Warm-Distinction — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$16

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

53.4%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$770

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-04-10

last 05-30 15:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Sports

71% 50% $-16

Crypto

20% — —

Other

8% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

12 active days in 12wk • peak 20 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	4	$145	111	109	+2	open	—	04-12 03:54
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$50	885	0	+885	open	—	04-10 21:12
ufc kel vic 2026 04 11	2	$42	32	32	+1	open	—	04-11 22:48
Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	1	$35	350	0	+350	open	—	04-13 20:18
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$34	24	24	+0	Canadiens	+$14	05-11 02:06
Sabres vs. Canadiens	2	$30	85	0	+85	Sabres	$-30	05-12 23:28
ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	4	$26	49	48	+1	open	—	04-12 03:21
btc updown 5m 1775859600	2	$25	22	21	+1	open	—	04-10 22:23
btc updown 5m 1775960400	2	$24	15	14	+0	open	—	04-12 02:25
nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	2	$20	22	22	+0	open	—	04-12 23:22
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	1	$20	99	0	+99	open	—	04-12 02:27
ufc cub nat2 2026 04 11	1	$20	43	0	+43	open	—	04-12 00:56
Lightning vs. Canadiens	1	$20	42	0	+42	open	—	05-02 01:02
nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	3	$20	67	0	+67	open	—	04-21 23:35
Sabres vs. Bruins	2	$20	88	0	+88	open	—	05-02 00:02
btc updown 5m 1775859300	1	$20	32	0	+32	open	—	04-10 22:15
btc updown 5m 1775858700	2	$18	14	14	+1	open	—	04-10 22:10
btc updown 5m 1775857500	2	$16	12	11	+0	open	—	04-10 21:51
nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11	3	$15	30	30	+0	open	—	04-12 00:18
nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	2	$15	49	0	+49	open	—	04-19 23:28
btc updown 5m 1775856000	2	$12	200	186	+14	open	—	04-10 21:24
ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	1	$10	25	0	+25	open	—	04-12 00:06
nba cle atl 2026 04 10	1	$10	40	0	+40	open	—	04-10 21:56
btc updown 5m 1775855400	1	$10	1,000	0	+1,000	open	—	04-10 21:14
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	1	$10	33	0	+33	open	—	05-30 15:49
btc updown 5m 1775858400	1	$10	15	0	+15	open	—	04-10 22:01
nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11 total 6pt5	1	$10	37	0	+37	open	—	04-12 00:23
ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	04-11 12:50
Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	1	$10	32	0	+32	open	—	04-24 12:16
Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	1	$10	29	0	+29	open	—	04-13 20:17

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-30 15:49:39	Khvicha Kvaratskhelia: Anytime Goalscorer	Yes	BUY	33	30¢	$10	0xfb5b70…
05-30 15:49:26	Spread: Paris Saint-Germain FC (-1.5)	Paris Saint-Germain FC	BUY	53	19¢	$10	0xf0aa5f…
05-12 23:28:56	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8bd9a2…
05-12 23:28:04	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	53	38¢	$20	0xcba20a…
05-11 02:06:31	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	SELL	24	100¢	$24	0xa72a9d…
05-10 23:17:13	Sabres vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	24	41¢	$10	0xfbd746…
05-02 01:02:10	Lightning vs. Canadiens	Canadiens	BUY	42	48¢	$20	0xd66694…
05-02 00:02:50	Sabres vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x29e50d…
05-02 00:02:06	Sabres vs. Bruins	Bruins	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x29d7a8…
04-24 12:16:12	Spread: Lightning (-1.5)	Lightning	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0xdb9c05…
04-21 23:35:02	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	21	24¢	$5	0x13ade8…
04-21 23:29:18	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	20	25¢	$5	0xf96bbf…
04-21 12:31:16	nhl mon tb 2026 04 21	Canadiens	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0x625982…
04-19 23:28:14	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0xd3118a…
04-19 14:32:30	nhl mon tb 2026 04 19	Canadiens	BUY	26	38¢	$10	0xc4e406…
04-13 20:18:33	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the Eastern Conference?	Yes	BUY	350	10¢	$35	0x88c536…
04-13 20:17:19	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the Western Conference?	Yes	BUY	29	35¢	$10	0xae90f3…
04-12 23:23:15	nba atl mia 2026 04 12	Hawks	SELL	22	10¢	$2	0xea3f9f…
04-12 23:22:43	nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	Under	SELL	22	69¢	$15	0x198e6e…
04-12 21:09:23	nhl mon nyi 2026 04 12 total 4pt5	Under	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xb86e5c…
04-12 20:58:33	Will Cole Caufield win the 2025–2026 NHL Maurice 'Rocket' Richard Trophy?	Yes	BUY	15	33¢	$5	0xd4d76c…
04-12 20:53:53	nba atl mia 2026 04 12	Hawks	BUY	23	22¢	$5	0x76ec2c…
04-12 03:54:17	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	SELL	109	99¢	$108	0x04523d…
04-12 03:51:19	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	52	14¢	$7	0x66e7df…
04-12 03:21:47	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Paulo Costa	SELL	5	50¢	$3	0x3a09b8…
04-12 03:21:21	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Paulo Costa	SELL	19	33¢	$6	0x7dd676…
04-12 03:21:05	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Paulo Costa	SELL	24	30¢	$7	0x150e1b…
04-12 03:18:17	ufc pau2 aza 2026 04 11	Paulo Costa	BUY	49	20¢	$10	0x95d1d6…
04-12 02:27:37	Will the Colorado Avalanche win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	99	20¢	$20	0x38abe2…
04-12 02:25:21	btc updown 5m 1775960400	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$14	0x16e381…
04-12 02:20:53	btc updown 5m 1775960400	Down	BUY	15	68¢	$10	0xfc15ab…
04-12 00:56:11	ufc cub nat2 2026 04 11	Nate Landwehr	BUY	43	46¢	$20	0x8b6d0e…
04-12 00:23:17	nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11 total 6pt5	Under	BUY	37	27¢	$10	0x300bed…
04-12 00:18:53	nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11	Canadiens	SELL	30	18¢	$5	0x2887e0…
04-12 00:08:05	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	39	51¢	$20	0xf4adfe…
04-12 00:06:11	ufc joh dom 2026 04 11	Johnny Walker	BUY	25	40¢	$10	0x9ea279…
04-12 00:01:15	ufc jproch car6 2026 04 11	Carlos Ulberg	BUY	20	51¢	$10	0x6b8192…
04-11 23:30:49	nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11	Canadiens	BUY	19	27¢	$5	0x2fd605…
04-11 23:19:17	nhl cbj mon 2026 04 11	Canadiens	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x76b78b…
04-11 22:48:41	ufc kel vic 2026 04 11	Vicente Luque	SELL	32	100¢	$32	0xd5c831…
04-11 12:50:39	ufc pat3 aar8 2026 04 11	Patricio Pitbull	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x641105…
04-11 12:48:55	ufc kel vic 2026 04 11	Vicente Luque	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x37fb78…
04-11 12:45:21	will trump attend ufc 327	No	BUY	157	6¢	$10	0x46775b…
04-10 22:35:33	btc updown 5m 1775860500	Up	BUY	18	57¢	$10	0xcddb14…
04-10 22:23:31	btc updown 5m 1775859600	Down	SELL	21	68¢	$15	0x6d8884…
04-10 22:20:45	btc updown 5m 1775859600	Down	BUY	22	45¢	$10	0x0fb972…
04-10 22:15:41	btc updown 5m 1775859300	Up	BUY	32	63¢	$20	0xd6507d…
04-10 22:13:01	btc updown 5m 1775859000	Down	BUY	27	37¢	$10	0x35a654…
04-10 22:10:09	btc updown 5m 1775858700	Down	SELL	14	99¢	$13	0x36e0c2…
04-10 22:07:41	btc updown 5m 1775858700	Down	BUY	14	35¢	$5	0x7e49a6…
04-10 22:01:25	btc updown 5m 1775858400	Down	BUY	15	65¢	$10	0x140313…
04-10 21:56:35	nba cle atl 2026 04 10	Cavaliers	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x1ecc81…
04-10 21:51:13	btc updown 5m 1775857500	Up	SELL	11	99¢	$11	0x7ca9ea…
04-10 21:45:43	btc updown 5m 1775857500	Up	BUY	12	43¢	$5	0x9fcfa5…
04-10 21:24:57	btc updown 5m 1775856000	Down	SELL	186	1¢	$2	0x2c58bc…
04-10 21:23:15	btc updown 5m 1775856000	Down	BUY	200	5¢	$10	0x880bab…
04-10 21:14:11	btc updown 5m 1775855400	Up	BUY	1,000	1¢	$10	0x534be4…
04-10 21:12:15	Will the Montreal Canadiens win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	Yes	BUY	885	6¢	$50	0x178ac7…