Quarrelsome-Buggy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$8

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

57.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$117

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-03-19

last 05-09 22:31

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

63% 53% $-8

Other

22% — —

Politics

15% 0% $-0

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

14 active days in 12wk • peak 32 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (16) Recent trades Correlated wallets (8)

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	2	$14	15	0	+15	open	—	04-28 03:41
will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	2	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	03-24 00:01
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	5	$10	8	8	+0	open	—	05-03 21:50
israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	2	$8	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	2	$6	5	5	+0	Down	$-1	05-09 21:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	2	$5	5	5	+0	Up	+$0	05-09 21:47
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 16:00
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 20:15
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 16:46
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	2	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 17:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	4	$5	10	0	+10	Up	+$0	05-09 17:18
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	3	$5	10	0	+10	Down	+$0	05-09 17:46
Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	2	$5	5	5	+0	Yes	$-0	05-03 21:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	3	$4	5	5	+0	Down	$-0	05-09 21:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	2	$4	5	5	+0	Up	$-0	05-09 22:16
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	3	$3	5	5	+0	Up	$-1	05-09 22:31
Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	2	$3	20	0	+20	open	—	04-04 01:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	1	$3	5	0	+5	Up	$-3	05-09 16:15
US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	05-03 21:34
Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	2	$2	5	5	+0	open	—	04-28 01:32
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Up	$-2	05-09 15:45
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	1	$2	5	0	+5	Down	$-2	05-09 16:30

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-09 22:31:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	22¢	$1	0x1a4272…
05-09 22:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	34¢	$1	0xd5469f…
05-09 22:30:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:30PM-6:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	34¢	$0	0xb9fdbb…
05-09 22:16:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	SELL	5	38¢	$2	0x2649aa…
05-09 22:15:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 6:15PM-6:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x34ea39…
05-09 21:47:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	SELL	5	53¢	$3	0x2c8392…
05-09 21:46:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:45PM-6:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xaaed8e…
05-09 21:32:08	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	SELL	5	41¢	$2	0x5542b1…
05-09 21:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	48¢	$1	0xeef0d5…
05-09 21:31:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:30PM-5:45PM ET	Up	BUY	4	48¢	$2	0x73c724…
05-09 21:18:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	SELL	5	48¢	$2	0xe788b7…
05-09 21:17:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 5:15PM-5:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	62¢	$3	0x91b863…
05-09 20:15:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Up	BUY	5	41¢	$2	0x8c05cf…
05-09 20:15:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 4:15PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	56¢	$3	0x59bad7…
05-09 17:46:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x56c5d8…
05-09 17:45:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	4	44¢	$2	0x8fe7c1…
05-09 17:45:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:45PM-2:00PM ET	Up	BUY	1	44¢	$0	0x237b99…
05-09 17:33:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0xdb761b…
05-09 17:30:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x37c7f5…
05-09 17:18:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	52¢	$3	0xcaca18…
05-09 17:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x850e70…
05-09 17:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	1	45¢	$0	0x4d50d9…
05-09 17:15:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:15PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	3	45¢	$1	0x0e4e89…
05-09 17:02:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x9deaa5…
05-09 17:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 1:00PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xc6fd78…
05-09 16:46:29	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0xf0d003…
05-09 16:45:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:45PM-1:00PM ET	Up	BUY	5	48¢	$2	0x763029…
05-09 16:30:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:30PM-12:45PM ET	Up	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0x1ece00…
05-09 16:15:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:15PM-12:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x567379…
05-09 16:00:41	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Up	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0xb006ae…
05-09 16:00:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 12:00PM-12:15PM ET	Down	BUY	5	53¢	$3	0x762963…
05-09 15:45:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 9, 11:45AM-12:00PM ET	Down	BUY	5	44¢	$2	0x20c094…
05-03 21:50:12	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	SELL	5	77¢	$4	0xd7ff79…
05-03 21:34:38	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	SELL	5	44¢	$2	0xbd912b…
05-03 21:34:30	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	5	19¢	$1	0xa7be14…
04-28 03:41:10	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	SELL	3	36¢	$1	0xcc3418…
04-28 03:41:00	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	10	99¢	$10	0x98d67c…
04-28 01:32:56	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	SELL	5	5¢	$0	0x9e4a1a…
04-28 01:32:56	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x7828bb…
04-27 10:45:42	US x Iran permanent peace deal by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	30¢	$2	0xb2b4fc…
04-24 10:25:52	israel x hezbollah ceasefire extended by april 26 2026	Yes	BUY	5	55¢	$3	0xa020d1…
04-16 04:28:20	Iran agrees to unrestricted shipping through Hormuz in April?	Yes	BUY	5	43¢	$2	0xcba537…
04-13 04:40:31	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	1	62¢	$1	0x5eb08d…
04-13 04:35:57	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	No	BUY	4	62¢	$2	0xaf5e40…
04-10 03:30:15	Russia-Ukraine Ceasefire before GTA VI?	No	BUY	5	49¢	$2	0x01e0ad…
04-08 04:22:23	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	3	64¢	$2	0x63f737…
04-06 04:34:57	Will the ECB announce an increase at the April 2026 meeting?	No	BUY	5	73¢	$4	0xcde55b…
04-04 01:22:07	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	14¢	$1	0xba8ac9…
04-03 22:22:11	Will the United States send warships through the Strait of Hormuz by April 30, 2026?	Yes	BUY	10	13¢	$1	0x9f3458…
03-24 00:01:57	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	SELL	5	100¢	$5	0x12bd14…
03-19 04:28:21	will bitcoin reach 105k in march 2026	No	BUY	5	99¢	$5	0x3fe3dc…

Wallet	Shared markets	Overlap volume	Overlap trades	Last seen
All-Peasant-Drug 0xe907…cff6	16	$49.6K	262	06-01 04:51
Popular-Insurrection 0xeebd…ba30	15	$32.1K	1,916	05-09 22:43
Distinct-Barley 0xc76f…a5db	15	$17.0K	1,963	05-09 22:43
(anonymous) 0xf8e3…fd17	15	$16.3K	1,643	05-09 22:43
Imaginative-Misnomer 0xd2e8…d107	15	$15.1K	3,313	05-09 22:43
Upbeat-Necktie 0x48ea…3e30	15	$10.3K	1,633	05-09 22:43
Minty-Complicity 0xee55…7b04	15	$10.2K	2,089	05-09 22:43
Youthful-Movement 0x8da4…f3d1	15	$9.44K	1,613	05-09 22:43