Mature-Disregard — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$2

Unrealized P&L

+$1

Hit rate

92.9%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$36

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

1 position

First seen

2026-05-03

last 06-01 23:02

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Politics

51% — —

Other

34% 100% +$1

Sports

11% 50% +$1

Crypto

3% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

7 active days in 12wk • peak 8 trades/day

Open positions (1) Resolved markets (3) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No		+4	$2	62¢	$3	+$1	06-01 23:02

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	1	$10	11	0	+11	Elina Svitolina	+$1	05-13 20:22
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	2	$8	6	6	+0	open	—	05-18 22:52
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	2	$5	3	3	+0	open	—	05-15 21:48
UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	1	$3	5	0	+5	Alexander Volkov	+$2	05-09 20:43
Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	1	$2	5	0	+5	open	—	05-15 14:37
US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	1	$2	4	0	+4	open	—	06-01 23:02
Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 21:48
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 21:48
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	2	$1	2	2	+0	open	—	05-15 21:49
Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$1	10	0	+10	open	—	05-13 20:31
Will Trump visit China by May 15?	1	$1	7	0	+7	open	—	05-03 09:00
Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	1	$1	5	0	+5	No	$-1	05-09 20:45

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-01 23:02:04	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by June 30, 2026?	No	BUY	4	47¢	$2	0xa47e50…
05-18 22:52:35	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	SELL	6	80¢	$5	0x871d4f…
05-15 21:49:00	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x924f15…
05-15 21:48:53	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0x65beaa…
05-15 21:48:46	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	SELL	2	2¢	$0	0xabe992…
05-15 21:48:27	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	SELL	3	100¢	$3	0x5844f6…
05-15 14:37:43	Will China announce a Boeing aircraft purchase by May 22?	Yes	BUY	5	45¢	$2	0x930a5a…
05-15 13:40:49	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	63¢	$1	0xc60d7f…
05-15 13:40:42	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	65¢	$1	0xf3e7cb…
05-15 13:40:31	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	2	66¢	$1	0xd8dafa…
05-13 20:31:46	Will Trump say "Crypto" or "Bitcoin" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	10	10¢	$1	0xfd8662…
05-13 20:22:33	Internazionali BNL d'Italia: Elina Svitolina vs Elena Rybakina	Elina Svitolina	BUY	11	89¢	$10	0xeb8845…
05-09 20:45:44	Will Khamzat Chimaev win by KO or TKO?	Yes	BUY	5	21¢	$1	0x9c6c1f…
05-09 20:43:47	UFC 328: Alexander Volkov vs. Waldo Cortes-Acosta (Heavyweight, Main Card)	Alexander Volkov	BUY	5	57¢	$3	0x926593…
05-06 21:09:54	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 15, 2026?	No	BUY	3	78¢	$2	0x54bb69…
05-06 21:09:10	US x Iran diplomatic meeting by May 31, 2026?	No	BUY	6	52¢	$3	0x19bac3…
05-03 09:00:10	Will Trump visit China by May 15?	No	BUY	7	14¢	$1	0xf6f83c…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
(anonymous) 0x945a…a48c	11	$6.62K	1,917	06-09 18:15
Known-Use 0x21ff…0d71	10	$69.7K	1,323	06-08 11:49
Firsthand-Eaglet 0x1cdd…e595	10	$23.8K	3,185	06-08 12:01
Monstrous-Dew 0x5b63…11a4	10	$5.25K	156	06-09 08:19
(anonymous) 0x4247…91c4	10	$2.26K	242	05-22 18:19
Hideous-Racer 0xc8ab…6418	9	$2.74M	6,090	06-09 13:33
Entire-Hood 0xb40e…7cc9	9	$42.6K	2,380	06-03 04:33
Belated-Glue 0xad53…ef24	9	$7.21K	768	05-29 23:43