Nervous-Bass — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$48

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

75.8%

Resolved

Trades

590

lifetime

Volume

$19.9K

lifetime

Avg / trade

$34

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-01-05

last 05-07 19:38

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

98% 41% $-48

Politics

2% — —

Sports

0% — —

Other

0% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

18 active days in 12wk • peak 107 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (1) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
btc updown 5m 1776787200	2	$567	338	333	+5	open	—	04-21 16:02
btc updown 5m 1776771600	2	$498	309	301	+8	open	—	04-21 11:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	4	$409	243	239	+3	open	—	04-26 17:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:55AM-9:00AM ET	6	$300	298	228	+70	open	—	04-26 13:00
btc updown 5m 1776765600	3	$263	275	193	+82	open	—	04-21 10:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 28, 2:30PM-2:35PM ET	4	$238	202	202	+0	open	—	04-28 18:34
btc updown 5m 1776765300	4	$238	271	118	+153	open	—	04-21 09:58
btc updown 5m 1776771900	2	$237	154	150	+4	open	—	04-21 11:49
btc updown 5m 1776765900	3	$234	261	157	+104	open	—	04-21 10:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	3	$226	227	125	+102	open	—	04-26 12:47
btc updown 5m 1776786600	3	$226	272	167	+105	open	—	04-21 15:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	2	$210	125	123	+2	open	—	04-26 12:51
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 26, 7:15AM-7:20AM ET	2	$199	131	127	+4	open	—	04-26 11:19
us forces enter iran by march 7	2	$185	1,087	1,087	+0	open	—	03-05 21:54
btc updown 5m 1776764700	4	$183	134	130	+4	open	—	04-21 09:48
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	4	$180	180	180	+0	open	—	05-04 12:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	3	$179	203	86	+116	open	—	05-02 07:32
btc updown 5m 1776944400	4	$164	126	122	+4	open	—	04-23 11:44
btc updown 5m 1776660600	5	$161	183	141	+42	open	—	04-20 04:53
btc updown 5m 1777009500	5	$160	255	164	+91	open	—	04-24 05:47
btc updown 5m 1776784500	2	$160	110	107	+3	open	—	04-21 15:18
btc updown 5m 1776777600	6	$158	158	152	+6	open	—	04-21 13:24
btc updown 5m 1776774600	2	$156	119	114	+5	open	—	04-21 12:33
btc updown 5m 1777009200	4	$155	197	75	+122	open	—	04-24 05:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 29, 6:40AM-6:45AM ET	2	$154	86	86	+0	open	—	04-29 10:43
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	2	$150	188	0	+188	open	—	05-02 07:42
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	7	$147	315	148	+167	Up	+$47	05-07 09:34
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:20PM-6:25PM ET	5	$145	198	142	+56	open	—	04-27 22:24
Bitcoin Up or Down - April 27, 6:10PM-6:15PM ET	4	$141	208	197	+11	open	—	04-27 22:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	2	$140	173	0	+173	open	—	05-02 07:29

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-07 19:38:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xeffde7…
05-07 19:35:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	32	41¢	$13	0x69df50…
05-07 19:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:25PM-3:30PM ET	Down	BUY	57	53¢	$30	0xb4548c…
05-07 19:24:17	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	SELL	49	92¢	$45	0x6c7d77…
05-07 19:22:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Down	BUY	49	51¢	$25	0x5293e7…
05-07 18:40:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	48	44¢	$21	0xc6f473…
05-07 14:43:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	SELL	93	84¢	$78	0xe17e81…
05-07 14:40:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40AM-10:45AM ET	Up	BUY	93	54¢	$50	0x29b7f8…
05-07 14:38:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	SELL	59	98¢	$58	0xc175a2…
05-07 14:35:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35AM-10:40AM ET	Down	BUY	59	43¢	$25	0x942db0…
05-07 14:31:13	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:30AM-10:35AM ET	Up	BUY	118	34¢	$40	0xe177f3…
05-07 14:21:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20AM-10:25AM ET	Down	BUY	90	39¢	$35	0x2a7654…
05-07 14:11:00	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:10AM-10:15AM ET	Down	BUY	56	34¢	$19	0xa0e972…
05-07 14:08:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Down	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0x2f6cf2…
05-07 14:08:05	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	71	62¢	$44	0x8439bc…
05-07 14:07:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	71	28¢	$20	0xb9202e…
05-07 14:06:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	SELL	64	42¢	$27	0x030296…
05-07 14:05:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:05AM-10:10AM ET	Up	BUY	64	31¢	$20	0x9e9608…
05-07 14:03:39	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	SELL	150	48¢	$72	0x61b7d6…
05-07 14:01:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	150	40¢	$60	0xe984df…
05-07 13:59:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Down	BUY	33	15¢	$5	0xeabbe7…
05-07 13:47:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	SELL	70	87¢	$61	0x173f7a…
05-07 13:45:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 9:45AM-9:50AM ET	Down	BUY	70	43¢	$30	0xb4e134…
05-07 12:05:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	Up	BUY	28	36¢	$10	0x9330be…
05-07 11:58:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 7:55AM-8:00AM ET	Down	BUY	34	29¢	$10	0x5bf717…
05-07 10:10:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:10AM-6:15AM ET	Up	BUY	62	32¢	$20	0x410636…
05-07 10:09:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	SELL	44	84¢	$37	0xbb0ca7…
05-07 10:06:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 6:05AM-6:10AM ET	Up	BUY	44	45¢	$20	0xc657c9…
05-07 09:43:06	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	SELL	40	71¢	$28	0x2bdb9b…
05-07 09:41:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:40AM-5:45AM ET	Down	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0x4cd94b…
05-07 09:36:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Up	BUY	32	31¢	$10	0x8df8d1…
05-07 09:36:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	SELL	29	66¢	$19	0x04c5a9…
05-07 09:35:43	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:35AM-5:40AM ET	Down	BUY	29	34¢	$10	0x51e376…
05-07 09:34:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	167	3¢	$5	0x928fd6…
05-07 09:34:23	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	56	79¢	$44	0x2a25e4…
05-07 09:34:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	56	18¢	$10	0x55436b…
05-07 09:32:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	SELL	48	37¢	$18	0x7909df…
05-07 09:32:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Down	BUY	48	21¢	$10	0x165351…
05-07 09:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	SELL	45	79¢	$35	0x220d87…
05-07 09:30:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:30AM-5:35AM ET	Up	BUY	45	56¢	$25	0xc7b4c1…
05-07 09:29:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Up	BUY	75	2¢	$2	0x131d05…
05-07 09:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	SELL	68	85¢	$58	0x9e50e0…
05-07 09:25:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:25AM-5:30AM ET	Down	BUY	68	44¢	$30	0x6d6779…
05-07 09:24:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 5:20AM-5:25AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0xc149d2…
05-06 18:22:01	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	SELL	36	60¢	$22	0xa7d5b9…
05-06 18:20:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:20PM-2:25PM ET	Up	BUY	36	55¢	$20	0x5afbca…
05-06 18:19:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	62	8¢	$5	0x042be8…
05-06 18:03:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	SELL	42	74¢	$31	0x2538a2…
05-06 18:01:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 6, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Up	BUY	47	64¢	$30	0xb62e9f…
05-05 14:03:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 10:00AM-10:05AM ET	Down	BUY	84	36¢	$30	0x5555f2…
05-05 13:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	SELL	56	35¢	$20	0xbc53c2…
05-05 13:57:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:55AM-10:00AM ET	Up	BUY	56	9¢	$5	0xb0348d…
05-05 13:44:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	11	10¢	$1	0xdb9658…
05-05 13:43:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	26	19¢	$5	0xd4f72f…
05-05 13:42:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Down	BUY	5	34¢	$2	0xbbb306…
05-05 13:35:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:30AM-9:35AM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0x0efb68…
05-05 13:28:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x110e26…
05-05 13:25:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 9:25AM-9:30AM ET	Up	BUY	27	21¢	$6	0xd8df4d…
05-05 11:33:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 7:30AM-7:35AM ET	Down	BUY	96	42¢	$40	0xae7fe4…
05-05 08:09:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 5, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Down	BUY	59	17¢	$10	0x082367…
05-04 13:42:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 9:40AM-9:45AM ET	Up	BUY	49	35¢	$17	0xd995d7…
05-04 12:53:18	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Up	BUY	50	20¢	$10	0x3d65f2…
05-04 12:31:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	Up	BUY	105	19¢	$20	0x8c305c…
05-04 12:29:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	SELL	133	83¢	$111	0x2b7150…
05-04 12:28:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Down	BUY	133	15¢	$20	0x7c9ae3…
05-04 12:27:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	SELL	47	62¢	$29	0xa5d662…
05-04 12:26:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 4, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	Up	BUY	47	43¢	$20	0x5958ec…
05-03 20:32:32	Magic vs. Pistons	Magic	BUY	103	34¢	$35	0x271ee7…
05-02 15:20:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 11:20AM-11:25AM ET	Down	BUY	65	62¢	$40	0x659cb1…
05-02 08:54:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	SELL	71	42¢	$30	0x2b45c1…
05-02 08:52:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:50AM-4:55AM ET	Up	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x38cf9c…
05-02 08:34:02	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:30AM-4:35AM ET	Down	BUY	18	8¢	$1	0x90130b…
05-02 08:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	SELL	71	94¢	$67	0xb81fc3…
05-02 08:26:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:25AM-4:30AM ET	Down	BUY	71	70¢	$50	0x9d4716…
05-02 08:04:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	51	10¢	$5	0x6df85c…
05-02 08:02:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 4:00AM-4:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	25¢	$10	0xe1baff…
05-02 08:00:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	SELL	73	99¢	$72	0xc2767b…
05-02 07:56:54	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:55AM-4:00AM ET	Down	BUY	73	69¢	$50	0x2b2a6c…
05-02 07:54:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	2	36¢	$1	0x88b954…
05-02 07:51:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:50AM-3:55AM ET	Down	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xa799fc…
05-02 07:47:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	SELL	86	48¢	$41	0xafc800…
05-02 07:45:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:45AM-3:50AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0x29c537…
05-02 07:42:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	109	92¢	$100	0x2b2fed…
05-02 07:40:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Down	BUY	79	63¢	$50	0xd6423d…
05-02 07:36:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:35AM-3:40AM ET	Down	BUY	75	66¢	$50	0xb79d06…
05-02 07:32:04	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Down	BUY	116	86¢	$100	0x18480a…
05-02 07:31:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	SELL	86	34¢	$29	0xaa12e4…
05-02 07:30:56	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:30AM-3:35AM ET	Up	BUY	86	58¢	$50	0xf9477d…
05-02 07:29:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	104	96¢	$100	0x9d4fdb…
05-02 07:25:30	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:25AM-3:30AM ET	Down	BUY	69	58¢	$40	0x9dd4a8…
05-02 07:20:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:20AM-3:25AM ET	Up	BUY	68	59¢	$40	0x20e956…
05-02 07:15:36	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:15AM-3:20AM ET	Down	BUY	67	60¢	$40	0x1404bf…
05-02 07:10:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 2, 3:10AM-3:15AM ET	Down	BUY	62	64¢	$40	0xd9b9b6…
04-30 13:01:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 9:00AM-9:05AM ET	Down	BUY	98	51¢	$50	0x4175ef…
04-30 12:52:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	Down	BUY	75	40¢	$30	0x81c420…
04-30 12:45:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:45AM-8:50AM ET	Down	BUY	77	26¢	$20	0x4fc631…
04-30 12:43:58	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	SELL	73	96¢	$70	0x3a887e…
04-30 12:40:42	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	Down	BUY	73	55¢	$40	0x91b4fc…
04-30 12:40:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	SELL	81	99¢	$80	0xf9858c…
04-30 12:35:46	Bitcoin Up or Down - April 30, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	Down	BUY	81	62¢	$50	0xc6bacd…