢	$214	0xeff958…
04-15 03:43:00	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	SELL	212	100¢	$211	0x44ae0c…
04-15 02:55:08	Will Armenia win Eurovision 2026?	No	BUY	212	100¢	$211	0xb88166…
04-11 02:49:33	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	SELL	24	95¢	$23	0x27b562…
04-08 05:51:27	nba min orl 2026 04 08	Timberwolves	BUY	13	34¢	$4	0x349291…
04-08 04:04:15	nba por sas 2026 04 08	Spurs	BUY	28	61¢	$17	0x7b476b…
04-07 06:47:13	nhl edm utah 2026 04 07	Utah	BUY	20	53¢	$11	0x669540…
04-06 07:19:21	nhl chi sj 2026 04 06	Blackhawks	BUY	14	39¢	$5	0x2c790f…
04-06 05:50:41	nba nyk atl 2026 04 06	Hawks	BUY	22	53¢	$12	0x8184af…
04-06 02:31:15	nhl tb buf 2026 04 06	Sabres	BUY	20	49¢	$10	0xca5cc6…
04-02 03:36:45	nba phx cha 2026 04 02	Suns	BUY	30	35¢	$10	0x9b6f7a…
03-30 07:41:30	nhl cal col 2026 03 30	Avalanche	BUY	35	77¢	$27	0x6cfcaa…
03-29 05:19:52	nhl dal phi 2026 03 29	Flyers	BUY	57	41¢	$23	0xedcb1a…
03-28 01:27:47	nba phi cha 2026 03 28	76ers	BUY	67	34¢	$23	0x31fa92…
03-25 06:22:21	nhl bos buf 2026 03 25	Bruins	BUY	90	36¢	$32	0x168948…
03-22 07:57:43	cbb stjohn kan 2026 03 22	St. John's Red Storm	BUY	35	61¢	$21	0xea2cc7…
03-08 11:00:21	MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$3B one day after launch?	No	BUY	24	93¢	$22	0x208e58…
03-07 08:07:01	will the fed decrease interest rates by 50 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	44	100¢	$44	0x28b464…
02-27 15:01:19	will apple be the second largest company in the world by market cap on february 28	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x7e3ad8…
02-14 21:01:23	will silver si hit high 190 by end of february 182	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x3b3798…
01-11 11:39:46	will ethereum reach 6000 in january 2026	No	BUY	84	100¢	$84	0x8c6ec7…
01-07 22:17:09	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	SELL	13,627	99¢	$13,545	0x71d2c9…
01-07 22:15:55	fed decreases interest rates by 50 bps after january 2026 meeting	No	BUY	13,627	100¢	$13,559	0xf63b31…