Excitable-Hemp — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$13

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

34.1%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$203

lifetime

Avg / trade

$13

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-10

last 06-16 08:20

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 3 days

Categories

Crypto

80% 33% $-13

Politics

15% — —

Other

5% — —

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

4 active days in 12wk • peak 9 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (9) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Sold	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	3	$37	85	7	+78	Up	$-23	05-12 17:53
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	1	$29	0	30	-30	Up	$-0	05-12 08:09
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	1	$25	2,500	0	+2,500	Down	$-25	05-12 07:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	1	$25	53	0	+53	Up	+$28	05-10 10:28
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	1	$25	40	0	+40	Up	+$15	05-11 10:04
Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	16	0	+16	open	—	05-12 10:56
Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	21	0	+21	open	—	05-12 10:57
Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	1	$10	79	0	+79	open	—	05-10 11:17
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	1	$10	67	0	+67	open	—	05-11 10:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	1	$5	125	0	+125	Down	$-5	05-10 11:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	1	$5	5,000	0	+5,000	Down	$-5	05-12 08:14
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	1	$5	71	0	+71	Up	$-5	05-11 09:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	1	$5	12	0	+12	Up	+$7	05-12 10:58
Trump out as President by June 30?	1	$1	0	333	-333	open	—	06-16 08:20

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
06-16 08:20:39	Trump out as President by June 30?	Yes	SELL	333	0¢	$1	0x116228…
05-12 17:53:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	SELL	7	95¢	$7	0x3270bf…
05-12 17:51:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	78	32¢	$25	0x7f1293…
05-12 17:51:25	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Up	BUY	7	68¢	$5	0x1b1659…
05-12 10:58:48	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 6:55AM-7:00AM ET	Up	BUY	12	42¢	$5	0x554a7c…
05-12 10:57:01	Will Trump say "Taiwan" or "Tibet" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	21	48¢	$10	0x065e91…
05-12 10:56:26	Will Trump say "AI" or "Artificial Intelligence" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	16	64¢	$10	0xc4a6a8…
05-12 08:14:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:10AM-4:15AM ET	Up	BUY	5,000	0¢	$5	0xd48ae0…
05-12 08:09:59	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 4:05AM-4:10AM ET	Up	SELL	30	99¢	$29	0x453f3c…
05-12 07:44:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 12, 3:40AM-3:45AM ET	Up	BUY	2,500	1¢	$25	0xaf6278…
05-11 10:17:43	Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?	Yes	BUY	67	15¢	$10	0x416328…
05-11 10:04:44	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 6:00AM-6:05AM ET	Up	BUY	40	62¢	$25	0x84b727…
05-11 09:59:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 11, 5:55AM-6:00AM ET	Down	BUY	71	7¢	$5	0xe996f7…
05-10 11:22:11	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 7:20AM-7:25AM ET	Up	BUY	125	4¢	$5	0xcf0564…
05-10 11:17:16	Will Trump say "Covid" or "Pandemic" during events with Xi Jinping?	Yes	BUY	79	13¢	$10	0xd2d826…
05-10 10:28:21	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 10, 6:25AM-6:30AM ET	Up	BUY	53	47¢	$25	0x9634f4…