Deserted-Candidacy — Polymarket

Realized P&L

+$0

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

100.0%

Resolved

Trades

127

lifetime

Volume

$120.3K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$947

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-02

last 05-23 14:13

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% — —

Other

0% 100% +$0

Politics

0% 100% +$0

Sports

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

6 active days in 12wk • peak 26 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (2) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
bitcoin up or down january 5 3pm et	9	$120.0K	120,000	120,000	+0	open	—	01-05 15:49
Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	26	$85	85	0	+85	open	—	05-11 20:19
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	19	$59	55	4	+52	Yes	+$0	05-09 18:30
QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	16	$54	54	0	+54	Yes	+$0	05-03 13:44
will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	3	$10	5	5	+0	open	—	01-07 11:50
Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	7	$4	4	4	+0	open	—	05-23 14:13
Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	4	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	05-15 18:11
us bank failure by january 31	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-09 01:03
new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	2	$4	4	0	+4	open	—	01-09 01:12
will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 18	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	01-18 11:48
will elon cut the budget by at least 10 in 2025	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-06 23:09
will elon cut the budget by at least 5 in 2025	2	$4	2	2	+0	open	—	02-06 23:09
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-05 15:34
elon musk of tweets january 2 january 9 300 319	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-05 15:26
will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-19 23:47
Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	1	$3	3	0	+3	open	—	01-18 11:46
Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	05-15 19:12
ukraine officially agrees to a us backed ceasefire framework by january 31	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-02 17:26
will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	02-06 23:09
nba sas ind 2026 01 02	1	$2	3	0	+3	open	—	01-02 17:24
bitcoin above 88k on january 4	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-04 11:57
si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-13 00:25
Will Fulham win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-05 15:29
nicols maduro released from custody by january 9 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-05 15:22
si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-09 01:12
Will Athletic Bilbao win the 2025–26 La Liga?	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-05 15:25
will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-05 15:58
will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-29 17:36
si hit 150 high jan 2026	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-13 00:17
nba dal nyk 2026 01 19	1	$2	2	0	+2	open	—	01-19 23:47

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-23 14:13:26	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	0	23¢	$0	0x17a219…
05-23 14:09:00	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	0	24¢	$0	0x68b2af…
05-23 14:07:15	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	23¢	$0	0x1d6420…
05-23 13:59:07	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	1	25¢	$0	0x4e4538…
05-23 13:54:03	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	2	25¢	$0	0x8e0601…
05-23 13:53:59	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	SELL	0	25¢	$0	0xfa13fb…
05-23 01:34:21	Iran closes its airspace by May 24?	Yes	BUY	4	99¢	$4	0xccb96e…
05-15 19:12:37	Will Trump say "Iran" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$2	0xf34676…
05-15 19:12:33	Will Trump say "Strait" or "Hormuz" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	99¢	$1	0x6b2576…
05-15 18:11:15	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xdd9ef5…
05-15 18:03:14	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x20d1c9…
05-15 17:41:02	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa1b02c…
05-15 17:25:55	Will Trump say "Nuclear" during events with Xi Jinping?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xa348a9…
05-11 20:19:06	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0xa8e7a5…
05-11 20:18:58	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x27c02d…
05-11 20:18:54	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xb27081…
05-11 20:18:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x92195d…
05-11 20:17:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf3480c…
05-11 20:17:11	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xfd3a35…
05-11 20:17:04	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe043a2…
05-11 20:16:52	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7f6909…
05-11 20:16:43	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x027d62…
05-11 20:16:31	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xdc473d…
05-11 20:16:22	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x1090cb…
05-11 20:16:17	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x63d57a…
05-11 20:16:03	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xce0fc9…
05-11 20:16:01	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xfbbe80…
05-11 20:15:52	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xf4b90e…
05-11 20:15:50	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xac8696…
05-11 20:15:43	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xe68c73…
05-11 20:15:31	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0355b2…
05-11 20:14:54	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x614384…
05-11 20:14:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x43ba43…
05-11 20:11:07	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x1a6582…
05-11 20:11:02	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x560755…
05-11 20:10:44	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x401982…
05-11 20:10:42	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xab731b…
05-11 20:10:30	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x071abb…
05-11 20:10:23	Epstein suicide note released by May 8?	No	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x66ef6b…
05-09 18:30:29	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xf4ce5f…
05-09 18:30:06	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x7537b1…
05-09 18:26:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xa879ea…
05-09 18:26:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9830ca…
05-09 18:25:54	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	4	100¢	$4	0x8f075a…
05-09 18:25:12	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x9e9a26…
05-09 18:18:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xc24a0d…
05-09 18:18:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x73ab43…
05-09 18:18:39	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x708e3e…
05-09 18:18:00	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x3d388a…
05-09 18:17:57	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x695099…
05-09 18:17:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xd55bb5…
05-09 18:17:50	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0xaa9a0d…
05-09 12:56:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xa6a5aa…
05-09 12:56:40	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0x362083…
05-09 12:36:45	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xbc5f6e…
05-09 12:36:43	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2bc8dd…
05-09 12:36:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xd1e9d0…
05-09 12:36:42	Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by May 31, 2026?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x7e066f…
05-03 13:44:12	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0xc84c8d…
05-03 13:44:10	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x8fa474…
05-03 13:44:08	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x2ddb7c…
05-03 13:39:14	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0x26c16f…
05-03 13:39:12	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xc98675…
05-03 13:39:10	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x2b3437…
05-03 13:39:08	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	100¢	$3	0xf6c7cc…
05-03 13:39:06	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	1	100¢	$1	0x0f0027…
05-03 13:38:56	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	5	100¢	$5	0x9cfcb0…
05-02 13:19:22	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x449c27…
05-02 13:19:18	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xf2ce11…
05-02 13:19:16	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xdd9e79…
05-02 13:19:14	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0xef4411…
05-02 13:19:14	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x536593…
05-02 13:19:12	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x2951ee…
05-02 13:19:12	QatarEnergy announces/resumes LNG production in Qatar by April 30?	Yes	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x1d4913…
02-06 23:09:51	will elon cut the budget by at least 5 in 2025	No	SELL	2	89¢	$2	0xbb3efa…
02-06 23:09:47	will elon cut the budget by at least 10 in 2025	No	SELL	2	92¢	$2	0x27cbd9…
02-06 23:09:33	will the fed decrease interest rates by 25 bps after the march 2026 meeting	No	BUY	2	89¢	$2	0x37b29f…
01-29 17:36:28	will bitcoin reach 96k january 26 1	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xdc5932…
01-29 17:35:22	will trump talk to kim jong un in january	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x6b406e…
01-25 23:06:44	will solana reach 180 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0xd8a5ec…
01-25 23:05:36	will xrp reach 2pt6 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x91956d…
01-22 00:08:06	will claudia vanessa dobles camargo win the 2026 costa rican presidential election	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x05738f…
01-19 23:47:30	will google have the best ai model at the end of january 2026	Yes	BUY	3	96¢	$3	0x9da8b2…
01-19 23:47:16	nba dal nyk 2026 01 19	Mavericks	BUY	2	95¢	$2	0x085659…
01-18 11:48:26	will the price of bitcoin be between 96000 98000 on january 18	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x0cd2df…
01-18 11:48:14	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 18	No	SELL	2	97¢	$2	0xabb880…
01-18 11:47:12	will the price of bitcoin be between 92000 94000 on january 18	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x605ecd…
01-18 11:46:58	Will Tottenham win the 2025–26 Champions League?	No	BUY	3	99¢	$3	0x735aa0…
01-18 11:46:52	Will Chelsea win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	BUY	2	100¢	$2	0x7c991b…
01-18 11:45:46	khamenei out as supreme leader of iran by january 31	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x86dc19…
01-13 00:25:15	si hit 120 high jan 2026 313 822 269	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x6f650d…
01-13 00:17:51	si hit 150 high jan 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0x011951…
01-09 01:12:36	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	2	98¢	$2	0x0adae2…
01-09 01:12:34	si hit 100 high jan 2026 422 587 453	No	BUY	2	93¢	$2	0x98cacd…
01-09 01:03:58	us bank failure by january 31	No	SELL	2	95¢	$2	0x4f9bfe…
01-07 11:52:57	new stranger things episode released by january 31 294	No	BUY	2	97¢	$2	0xfd676d…
01-07 11:50:09	will mara corina machado enter venezuela by january 9 994	No	SELL	5	99¢	$5	0x07b2b4…
01-07 01:23:09	Will Nottm Forest win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	No	SELL	2	100¢	$2	0xbef4a5…
01-05 15:58:23	will ethereum reach 4600 in january 2026	No	BUY	2	99¢	$2	0xc063d4…
01-05 15:49:47	bitcoin up or down january 5 3pm et	Up	SELL	30,000	50¢	$15,000	0x5fb871…