Outlandish-Note — Polymarket

Realized P&L

-$53

Unrealized P&L

—

Hit rate

16.7%

Resolved

Trades

lifetime

Volume

$66

lifetime

Avg / trade

Open exposure

—

0 positions

First seen

2026-05-07

last 05-08 02:49

Equity curve

cumulative realized P&L over 2 days

Categories

Crypto

100% 8% $-53

Activity

Mon

Wed

Fri

2 active days in 12wk • peak 35 trades/day

Open positions Resolved markets (30) Recent trades Correlated wallets

Market	Outcome	Mid 30D	Net shares	Cost basis	Current mid	Current value	Unrealized P&L	Last trade
No open positions — every traded market has either resolved or fully unwound.

Market	Trades	Volume USD	Bought	Net shares	Resolution	P&L	Last activity
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	1	$5	9	+9	Down	$-5	05-07 06:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	1	$5	250	+250	Up	$-5	05-07 17:08
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	1	$5	19	+19	Down	$-5	05-07 16:06
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	1	$5	22	+22	Up	$-5	05-07 17:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	1	$5	31	+31	Down	$-5	05-07 16:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Down	+$1	05-07 16:17
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	1	$5	6	+6	Up	+$1	05-07 16:21
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	2	$2	67	+67	Up	$-2	05-07 17:54
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Up	$-1	05-07 18:04
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	1	$1	100	+100	Up	$-1	05-07 19:38
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	1	$1	50	+50	Down	$-1	05-07 20:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	1	$1	50	+50	Down	$-1	05-07 18:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	1	$1	50	+50	Down	$-1	05-07 19:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	1	$1	100	+100	Down	$-1	05-07 17:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Down	$-1	05-07 17:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Down	$-1	05-07 20:13
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Down	$-1	05-07 18:44
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	1	$1	100	+100	Down	$-1	05-07 17:19
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Up	$-1	05-07 20:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	1	$1	50	+50	Up	$-1	05-08 02:23
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Up	$-1	05-07 19:33
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	1	$1	50	+50	Up	$-1	05-07 18:57
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Down	$-1	05-07 19:03
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	1	$1	20	+20	Up	$-1	05-08 02:49
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	1	$1	25	+25	Up	$-1	05-07 19:59
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	1	$1	50	+50	Up	$-1	05-07 20:02
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	1	$1	2	+2	Down	$-1	05-07 19:22
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	1	$1	9	+9	Down	$-1	05-08 02:29
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	1	$1	6	+6	Down	$-1	05-07 18:27
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	1	$1	1	+1	Down	$-1	05-07 20:16

Time	Market	Outcome	Side	Size	Price	USD	Tx
05-08 02:49:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:45PM-10:50PM ET	Down	BUY	20	5¢	$1	0x663c27…
05-08 02:43:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:40PM-10:45PM ET	Up	BUY	1	69¢	$1	0x7553b0…
05-08 02:38:32	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:35PM-10:40PM ET	Up	BUY	91	1¢	$1	0x04699f…
05-08 02:29:28	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:25PM-10:30PM ET	Up	BUY	9	11¢	$1	0xd9ad3a…
05-08 02:23:19	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 10:20PM-10:25PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x905610…
05-07 20:33:35	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:30PM-4:35PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x831c8e…
05-07 20:29:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:25PM-4:30PM ET	Down	BUY	5	9¢	$0	0x892576…
05-07 20:23:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:20PM-4:25PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xfb9319…
05-07 20:16:57	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:15PM-4:20PM ET	Up	BUY	1	73¢	$1	0x17d98a…
05-07 20:13:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:10PM-4:15PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x8f53bb…
05-07 20:08:49	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:05PM-4:10PM ET	Up	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0xcaaf08…
05-07 20:02:50	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 4:00PM-4:05PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x527f8d…
05-07 19:59:24	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:55PM-4:00PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xeb2bc8…
05-07 19:54:26	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:50PM-3:55PM ET	Up	BUY	12	3¢	$0	0x01eaf4…
05-07 19:44:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:40PM-3:45PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x060925…
05-07 19:38:38	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:35PM-3:40PM ET	Down	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x23f5dd…
05-07 19:33:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:30PM-3:35PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x75b6c7…
05-07 19:22:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:20PM-3:25PM ET	Up	BUY	2	55¢	$1	0xc0acb4…
05-07 19:03:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 3:00PM-3:05PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0x413119…
05-07 18:57:07	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:55PM-3:00PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x20a03a…
05-07 18:49:20	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:45PM-2:50PM ET	Up	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x36128f…
05-07 18:44:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:40PM-2:45PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xc13280…
05-07 18:39:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:35PM-2:40PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x591b20…
05-07 18:27:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:25PM-2:30PM ET	Up	BUY	6	17¢	$1	0x280675…
05-07 18:19:12	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:15PM-2:20PM ET	Down	BUY	7	9¢	$1	0xb98d77…
05-07 18:04:15	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00PM-2:05PM ET	Down	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xf3e89b…
05-07 17:57:22	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:55PM-2:00PM ET	Down	BUY	6	4¢	$0	0xbe1349…
05-07 17:54:14	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	50	2¢	$1	0x166c84…
05-07 17:53:52	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:50PM-1:55PM ET	Down	BUY	17	6¢	$1	0x7c7b0a…
05-07 17:49:27	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:45PM-1:50PM ET	Up	BUY	25	4¢	$1	0xb1813b…
05-07 17:34:31	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	Down	BUY	33	3¢	$1	0x2c62e9…
05-07 17:27:45	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x021cb6…
05-07 17:19:34	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:15PM-1:20PM ET	Up	BUY	100	1¢	$1	0x295a26…
05-07 17:13:37	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:10PM-1:15PM ET	Down	BUY	22	23¢	$5	0xf6a88d…
05-07 17:08:53	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 1:05PM-1:10PM ET	Down	BUY	250	2¢	$5	0xa7ac42…
05-07 16:21:10	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:20PM-12:25PM ET	Up	BUY	6	90¢	$5	0xd37e37…
05-07 16:17:33	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:15PM-12:20PM ET	Down	BUY	6	86¢	$5	0x6286ff…
05-07 16:06:40	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:05PM-12:10PM ET	Up	BUY	19	26¢	$5	0x96e967…
05-07 16:04:55	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 12:00PM-12:05PM ET	Up	BUY	31	16¢	$5	0x8c9d80…
05-07 06:04:16	Bitcoin Up or Down - May 7, 2:00AM-2:05AM ET	Up	BUY	9	62¢	$5	0xd855c9…